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1. Introduction - Econometrics at Illinois - University of Illinois at ...

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Roger Koenker and Zhijie Xiao 35Appendix A. Monte Carlo ResultsWe have conducted some limited Monte Carlo experiments to examine the nite sample performance<strong>of</strong> the proposed tests. In particular, we examine the eectiveness <strong>of</strong> the martingale transform<strong>at</strong>ionbased on the size and power properties <strong>of</strong> the tests. The following sample sizes wereconsidered in our experiment: n =100; 200; 300; 400; 500: These sample sizes were chosen becausethey represent the most relevant range <strong>of</strong> sample sizes in empirical analyses.First <strong>of</strong> all, to investig<strong>at</strong>e the eectiveness <strong>of</strong> the martingale transform<strong>at</strong>ion on quantile regressioninference, we examine the size and power properties <strong>of</strong> the infeasible version tests where the truedensity and score functions are used in the standardiz<strong>at</strong>ion and the martingale transform<strong>at</strong>ion. Westart with the heteroscedasticity test. The d<strong>at</strong>a were gener<strong>at</strong>ed from(A.1)y i = + x i + (x i )u i ;where x i and u i are iid N (0; 1) random vari<strong>at</strong>es and are mutually independent, =0; and =<strong>1.</strong>(x i )=0 + 1x i , 0 =<strong>1.</strong> We examined the empirical rejection r<strong>at</strong>es <strong>of</strong> the test for dierentchoices <strong>of</strong> sample sizes and 1 values, <strong>at</strong> 5% level <strong>of</strong> signicance. In constructing the test, we usedthe OLS estim<strong>at</strong>or for , b and the trunc<strong>at</strong>ion parameter value = 0:05 (i.e. T =[0:05; 0:95]).Since x i is a scalar, the limiting null distribution <strong>of</strong> the test st<strong>at</strong>istic is sup0:050:95 jW ()j : The5% level critical value is 2.14. For the choices <strong>of</strong> the heteroscedasticity parameter 1; we consider1 =0; 0:1; 0:2; 0:3; 0:5; 1; 2; 5: When 1 =0; the model is homoscedastic and the rejection r<strong>at</strong>esgive the empirical sizes. When 1 6= 0; the model is heteroscedastic and the rejection r<strong>at</strong>es deliverthe empirical powers. Table 1 reports the empirical rejection r<strong>at</strong>es for dierent values <strong>of</strong> 1 and n:Other values <strong>of</strong> the trunc<strong>at</strong>ion parameter were also tried and quantit<strong>at</strong>ively similar results wereobtained. These Monte Carlo results indic<strong>at</strong>e th<strong>at</strong>, given inform<strong>at</strong>ion on the density and score, themartingale transform<strong>at</strong>ion brings pretty good size and power to the proposed testing procedure innite sample.The remaining Monte-Carlo experiments are based on the even simpler two sample model, y 1i = 1 + 1u i ;i=1; :::::;n1;(A.2)y2i = 2 + 2v i ;i=1; :::::; n2;In particular, we considered the following two sets <strong>of</strong> parameter values(A.3)(A.4)Loc<strong>at</strong>ion Shift: 1 =1;2 =0;1 = 2 =1;Loc<strong>at</strong>ion-Scale Shift: 1 =1;2 =0;1 =2;2 =1;where u i ;v i are iid N (0; 1) random vari<strong>at</strong>es. When the parameters take the rst set <strong>of</strong> values, (A.2)represents a pure loc<strong>at</strong>ion shift model. The null hypothesis <strong>of</strong> a shift model can be tested by theprocedure given in Section 4.2. When the d<strong>at</strong>a is gener<strong>at</strong>ed from the second set parameters, (A.2)is a loc<strong>at</strong>ion-scale shift model. The loc<strong>at</strong>ion-scale hypothesis can be tested by the procedure givenin Section 4.<strong>1.</strong> Table 2 reports the empirical size <strong>of</strong> these tests for dierent combin<strong>at</strong>ions <strong>of</strong> n1 andn2. We can see th<strong>at</strong> the test has good size properties in nite samples. These Monte Carlo results,together with the results on the heteroscedasticity testinTable 1, conrm the eectiveness <strong>of</strong> themartingale transform<strong>at</strong>ion in quantile regression inference.The above Monte Carlo experiments use the true density and score. It is obviously also importantto evalu<strong>at</strong>e the eect <strong>of</strong> nonparametric nuisance parameter estim<strong>at</strong>ion on the performance <strong>of</strong> theproposed tests. In our next Monte Carlo experiments, we estim<strong>at</strong>ed F ,1 (s) and'0(s) using theapproach described in the text. For the score function _g, we employ the adaptive kernel estim<strong>at</strong>or<strong>of</strong> Portnoy and Koenker (1989).The kernel estim<strong>at</strong>ion procedures for these nuisance functions are nonparametric and thereforeobviously entail choices <strong>of</strong> bandwidth values. Unsuitable bandwidth selection can produce poor

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