TABLE B–88.—Maturity distribution and average length of marketable interest-bearing public debtsecurities held by private investors, 1967–98End of year or monthAmountoutstanding,privatelyheldWithin1 year1 to 5yearsMaturity class5 to 10years10 to 20years20 yearsand overAverage length 1Millions of dollars Years MonthsFiscal year:1967 .................................................... 150,321 56,561 53,584 21,057 6,153 12,968 5 11968 .................................................... 159,671 66,746 52,295 21,850 6,110 12,670 4 51969 .................................................... 156,008 69,311 50,182 18,078 6,097 12,337 4 21970 .................................................... 157,910 76,443 57,035 8,286 7,876 8,272 3 81971 .................................................... 161,863 74,803 58,557 14,503 6,357 7,645 3 61972 .................................................... 165,978 79,509 57,157 16,033 6,358 6,922 3 31973 .................................................... 167,869 84,041 54,139 16,385 8,741 4,564 3 11974 .................................................... 164,862 87,150 50,103 14,197 9,930 3,481 2 111975 .................................................... 210,382 115,677 65,852 15,385 8,857 4,611 2 81976 .................................................... 279,782 150,296 90,578 24,169 8,087 6,652 2 71977 .................................................... 326,674 161,329 113,319 33,067 8,428 10,531 2 111978 .................................................... 356,501 163,819 132,993 33,500 11,383 14,805 3 31979 .................................................... 380,530 181,883 127,574 32,279 18,489 20,304 3 71980 .................................................... 463,717 220,084 156,244 38,809 25,901 22,679 3 91981 .................................................... 549,863 256,187 182,237 48,743 32,569 30,127 4 01982 .................................................... 682,043 314,436 221,783 75,749 33,017 37,058 3 111983 .................................................... 862,631 379,579 294,955 99,174 40,826 48,097 4 11984 .................................................... 1,017,488 437,941 332,808 130,417 49,664 66,658 4 61985 .................................................... 1,185,675 472,661 402,766 159,383 62,853 88,012 4 111986 .................................................... 1,354,275 506,903 467,348 189,995 70,664 119,365 5 31987 .................................................... 1,445,366 483,582 526,746 209,160 72,862 153,016 5 91988 .................................................... 1,555,208 524,201 552,993 232,453 74,186 171,375 5 91989 .................................................... 1,654,660 546,751 578,333 247,428 80,616 201,532 6 01990 .................................................... 1,841,903 626,297 630,144 267,573 82,713 235,176 6 11991 .................................................... 2,113,799 713,778 761,243 280,574 84,900 273,304 6 01992 .................................................... 2,363,802 808,705 866,329 295,921 84,706 308,141 5 111993 .................................................... 2,562,336 858,135 978,714 306,663 94,345 324,479 5 101994 .................................................... 2,719,861 877,932 1,128,322 289,998 88,208 335,401 5 81995 .................................................... 2,870,781 1,002,875 1,157,492 290,111 87,297 333,006 5 41996 .................................................... 3,011,185 1,058,558 1,212,258 306,643 111,360 322,366 5 31997 .................................................... 2,998,846 1,017,913 1,206,993 321,622 154,205 298,113 5 41998 .................................................... 2,856,637 940,572 1,105,175 319,331 157,347 334,212 5 81997: Jan ..................................................... 3,025,762 1,049,217 1,230,524 302,878 128,679 314,464 5 3Feb ..................................................... 3,052,688 1,062,767 1,225,904 315,125 126,023 322,870 5 4Mar .................................................... 3,082,541 1,087,199 1,224,620 323,173 125,228 322,322 5 3Apr ..................................................... 2,997,163 1,035,135 1,199,000 327,320 119,853 315,855 5 3May .................................................... 2,988,194 1,024,615 1,182,510 331,276 143,676 306,117 5 5June ................................................... 2,989,260 1,007,563 1,206,304 330,005 141,299 304,090 5 4July .................................................... 3,002,678 1,016,588 1,208,014 331,086 142,476 304,514 5 4Aug .................................................... 2,995,863 1,033,763 1,184,038 321,471 155,967 300,624 5 5Sept ................................................... 2,998,846 1,017,913 1,206,993 321,622 154,205 298,113 5 4Oct ..................................................... 2,998,692 1,020,602 1,200,942 320,882 154,778 301,488 5 4Nov .................................................... 2,988,004 1,039,059 1,155,293 330,129 153,997 309,526 5 5Dec .................................................... 2,988,654 1,027,280 1,170,833 328,855 153,224 308,462 5 51998: Jan ..................................................... 2,954,877 1,011,181 1,139,318 338,503 155,193 310,681 5 6Feb ..................................................... 2,978,212 1,029,311 1,147,184 326,495 154,836 320,386 5 6Mar .................................................... 3,010,826 1,040,573 1,173,036 326,381 152,471 318,365 5 5Apr ..................................................... 2,925,886 970,975 1,153,410 324,973 151,116 325,411 5 6May .................................................... 2,895,190 964,171 1,113,080 335,515 162,395 320,029 5 8June ................................................... 2,894,829 952,967 1,132,460 333,666 159,368 316,369 5 7July .................................................... 2,886,700 945,246 1,117,403 335,330 161,250 327,471 5 7Aug .................................................... 2,918,259 982,323 1,121,554 320,287 159,382 334,713 5 7Sept ................................................... 2,856,637 940,572 1,105,175 319,331 157,347 334,212 5 81Treasury inflation-indexed notes (first offered in 1997) and bonds (first offered in 1998) are excluded from the average length calculation.Note.—All issues classified to final maturity.Through fiscal year 1976, the fiscal year was on a July 1–June 30 basis; beginning October 1976 (fiscal year 1977), the fiscal year is onan October 1–September 30 basis.Source: Department of the Treasury.429
