TABLE B–70.—Components of money stock measures and liquid assets, 1959–98—Continued[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted]YearandmonthLargedenominationtimedeposits 3Overnightand termrepurchaseagreements(RPs)(net)Overnightand termEurodollars(net)Savingsbonds 4ShorttermTreasurysecurities4Bankersacceptances4Commercialpaper 4December:1959 ............................................................................. 1.2 0.0 0.7 46.1 38.6 0.6 3.61960 ............................................................................. 2.0 .0 .8 45.7 36.7 .9 5.11961 ............................................................................. 3.9 .0 1.5 46.5 37.0 1.1 5.21962 ............................................................................. 7.0 .0 1.6 46.9 39.8 1.1 6.81963 ............................................................................. 10.8 .0 1.9 48.1 40.7 1.2 7.71964 ............................................................................. 15.2 .0 2.4 49.0 38.5 1.3 9.11965 ............................................................................. 21.2 .0 1.8 49.6 40.7 1.6 10.21966 ............................................................................. 23.1 .0 2.2 50.2 43.2 1.8 14.41967 ............................................................................. 30.9 .0 2.2 51.2 38.7 1.8 17.81968 ............................................................................. 37.4 .0 2.9 51.8 46.1 2.3 22.51969 ............................................................................. 20.4 4.9 2.7 51.7 59.5 3.3 34.01970 ............................................................................. 45.1 3.0 2.4 52.0 49.0 3.5 33.21971 ............................................................................. 57.6 5.2 2.9 54.3 36.1 3.8 32.31972 ............................................................................. 73.3 6.6 3.9 57.6 40.8 3.5 35.11973 ............................................................................. 111.0 12.8 5.8 60.4 49.4 5.0 41.61974 ............................................................................. 144.7 14.2 8.5 63.3 52.8 12.6 49.71975 ............................................................................. 129.7 14.7 10.2 67.2 68.5 10.7 48.11976 ............................................................................. 118.1 25.1 15.4 71.8 69.9 10.8 52.21977 ............................................................................. 145.2 32.9 21.9 76.4 78.4 14.1 64.11978 ............................................................................. 195.6 44.6 35.1 80.3 81.4 22.0 80.91979 ............................................................................. 223.1 47.7 49.8 79.5 108.2 27.1 99.71980 ............................................................................. 260.2 57.4 57.7 72.3 133.9 32.0 99.51981 ............................................................................. 303.9 65.3 77.0 67.8 149.4 39.9 103.81982 ............................................................................. 324.9 67.4 89.8 68.0 182.9 44.5 108.31983 ............................................................................. 316.5 94.5 104.8 71.1 213.2 45.0 136.51984 ............................................................................. 403.2 105.4 96.9 74.2 261.9 45.4 157.31985 ............................................................................. 422.4 119.9 94.0 79.5 298.2 42.1 208.91986 ............................................................................. 420.2 143.3 103.9 91.8 275.8 37.1 231.21987 ............................................................................. 467.0 172.6 108.2 100.6 249.5 44.5 272.71988 ............................................................................. 518.3 189.0 117.0 109.4 266.8 40.2 334.31989 ............................................................................. 541.5 158.0 95.2 117.5 324.0 40.7 344.61990 ............................................................................. 481.0 138.8 88.7 126.0 334.1 36.2 354.41991 ............................................................................. 416.6 119.5 79.3 137.9 328.8 23.9 335.21992 ............................................................................. 353.5 128.6 66.9 156.6 344.7 21.0 365.71993 ............................................................................. 333.6 158.8 66.3 171.5 340.8 14.9 387.11994 ............................................................................. 363.4 183.3 80.8 180.2 382.9 14.1 405.01995 ............................................................................. 419.6 182.4 88.6 184.7 469.2 11.4 441.31996 ............................................................................. 491.2 194.2 109.2 186.9 454.8 12.4 498.51997 ............................................................................. 572.9 236.1 145.3 186.4 429.6 12.1 606.31998 p .......................................................................... 624.4 283.4 150.7 ................ ................ ................ ................1997: Jan .......................................................................... 496.6 197.2 112.3 186.7 442.8 12.2 510.5Feb ......................................................................... 505.5 200.0 114.7 186.6 444.5 12.8 518.7Mar ......................................................................... 516.8 198.6 116.8 186.5 446.3 13.3 526.1Apr .......................................................................... 528.8 202.4 120.7 186.4 451.2 12.8 534.5May ........................................................................ 531.0 204.1 126.7 186.3 458.6 13.0 541.1June ........................................................................ 538.6 199.8 124.5 186.4 450.8 12.8 553.2July ......................................................................... 550.5 207.4 126.6 186.4 433.5 12.7 563.6Aug ......................................................................... 552.4 210.3 130.2 186.4 445.3 13.0 563.2Sept ........................................................................ 559.7 209.8 132.4 186.4 445.0 12.9 563.9Oct .......................................................................... 560.8 219.5 131.8 186.4 435.2 13.4 571.3Nov ......................................................................... 