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The Intelligence Review | vol. 1 | iss. 1 |

This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Eleven CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics range from the price of oil to political stability in Venezuela, from the territorial cohesion of Iraq to the future of the Islamic State, and many other pressing subjects that feature daily in news headlines. CIB analysts propose carefully crafted and informed forecasts that outline future developments in some of the world's most unpredictable hot spots.

This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Eleven CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics range from the price of oil to political stability in Venezuela, from the territorial cohesion of Iraq to the future of the Islamic State, and many other pressing subjects that feature daily in news headlines. CIB analysts propose carefully crafted and informed forecasts that outline future developments in some of the world's most unpredictable hot spots.

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Introduction<br />

Dr. Joseph Fitsanakis<br />

Assistant Professor, <strong>Intelligence</strong> and National Security Studies, Coastal Carolina University<br />

Deputy Director, European <strong>Intelligence</strong> Academy<br />

In the opening lines of his 1966 book Strategic <strong>Intelligence</strong> for American World Policy, Sherman<br />

Kent proclaims that “intelligence means knowledge”. He goes on to explain that all intelligence<br />

activity “consists basically of two sorts of operation: [...] the surveillance operation, [namely] the<br />

many ways by which the contemporary world is put under close and systematic observation;<br />

and the research operation, [which describes] attempts to establish meaningful patterns out of<br />

what was observed in the past and attempts to get meaning out of what appears to be going<br />

on now”. <strong>The</strong> analytical pioneer of the Central <strong>Intelligence</strong> Agency proposes that the two<br />

operations “are virtually inseparable [and] closely bound together by their common devotion<br />

to the production of knowledge” (Kent 2015:3-4).<br />

Kent’s description of the intelligence process forms the methodological basis of the Chanticleer<br />

<strong>Intelligence</strong> Brief (CIB). <strong>The</strong> CIB is a student-led effort supported by the Department of Politics<br />

at Coastal Carolina University, which operates as an ancillary practicum for students in Coastal’s<br />

National Security and <strong>Intelligence</strong> Studies (INSS) program. <strong>The</strong> CIB was founded in early<br />

2015 because students in the INSS program asked for it. In the words of Benjamin Malone,<br />

the CIB’s founder and first executive director, the “original vision was for CIB to be designed<br />

for exceptional, dedicated intelligence students who wanted to […] show, at an undergraduate<br />

level, that they are capable of doing more than just graduating with a degree”. In doing so,<br />

students would gain “a better understanding of cultures and bring their regional familiarity to<br />

a whole new level”, he adds (Harvey 2016).<br />

<strong>The</strong> CIB, then, is an effort to implement Kent’s two-fold understanding of the intelligence process<br />

in the undergraduate environment. <strong>The</strong> central idea is that students who aspire to master<br />

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