TABLE B–89.—Estimated ownership of public debt securities by private investors, 1978–98End of monthTotalCommercialbanks 2Total[Par values; 1 billions of dollars]TotalIndividuals 3Savingsbonds 4Held by private investorsOthersecuritiesNonbank investorsMoneymarketfundsInsurancecompaniesCorporations5Stateandlocalgovernments6Foreignandinternational7Otherinvestors81978: June ................... 477.8 99.6 378.2 109.0 79.1 29.9 14.2 1.3 17.3 82.6 119.5 34.3Dec .................... 508.6 95.3 413.3 114.0 80.7 33.3 15.3 1.5 17.3 93.1 133.1 39.01979: June ................... 516.6 94.6 422.0 115.5 80.6 34.9 16.0 3.8 18.6 102.7 114.9 50.5Dec .................... 540.5 95.6 444.9 118.0 79.9 38.1 15.6 5.6 17.0 100.2 119.0 69.51980: June ................... 558.2 98.5 459.7 116.5 73.4 43.1 15.3 5.3 14.0 100.1 118.2 90.3Dec .................... 616.4 111.5 504.9 117.1 72.5 44.6 18.1 3.5 19.3 114.2 129.7 103.01981: June ................... 651.2 115.0 536.2 107.4 69.2 38.2 19.9 9.0 19.9 128.1 136.6 115.3Dec .................... 694.5 113.8 580.7 110.8 68.1 42.7 21.6 21.5 17.9 135.9 136.6 136.41982: June ................... 740.9 114.7 626.2 114.1 67.4 46.7 24.4 22.4 17.6 157.9 137.2 152.6Dec .................... 848.4 134.0 714.4 116.5 68.3 48.2 30.6 42.6 24.5 163.2 149.5 187.51983: June ................... 948.6 167.4 781.2 121.3 69.7 51.6 37.8 28.3 32.8 183.9 160.1 217.0Dec .................... 1,022.6 179.5 843.1 133.4 71.5 61.9 46.0 22.8 39.7 198.1 166.3 236.81984: June ................... 1,102.2 180.6 921.6 142.2 72.9 69.3 51.2 14.9 45.3 218.8 171.6 277.6Dec .................... 1,212.5 181.5 1,031.0 143.8 74.5 69.3 64.5 25.9 50.1 233.9 205.9 306.91985: June ................... 1,292.0 195.6 1,096.4 148.7 76.7 72.0 69.1 24.8 54.9 267.7 213.8 317.4Dec .................... 1,417.2 189.4 1,227.8 154.8 79.8 75.0 80.5 25.1 59.0 341.6 224.8 342.01986: June ................... 1,502.7 194.4 1,308.3 159.5 83.8 75.7 87.9 22.8 61.2 381.2 250.9 344.8Dec .................... 1,602.0 197.7 1,404.3 162.7 92.3 70.4 101.6 28.6 68.8 418.6 263.4 360.61987: June ................... 1,658.1 192.5 1,465.6 165.6 96.8 68.8 104.7 20.6 79.7 464.4 281.1 349.5Dec .................... 1,731.4 194.4 1,537.0 172.4 101.1 71.3 108.1 14.6 84.6 478.3 299.7 379.31988: June ................... 1,786.7 190.8 1,595.9 182.0 106.2 75.8 113.5 13.4 87.6 482.8 345.4 371.2Dec .................... 1,858.5 185.3 1,673.2 190.4 109.6 80.8 118.6 11.8 86.0 488.1 362.2 416.11989: June ................... 1,909.1 178.4 1,730.7 211.7 114.0 97.7 120.6 11.3 91.0 482.6 369.1 444.4Dec .................... 2,015.8 165.3 1,850.5 216.4 117.7 98.7 123.9 14.9 93.4 493.9 429.6 478.41990: June ................... 2,141.8 177.3 1,964.5 229.6 121.9 107.7 133.7 28.0 96.9 545.2 427.3 503.8Dec .................... 2,288.3 172.1 2,116.2 233.8 126.2 107.6 138.2 45.5 108.9 550.3 458.4 581.11991: June .................. 2,397.9 196.2 2,201.7 243.5 133.2 110.3 156.8 55.2 130.8 565.9 473.6 575.8Dec .................... 2,563.2 232.5 2,330.7 263.9 138.1 125.8 181.8 80.0 150.8 583.0 491.7 579.51992: June .................. 2,712.4 267.0 2,445.4 275.1 145.4 129.7 192.8 79.4 175.0 576.8 529.6 616.7Dec .................... 2,839.9 294.4 2,545.5 289.2 157.3 131.9 197.5 79.7 192.5 566.0 549.7 670.91993: June ................... 2,936.3 307.2 2,629.1 303.0 166.5 136.4 217.8 76.2 206.1 594.7 567.7 663.6Dec .................... 3,047.4 322.2 2,725.2 309.9 171.9 137.9 234.5 80.8 213.0 610.8 622.9 653.41994: Mar .................... 3,094.6 344.4 2,750.2 315.1 175.0 140.1 233.4 69.3 216.3 614.4 633.3 668.3June .................. 3,088.2 330.1 2,758.1 321.1 177.1 144.0 238.0 59.9 226.3 595.9 633.2 683.7Sept ................... 3,127.8 313.2 2,814.6 327.2 178.6 148.6 243.7 59.9 229.3 567.7 655.8 731.0Dec .................... 3,168.0 290.4 2,877.6 331.1 180.5 150.7 240.1 67.6 224.5 541.0 640.7 832.61995: Mar .................... 3,239.2 308.1 2,931.1 342.7 181.4 161.4 244.2 67.7 230.3 531.7 681.2 833.2June .................. 3,245.0 298.4 2,946.6 344.2 182.6 161.6 245.0 58.7 227.7 488.6 736.3 846.1Sept ................... 3,279.5 289.4 2,990.1 345.9 183.5 162.4 245.2 64.2 224.1 480.2 800.4 830.1Dec .................... 3,294.9 278.7 3,016.2 347.7 185.0 162.7 241.5 71.5 228.8 465.6 814.2 846.91996: Mar .................... 3,382.8 284.0 3,098.8 347.2 185.8 161.4 239.4 85.7 229.0 464.8 888.7 844.0June ................... 3,347.3 280.2 3,067.1 347.6 186.5 161.1 229.5 82.4 230.9 474.3 912.3 790.1Sept ................... 3,386.2 275.0 3,111.2 353.7 186.8 167.0 226.8 85.2 249.1 453.2 978.1 765.1Dec .................... 3,411.2 261.8 3,149.4 356.6 187.0 169.6 214.1 91.6 258.5 447.5 1,087.6 693.51997: Mar .................... 3,451.7 282.3 3,169.4 355.4 186.5 168.9 182.1 84.2 262.5 443.1 1,144.2 697.8June ................... 3,361.7 265.9 3,095.8 355.4 186.3 169.1 183.5 77.4 261.0 441.3 1,172.9 604.3Sept ................... 3,388.9 261.8 3,127.1 354.8 186.2 168.6 187.3 75.8 266.5 446.8 1,218.2 577.7Dec .................... 3,393.4 270.3 3,123.1 354.9 186.5 168.4 176.6 88.9 265.0 444.1 1,230.6 563.01998: Mar .................... 