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Chart 2.Average monthly <strong>Social</strong> <strong>Security</strong> retirement benefits, by age, 1994–20042005 ($)1,3501,2501,1501,050950Age62636465666768698507506501994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004YearSOURCE: OASDI public-use microdata file, 2004.With the elimination of the earnings test, it seemsthat the composition in terms of earnings historiesof those claiming benefits after age 65 has changedconsiderably and now is composed of a higher proportionof individuals trying to catch up after having hadsketchy careers or relatively low earnings histories,although before 2000 there were more high earnersperhaps more focused on the short-term consequencesof the earnings test provisions. 26 Using data on total<strong>Social</strong> <strong>Security</strong> credits, we can analyze whetherreaching fully insured status could be playing animportant role among late claimers. We observe thatthere is a higher percentage of individuals near the40 total credits (quarters of coverage) necessary to beinsured among those claiming after age 65 (otherwisethe distributions are quite similar), but because of thenature of the data we cannot observe the dynamics ofhow these credits were acquired, therefore we cannotpresent definitive evidence of individuals workinglonger after age 65 in order to achieve insured status.However, there is evidence that those claiming benefitslater have comparatively lower total credits, with the10 th percentile at 43 credits for those claiming afterage 65, and at 61 credits for those claiming at age 65.Therefore, it is plausible to believe that many of thoseclaiming later could benefit from the extra years ofwork because they have a bit shorter employmenthistories. 27It would be ideal to additionally explore theseconjectures regarding the composition of claimersusing wage histories, however, this information is notavailable in the public-use microdata. We hope that infuture releases of this data some additional variablesare available, and some of these issues can be studiedin more detail.The sharp upward trend of the benefits received bythose age 65 and those older than age 65 in the lastcouple of years, especially for men, provides someevidence of convergence toward the pre-2000 benefitlevels. This could suggest the possibility that theincreases in the DRC are finally playing a role amongsome workers with higher earnings histories and aremore likely correlated to longer life expectancies ofthose who can gain the most from the permanentincreases in their benefits if they claim later.A clear advantage of using microdata is that wecan now compute test statistics for the statisticalsignificance of these average benefits with respect tothe level of those that claimed, for example, at age 65back in 1994, who at that time received 100 percentof their PIA at this age. Table 5 reports the t-statistics<strong>Social</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Bulletin • Vol. 69 • No. 3 • 2009 85

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