23.07.2016 Views

The Intelligence Review | vol. 1 | iss. 1 |

This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Eleven CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics range from the price of oil to political stability in Venezuela, from the territorial cohesion of Iraq to the future of the Islamic State, and many other pressing subjects that feature daily in news headlines. CIB analysts propose carefully crafted and informed forecasts that outline future developments in some of the world's most unpredictable hot spots.

This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Eleven CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics range from the price of oil to political stability in Venezuela, from the territorial cohesion of Iraq to the future of the Islamic State, and many other pressing subjects that feature daily in news headlines. CIB analysts propose carefully crafted and informed forecasts that outline future developments in some of the world's most unpredictable hot spots.

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS
  • No tags were found...

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

occupation group were arrested on that day (Anon. 2016c). Eventually, a message <strong>iss</strong>ued through<br />

Ammon Bundy’s attorney urged other occupiers to stand down. Some members, including<br />

Ammon Bundy’s father, Cliven Bundy, told the supporters otherwise. Some of them, such as<br />

David Fry, insisted that they were willing to die for their cause, saying, “I’ll pass on and move<br />

on to the next life. I don’t know [how it will end], but I’m willing to go that far” (Anon. 2016c).<br />

Eventually, however, the occupation and standoff ended without further casualties. <strong>The</strong> occupation<br />

lasted for 41 days. Everyone in<strong>vol</strong>ved was arrested. <strong>The</strong> Bundy brothers are currently sitting<br />

in jail, facing conspiracy and weapons charges. Ammon and Ryan Bundy also face charges for<br />

participating in the 2014 standoff at the ranch of their father, Cliven Bundy. <strong>The</strong> latter was<br />

arrested for the 2014 standoff while on his way to the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge to<br />

participate in the occupation. Recently, the Bundy brothers unsuccessfully asked the court to<br />

“dism<strong>iss</strong> the indictments, arguing that the federal government lacks jurisdiction over the land<br />

that includes the wildlife sanctuary in eastern Oregon’s Harney County” (Bernstein 2016).<br />

Implications<br />

Following the arrest of the occupation’s leaders and the death of Finicum, outrage poured out<br />

among the supporters of the movement. In the minds of some supporters, the occupation and<br />

Finicum’s murder, which they saw as unjustified, strengthened the status and credibility of the<br />

Sovereign Citizens movement by proving that that they were indeed at war with the federal<br />

government (Hatewatch 2016). In the eyes of the movement’s supporters, Finicum has<br />

become a martyr for their cause (ibid.). However, these feelings are far from universal within<br />

the anti-federal government movement. For instance, the Oath Keepers have denounced the<br />

Citizens for Constitutional Freedom and opposed the occupation of the Malheur Refuge<br />

because, according to one of their communiqués, “it harms the Movement. [<strong>The</strong> Bundy<br />

Group] has become the aggressors and, by doing so, loses the moral high ground” (Anon.<br />

2016a). <strong>The</strong> Bundy group has also been criticized by rightwing activists for hindering the antifederal<br />

government movement by resorting to extremely radical actions. Similarly, even<br />

though a number of mainstream Republican Party supporters share some beliefs with the<br />

broader anti-government movement, such as limiting federal government regulations, the<br />

2016 presidential candidates did not support the movement’s methods. Characteristically,<br />

Texas Senator and 2016 Presidential candidate Ted Cruz said he hoped for a peaceful<br />

resolution to the standoff (Natour and Barajas 2016). <strong>The</strong> leading candidate in the race for the<br />

candidacy, Donald Trump, said: “you have to maintain law and order, no matter what” and<br />

“you cannot let people take over federal property” (Krueger 2016).<br />

Conclusion<br />

If the goal of the Oregon occupation and subsequent standoff was to unite the anti-federal<br />

government right, and to increase the appeal of Sovereign Citizens among Republican Party<br />

voters, then it clearly failed. Even though the standoff itself was marked by the participation<br />

of numerous far-right militants from across the country, much of the broader movement<br />

viewed it as ultimately damaging. <strong>The</strong>refore, it can be stated with high confidence that the<br />

Oregon standoff will not in itself galvanize the ranks of the Sovereign Citizens and its satellite<br />

groups. However, the Sovereign Citizens movement has been around for decades and is today<br />

far from d<strong>iss</strong>ipating. Recent events, such as the killing of five police officers in Dallas, Texas,<br />

57

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!