3,430.7 278.6 3,152.1 352.1 186.3 165.8 182.2 84.8 268.1 444.8 1,240.3 579.8June ................... 3,330.6 263.7 3,066.9 351.1 186.0 165.0 185.0 82.7 267.2 464.7 1,248.6 467.7Sept ................... 3,301.0 260.0 3,041.0 352.3 186.0 166.4 188.0 84.2 271.4 469.0 1,217.2 458.91U.S. savings bonds, series A–F and J, are included at current redemption value.2Includes domestically chartered banks, U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, New York investment companies majority owned byforeign banks, and Edge Act corporations owned by domestically chartered banks, foreign banks, and banks in U.S. affiliated territories.3Includes partnerships and personal trust accounts.4Includes U.S. savings notes. Sales began May 1, 1967, and were discontinued June 30, 1970.5Exclusive of banks and insurance companies.6This category includes nonmarketable State and local government series, Treasury securities, and holdings of State and local pension andother funds.7Consists of the investments of foreign and international accounts (both official and private) in U.S. public debt issues. Reflects 1978benchmark through December 1984; December 1984 benchmark through December 1989; December 1989 benchmark to December 1994; andDecember 1994 benchmark thereafter.8Includes savings and loan associations, credit unions, nonprofit institutions, mutual savings banks, corporate pension trust funds, dealersand brokers, certain Government deposit accounts, and Government-sponsored enterprises.Source: Department of the Treasury.430
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EconomicReportof thePresidentTransm
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C O N T E N T SPageECONOMIC REPORT
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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENTTo
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Once we have saved Social Security,
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THE ANNUAL REPORTOF THECOUNCIL OF E
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C O N T E N T SPageCHAPTER 1. MEETI
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PageCHAPTER 5. REGULATION AND INNOV
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Page2-3. Accounting for Growth in R
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CHAPTER 1Meeting Challenges and Bui
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Box 1-1.—The Dating of Business C
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Chart 1-1 Core Inflation and Unempl
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expansion prematurely. In fact, the
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the duration of the typical unemplo
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all individuals aged 65 and older r
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CHAPTER 2Macroeconomic Policyand Pe
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Then the chapter explores two other
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target Federal funds rate brought t
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high of 66.8 percent in the third q
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the third-quarter deceleration and
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(that is, excluding food and energy
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probably would have increased by ab
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Equities clearly involve risk as we
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highest level in at least 40 years
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about the potential impact of large
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Chart 2-8 Corporate Profits and Net
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productivity; the latter is in turn
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the year 2000, mistaking it instead
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construct an accurate forecasting m
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the recent surge in productivity re
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Box 2-3.—continuedhowever. Import
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Chart 2-12 Three Measures of Core I
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a level of capacity utilization tha
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Box 2-4.—continuedChanges to be i
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Nonfarm manufacturing and trade inv
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has been for the past 3 years. But
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who have traditionally not fared as
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Box 3-1.—continuedas well as full
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and been replaced by younger, more
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Particularly interesting, however,
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Chart 3-5 Median Hourly Wages of Me
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In fact, in 1990 immigrants and nat
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Box 3-2.—continuedsome firms may
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Box 3-3.—continuedmaximum of $3,7
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willing to hire welfare recipients
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participation. The renewed increase
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TANF grants in reserve at the Treas
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JOB DISPLACEMENTWorkers are conside
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evidence finds that the percentage