567.3 233.9 135.7 186.4 441.5 13.0 581.3Dec ......................................................................... 572.9 236.1 145.3 186.4 429.6 12.1 606.31998: Jan .......................................................................... 577.5 246.9 146.5 186.3 434.4 12.2 627.1Feb ......................................................................... 592.8 241.7 140.3 186.3 455.1 11.2 640.2Mar ......................................................................... 611.6 259.7 133.8 186.2 438.4 11.3 665.7Apr .......................................................................... 610.7 259.7 134.3 186.1 410.7 13.0 674.2May ........................................................................ 615.8 261.4 138.3 186.0 407.8 13.3 665.5June ........................................................................ 623.9 254.3 139.9 186.0 396.6 13.4 686.2July ......................................................................... 610.4 258.3 143.5 186.0 371.2 14.6 701.6Aug ......................................................................... 616.4 265.5 148.3 185.9 374.3 14.8 697.7Sept ........................................................................ 616.1 272.1 149.4 186.0 371.2 14.0 715.0Oct .......................................................................... 614.6 267.5 152.8 ................ ................ ................ ................Nov ......................................................................... 621.4 277.8 153.6 ................ ................ ................ ................Dec p ....................................................................... 624.4 283.4 150.7 ................ ................ ................ ................3Large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of more than $100,000.4See footnote 1, Table B–69.Note.—See also Table B–69.Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.409
TABLE B–71.—Aggregate reserves of depository institutions and monetary base, 1959–98[Averages of daily figures 1 ; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]Year and monthTotalAdjusted for changes in reserve requirements 2Reserves of depository institutionsNonborrowedNonborrowedplusextendedcreditRequiredBorrowings of depositoryinstitutions from theFederal Reserve, NSAMonetarybase Total SeasonalExtendedcreditDecember:1959 ....................................................... 11,109 10,168 10,168 10,603 40,880 941 ................ ................1960 ....................................................... 11,247 11,172 11,172 10,503 40,977 74 ................ ................1961 ....................................................... 11,499 11,366 11,366 10,915 41,853 133 ................ ................1962 ....................................................... 11,604 11,344 11,344 11,033 42,957 260 ................ ................1963 ....................................................... 11,730 11,397 11,397 11,239 45,003 332 ................ ................1964 ....................................................... 12,011 11,747 11,747 11,605 47,161 264 ................ ................1965 ....................................................... 12,316 11,872 11,872 11,892 49,620 444 ................ ................1966 ....................................................... 12,223 11,690 11,690 11,884 51,565 532 ................ ................1967 ....................................................... 13,180 12,952 12,952 12,805 54,579 228 ................ ................1968 ....................................................... 13,767 13,021 13,021 13,341 58,357 746 ................ ................1969 ....................................................... 14,168 13,049 13,049 13,882 61,569 1,119 ................ ................1970 ....................................................... 14,558 14,225 14,225 14,309 65,013 332 ................ ................1971 ....................................................... 15,230 15,104 15,104 15,049 69,108 126 ................ ................1972 ....................................................... 16,645 15,595 15,595 16,361 75,167 1,050 ................ ................1973 ....................................................... 17,021 15,723 15,723 16,717 81,073 1,298 41 ................1974 ....................................................... 17,550 16,823 16,970 17,292 87,535 727 32 1471975 ....................................................... 17,822 17,692 17,704 17,556 93,887 130 14 121976 ....................................................... 18,388 18,335 18,335 18,115 101,515 53 13 ................1977 ....................................................... 18,990 18,420 18,420 18,800 110,324 569 55 ................1978 ....................................................... 19,753 18,885 18,885 19,521 120,445 868 135 ................1979 ....................................................... 20,720 19,248 19,248 20,279 131,143 1,473 82 ................1980 ....................................................... 22,015 20,325 20,328 21,501 142,004 1,690 116 31981 ....................................................... 22,443 21,807 21,956 22,124 149,021 636 54 1481982 ....................................................... 23,600 22,966 23,152 23,100 160,127 634 33 1861983 ....................................................... 25,367 24,593 24,595 24,806 175,467 774 96 21984 ....................................................... 26,836 23,649 26,254 25,981 187,328 3,186 113 2,6041985 ....................................................... 31,426 30,108 30,607 30,389 203,492 1,318 56 4991986 ....................................................... 39,025 38,198 38,501 37,655 223,609 827 38 3031987 ....................................................... 38,975 38,198 38,681 37,929 239,814 777 93 4831988 ....................................................... 40,435 38,719 39,963 39,386 257,043 1,716 130 1,2441989 ....................................................... 40,501 40,236 40,256 39,581 267,764 265 84 201990 ....................................................... 41,789 41,464 41,486 40,125 293,247 326 76 231991 ....................................................... 45,535 45,343 45,344 44,556 317,446 192 38 11992 ....................................................... 