TRAFFICKING IN PERSONS

Table 3.2 Population estimated affected by the earthquakes, Nepal
Number
Total population 5,700,000
Total women’s population (50.5%) 2,710,239
Female headed households (26.5%) 326,943
Women with disabilities 39,987
Elderly women (65 + years 6% of the total female population) 163,043
Girls under 14 years of age (28% of the total female population) 764,226
Illiterate women (29% of the total female population) 794,529
Dalit population (16.3%) 929,000
Number of children out of school 1,399,000
Pregnant and lactating women 126,000
Number of women at risk of gender-based violence 40,000
Source: Gender Equality Bulletin No. 1.
3.1.3 Increase in Number and Proportion of Poor
According to the World Bank estimate (2015)5, the proportion of poor in Nepal will increase by 2
percent (on the assumption of low impact), by 2.8 percent (on the assumption of medium impact) by
3.7 percent (on the assumption of high impact) into poverty in 2015/16. The proportions and
number of poor would substantially increase in mountains and central hills of Nepal. With the
assumption of medium-impact of the earthquake on the Nepalese economy, the proportion of poor
in mountains would increase to 43.8 percent from 35.9 percent; and in central hills, it would
increase from 25.8 percent to 41.2 percent. The absolute number of poor at the national level, on
the assumption of earthquake impact of low, medium and high scenarios, will be 561,000; 786,000
and 1038,000, respectively. Almost half number of poor of Nepal would be in central hills. Thus,
central hills and mountains would be the pocket of poverty-hit areas coupled by the emotional and
psychological distress. This is one of the crucial vulnerability situations of all persons including
children, young, adult, elderly, men and women.
Table 3.3 Poverty impact earthquake of April 25, 2015 and aftershocks under three scenarios
% of poor Low impact Medium-impact High impact
(Baseline
no
earthquake
scenario
2015)
% poor Number
of poor
(in ‘000)
% poor Number of
poor (in
‘000)
% poor Number of
poor (in
‘000)
National 21.2 23.2 561 24.0 786 24.9 1038
Mountains 35.9 41.1 102 43.8 152 45.1 180
Urban
Kathmandu 9.4 12.1 43 13.0 56 14.6 82
Other hills 7.3 7.8 6 7.8 6 7.8 6
Rural
Eastern
hills
13.0 13.7 13 14.1 19 14.2 22
Central
hills
25.8 36.6 280 41.2 395 45.1 500
Western 21.8 24.3 66 25.8 106 27.1 141
hills
Source: NPC, 2015a.
5 The World Bank (cited in NPC, 2015) carried out the impact of earthquakes of April 25 and aftershocks on poverty level in
Nepal under three different scenarios: low, medium and high impact. Four indicators were taken into account: i) % loss
of housing and durable assets loss (50%, 70% and 100% for low, medium and high, respectively); ii) % loss in annual
income loss (35%, 45% and 50% for low, medium and high respectively); iii) % of growth rate in 2015/16 (4.5%, 4.5% and
4% in low, medium and high, respectively) and iv) % increase in foreign remittance (15%, 5% and 0% for low, medium
and high projection, respectively).
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