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their non-labor market activities.
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The Administration is especially co
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CHAPTER 4Work, Retirement, and theE
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Chart 4-1 Life Expectancy at Age 65
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Population aging is not just an Ame
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Box 4-1.—continuedfor couples and
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earlier retirement, by increasing l
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uyouts may also have contributed to
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Box 4-2.—Social Security RulesThe
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available with the same hourly pay,
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Box 4-4.—Types of Pension PlansUn
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worker—declined. More of these ol
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survey) was about 13 percent higher
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well-being is that families have di
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Chart 4-9 Living Arrangements of El
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mentioned earlier in this chapter a
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Box 4-7.—The Federal Role in Empl
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inequality among retirees who have
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whether minorities and women are li
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TABLE 4-4.—Poverty Rates Among th
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TABLE 4-6.—Family Holdings of Fin
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variety of reasons, including the f
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the number of patents granted in th
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The United States has a decades-lon
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matter, depending on various condit
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company Roche Holdings, Ltd. Some o
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The antitrust authorities’ linkin
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Box 5-3.—Cooperative Innovation a
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machine owned by another. The disti
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companies begin to offer DSL servic
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and compete for customers on the ba
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In another part of the Internet mar
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technology at hand. But incentive-b
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the flexibility to choose lower cos
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In contrast to both performance and
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The SO 2 experience reveals several
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Box 5-7.—The Partnership for a Ne
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Consumers’ investment in energy e
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clean-energy projects in developing
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Chart 5-2 Energy Efficiency and Pri
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equipment, and more than 90 percent
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Box 5-9.—Is There an Environmenta
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larger coal plants. In 1994 these t
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around the country, and seven other
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other social goals. The fund would
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greater opportunity, faster growth,
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Chart 6-1 Net Capital Flows to Deve
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Box 6-1.—The Explosive Growth of
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Recent Financial LiberalizationIn m
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and investment (although openness t
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Box 6-2.—Market-Based (Arm’s-Le
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conditionality in the face of unsou
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Box 6-4.—Sovereign Spreads in Eme
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social safety nets in the crisis co
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Box 6-5.—Moral Hazard in Financia
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Empirical studies confirm that, by
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withdrew $26 billion in 1997. Altho
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America, and these linkages partly
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8.5 percent of GDP in 1998. Indones
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sary revenues to meet these extra i
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which is considered a monetary asse
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ates at home, they sought higher re
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Chart 6-3 Real Value of the Dollar
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The increase in the trade deficit a
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Chart 6-6 Current Account BalanceTh
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Chart 6-7 Economic Growth and Trade