54,358 54,234 54,235 53,202 351,030 124 18 11993 ....................................................... 60,524 60,442 60,442 59,461 386,531 82 31 01994 ....................................................... 59,406 59,197 59,197 58,238 418,121 209 100 01995 ....................................................... 56,399 56,141 56,141 55,121 434,168 257 40 01996 ....................................................... 50,083 49,928 49,928 48,660 452,383 155 68 01997 ....................................................... 46,669 46,345 46,345 44,986 480,152 324 79 01998 p ..................................................... 44,910 44,793 44,793 43,318 513,952 117 15 01997: Jan .................................................... 49,615 49,570 49,570 48,392 454,044 45 19 0Feb .................................................... 48,854 48,812 48,812 47,823 455,538 42 21 0Mar ................................................... 48,056 47,900 47,900 46,896 456,882 156 37 0Apr .................................................... 47,336 47,075 47,075 46,326 458,104 261 88 0May ................................................... 46,750 46,507 46,507 45,510 459,474 243 173 0June .................................................. 46,909 46,542 46,542 45,591 461,784 367 243 0July ................................................... 46,722 46,313 46,313 45,516 464,432 409 330 0Aug ................................................... 46,932 46,335 46,335 45,686 466,704 598 385 0Sept .................................................. 46,240 45,802 45,802 44,944 469,406 438 368 0Oct .................................................... 45,958 45,688 45,688 44,562 471,983 270 227 0Nov ................................................... 46,301 46,148 46,148 44,693 476,178 153 115 0Dec ................................................... 46,669 46,345 46,345 44,986 480,152 324 79 01998: Jan .................................................... 46,501 46,291 46,291 44,721 482,837 210 18 0Feb .................................................... 45,722 45,664 45,664 44,198 484,226 58 12 0Mar ................................................... 46,045 46,004 46,004 44,731 485,860 41 22 0Apr .................................................... 45,959 45,887 45,887 44,614 487,203 72 41 0May ................................................... 45,591 45,438 45,438 44,441 489,102 153 94 0June .................................................. 45,391 45,140 45,140 43,771 491,634 251 159 0July ................................................... 44,813 44,556 44,556 43,449 493,698 258 215 0Aug ................................................... 44,997 44,726 44,726 43,484 497,375 271 242 0Sept .................................................. 44,585 44,334 44,334 42,901 502,168 251 178 0Oct .................................................... 44,385 44,211 44,211 42,813 506,082 174 107 0Nov ................................................... 44,571 44,488 44,488 42,947 509,936 84 37 0Dec p ................................................. 44,910 44,793 44,793 43,318 513,952 117 15 01Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures.2Aggregate reserves incorporate adjustments for discontinuities associated with regulatory changes to reserve requirements. For details onaggregate reserves series see Federal Reserve Bulletin.Note.—NSA indicates data are not seasonally adjusted.Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.410
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EconomicReportof thePresidentTransm
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C O N T E N T SPageECONOMIC REPORT
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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENTTo
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Once we have saved Social Security,
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THE ANNUAL REPORTOF THECOUNCIL OF E
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C O N T E N T SPageCHAPTER 1. MEETI
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CHAPTER 1Meeting Challenges and Bui
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Box 1-1.—The Dating of Business C
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CHAPTER 2Macroeconomic Policyand Pe
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target Federal funds rate brought t
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the third-quarter deceleration and
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productivity; the latter is in turn
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the year 2000, mistaking it instead
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the recent surge in productivity re
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Box 2-3.—continuedhowever. Import
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Chart 2-12 Three Measures of Core I
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a level of capacity utilization tha
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Box 2-4.—continuedChanges to be i
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Nonfarm manufacturing and trade inv
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who have traditionally not fared as
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Box 3-1.—continuedas well as full
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and been replaced by younger, more
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Particularly interesting, however,
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Chart 3-5 Median Hourly Wages of Me
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Box 3-2.—continuedsome firms may
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Box 3-3.—continuedmaximum of $3,7
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willing to hire welfare recipients
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participation. The renewed increase
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TANF grants in reserve at the Treas
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JOB DISPLACEMENTWorkers are conside
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evidence finds that the percentage
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their non-labor market activities.
