Car Ownership? Evidence from the Copenhagen Metropolitan Area
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In this equation <strong>the</strong> levels of , and , that occur in <strong>the</strong> numerator refer to <strong>the</strong><br />
situation before <strong>the</strong> extension of <strong>the</strong> metro network. 25<br />
<br />
corresponds with <strong>the</strong> change ∆ln ,, in log income can be determined as:<br />
The change in income itself that<br />
<br />
∆ ,,<br />
1 ∆ <br />
,, <br />
(A5)<br />
If households would not change <strong>the</strong>ir location, housing type or car ownership position, this<br />
would suffice to compute <strong>the</strong> welfare impact of <strong>the</strong> change in <strong>the</strong> metro network. However, <strong>the</strong><br />
changes in <strong>the</strong> utilities of <strong>the</strong> choice alternatives that occur as a consequence of <strong>the</strong> extension of<br />
<strong>the</strong> metro network will induce some households to change <strong>the</strong>ir residential location, car<br />
ownership position or perhaps even <strong>the</strong>ir housing type.<br />
To take this into account as well, we use <strong>the</strong> results of De Palma and Kilani (2003). We<br />
start by defining ∆ <br />
<br />
as <strong>the</strong> largest of <strong>the</strong> conditional compensating variations:<br />
<br />
∆ max ,, ∆ ,, (A6)<br />
DePalma and Kilani (2003) show that <strong>the</strong> unconditional compensating variation is always<br />
between <strong>the</strong> minimum and <strong>the</strong> maximum of <strong>the</strong> conditional compensating variations.<br />
To be able to compute it exactly we define functions ,, as follows:<br />
,, <br />
<br />
,, , , , , , , ; , (A7)<br />
where <strong>the</strong> values of , and , refer to <strong>the</strong> situation with <strong>the</strong> extended metro network.<br />
<br />
Clearly, if ∆ ,, , ,, is equal to <strong>the</strong> utility household I experienced before <strong>the</strong><br />
∗<br />
extension of <strong>the</strong> metro network. Now define: ,,<br />
<br />
<br />
max ,, , ,, ∆ ,, and<br />
let ∗ denote <strong>the</strong> logit choice probabilities defined on <strong>the</strong> basis of <strong>the</strong>se utilities: 26<br />
25 The income level that occurs in <strong>the</strong> denominator refers (<strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> derivation of (A.3)) to <strong>the</strong> situation after <strong>the</strong><br />
extension of <strong>the</strong> metro network, but we assume throughout that household income does not change because of <strong>the</strong><br />
extension of <strong>the</strong> metro network.<br />
26 This equation is analogous to (2) for <strong>the</strong> generator function of <strong>the</strong> multinomial logit model.<br />
50