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investment. The U.S. gross investme
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Chart 6-10 Current Account Deficit
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with other countries to strengthen
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REFORM OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCI
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about their macroeconomic and finan
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decisions respond to market signals
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Other measures recommended by the w
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ADOPTION OF MEASURES TO REFORM THEI
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Issues Posed by Hedge Funds and Oth
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the best investment opportunities,
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egulation of inflows to banks alone
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emerging markets will take time to
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Box 7-1.—continuedpartner; a stro
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Chart 7-1 European Short-Term Inter
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members agreed in a separate Growth
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Box 7-2.—continuedthrough an auto
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advantages of EMU to U.S. residents
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Box 7-3.—How Does the Dollar Rank
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as an economic superpower early in
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Appendix AREPORT TO THE PRESIDENT O
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Council Members and Their Dates of
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The Chair and Members work as a tea
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countries. The Council heads the U.
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Chief of Staff and General CounselM
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affiliations. They are Christopher
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C O N T E N T SNATIONAL INCOME OR E
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B-71. Aggregate reserves of deposit
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General NotesDetail in these tables
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TABLE B-1.—Gross domestic product
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TABLE B-2.—Real gross domestic pr
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TABLE B-4.—Percent changes in rea
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TABLE B-5.—Contributions to perce
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TABLE B-6.—Chain-type quantity in
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TABLE B-7.—Chain-type price index
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TABLE B-9.—Real gross domestic pr
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Year orquarterGrossdomesticproductT
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YearBased on1972 SIC:TABLE B-13.—
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TABLE B-15.—Output, costs, and pr
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TABLE B-17.—Real personal consump
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TABLE B-19.—Real private gross fi
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TABLE B-21.—Real government consu
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TABLE B-23.—Real inventories and
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TABLE B-25.—Real exports and impo
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TABLE B-27.—Relation of national
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TABLE B-28.—National income by ty
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TABLE B-29.—Sources of personal i
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TABLE B-31.—Total and per capita
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TABLE B-32.—Gross saving and inve
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POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT, WAGES, AND
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TABLE B-35.—Civilian population a
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TABLE B-37.—Civilian employment b
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TABLE B-39.—Civilian labor force
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TABLE B-41.—Civilian employment/p
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TABLE B-43.—Civilian unemployment
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- Page 412 and 413: TABLE B-76.—Mortgage debt outstan
- Page 414 and 415: GOVERNMENT FINANCETABLE B-78.—Fed
- Page 416 and 417: TABLE B-80.—Federal receipts and
- Page 418 and 419: TABLE B-82.—Federal Government re
- Page 420 and 421: TABLE B-84.—Federal and State and
- Page 422 and 423: TABLE B-86.—State and local gover
- Page 426 and 427: CORPORATE PROFITS AND FINANCETABLE
- Page 428 and 429: TABLE B-92.—Corporate profits of
- Page 430 and 431: TABLE B-94.—Relation of profits a
- Page 432 and 433: Year or monthTABLE B-96.—Business
- Page 434 and 435: End of yearTotalassetsTABLE B-98.
- Page 436 and 437: YearFarm population,April 1Number(t
- Page 438 and 439: YearTABLE B-102.—U.S. exports and
- Page 440 and 441: TABLE B-103.—U.S. international t
- Page 442 and 443: TABLE B-105.—U.S. international t
- Page 444 and 445: TABLE B-107.—International invest
- Page 446 and 447: TABLE B-109.—Civilian unemploymen
- Page 448 and 449: TABLE B-111.—International reserv