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The Administration is especially co
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CHAPTER 4Work, Retirement, and theE
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Chart 4-1 Life Expectancy at Age 65
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Population aging is not just an Ame
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Box 4-1.—continuedfor couples and
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earlier retirement, by increasing l
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uyouts may also have contributed to
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Box 4-2.—Social Security RulesThe
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Box 4-4.—Types of Pension PlansUn
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worker—declined. More of these ol
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survey) was about 13 percent higher
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well-being is that families have di
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Chart 4-9 Living Arrangements of El
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mentioned earlier in this chapter a
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Box 4-7.—The Federal Role in Empl
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inequality among retirees who have
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whether minorities and women are li
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TABLE 4-4.—Poverty Rates Among th
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TABLE 4-6.—Family Holdings of Fin
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variety of reasons, including the f
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the number of patents granted in th
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The United States has a decades-lon
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matter, depending on various condit
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company Roche Holdings, Ltd. Some o
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The antitrust authorities’ linkin
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Box 5-3.—Cooperative Innovation a
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machine owned by another. The disti
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companies begin to offer DSL servic
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In another part of the Internet mar
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technology at hand. But incentive-b
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the flexibility to choose lower cos
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In contrast to both performance and
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The SO 2 experience reveals several
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Box 5-7.—The Partnership for a Ne
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Consumers’ investment in energy e
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clean-energy projects in developing
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Chart 5-2 Energy Efficiency and Pri
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equipment, and more than 90 percent
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Box 5-9.—Is There an Environmenta
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larger coal plants. In 1994 these t
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around the country, and seven other
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other social goals. The fund would
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greater opportunity, faster growth,
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Chart 6-1 Net Capital Flows to Deve
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Box 6-1.—The Explosive Growth of
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Recent Financial LiberalizationIn m
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and investment (although openness t
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Box 6-2.—Market-Based (Arm’s-Le
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conditionality in the face of unsou
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Box 6-4.—Sovereign Spreads in Eme
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social safety nets in the crisis co
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Box 6-5.—Moral Hazard in Financia
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Empirical studies confirm that, by
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withdrew $26 billion in 1997. Altho
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America, and these linkages partly
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8.5 percent of GDP in 1998. Indones
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sary revenues to meet these extra i
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which is considered a monetary asse
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ates at home, they sought higher re
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Chart 6-3 Real Value of the Dollar
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The increase in the trade deficit a
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Chart 6-6 Current Account BalanceTh
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Chart 6-7 Economic Growth and Trade
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investment. The U.S. gross investme
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Chart 6-10 Current Account Deficit
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with other countries to strengthen
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REFORM OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCI
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about their macroeconomic and finan
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decisions respond to market signals
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Other measures recommended by the w
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ADOPTION OF MEASURES TO REFORM THEI
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Issues Posed by Hedge Funds and Oth
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the best investment opportunities,
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egulation of inflows to banks alone
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Box 7-1.—continuedpartner; a stro
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Chart 7-1 European Short-Term Inter
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members agreed in a separate Growth
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Box 7-2.—continuedthrough an auto
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advantages of EMU to U.S. residents
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as an economic superpower early in
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Appendix AREPORT TO THE PRESIDENT O
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Council Members and Their Dates of
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The Chair and Members work as a tea
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countries. The Council heads the U.
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Chief of Staff and General CounselM
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C O N T E N T SNATIONAL INCOME OR E
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B-71. Aggregate reserves of deposit
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General NotesDetail in these tables
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TABLE B-1.—Gross domestic product
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Year orquarterGrossdomesticproductT
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TABLE B-27.—Relation of national
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