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Transnational Crime and the Developing World

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XIV. Conclusion<br />

<strong>Transnational</strong> crime is a business, <strong>and</strong> business is very good. As shown in Table X, <strong>the</strong> combined annual<br />

value of <strong>the</strong> 11 transnational criminal markets examined in this report is estimated to be US$1.6 trillion to<br />

$2.2 trillion. These massive revenues are <strong>the</strong> primary motivation for individuals, organized crime groups<br />

(OCGs), terrorists, <strong>and</strong> insurgent groups to engage in <strong>the</strong>se illegal activities. <strong>Transnational</strong> crime will<br />

continue to grow until <strong>the</strong> paradigm of high profits <strong>and</strong> low risks is challenged; profits must be slashed<br />

<strong>and</strong> risks intensified.<br />

Table AA. The Retail Value of <strong>Transnational</strong> <strong>Crime</strong><br />

<strong>Transnational</strong> <strong>Crime</strong><br />

Estimated Annual Value (US$)<br />

Drug Trafficking $426 billion to $652 billion<br />

Small Arms & Light Weapons Trafficking $1.7 billion to $3.5 billion<br />

Human Trafficking $150.2 billion<br />

Organ Trafficking $840 million to $1.7 billion<br />

Trafficking in Cultural Property $1.2 billion to $1.6 billion<br />

Counterfeiting $923 billion to $1.13 trillion<br />

Illegal Wildlife Trade $5 billion to $23 billion<br />

IUU Fishing $15.5 billion to $36.4 billion<br />

Illegal Logging $52 billion to $157 billion<br />

Illegal Mining $12 billion to $48 billion<br />

Crude Oil Theft $5.2 billion to $11.9 billion<br />

Total<br />

$1.6 trillion to $2.2 trillion<br />

Dirty money begets dirty money: <strong>the</strong> revenues generated from crime not only line <strong>the</strong> pockets of<br />

perpetrators but also finance additional criminal activities <strong>and</strong> violence. A primary illustration of this is<br />

seen in drug trafficking organizations beginning to invest in o<strong>the</strong>r illegal markets, including illegal mining,<br />

wildlife trafficking, <strong>and</strong> crude oil <strong>the</strong>ft. Stopping <strong>the</strong> flow of dirty money prevents criminals from profiting,<br />

<strong>and</strong> it combats <strong>the</strong> perpetuation of crime.<br />

Interdiction of illegal commodities is important, but <strong>the</strong>se are profit-motivated crimes—more action is<br />

needed that focuses on <strong>the</strong> money. Law enforcement must place a much greater emphasis on following<br />

<strong>and</strong> seizing <strong>the</strong> money in order to underst<strong>and</strong>, identify, <strong>and</strong> disrupt trafficking networks.<br />

The opacity of <strong>the</strong> global financial system—particularly anonymous shell companies <strong>and</strong> secrecy<br />

jurisdictions—greatly enables criminals to profit from transnational organized crime by providing<br />

anonymity <strong>and</strong> protection. The Panama Papers investigation includes numerous examples of <strong>the</strong>se<br />

connections, including ties to drug trafficking, art <strong>the</strong>ft, money laundering, terrorism, corruption, robbery,<br />

tax evasion, <strong>and</strong> fraud. 432 So long as <strong>the</strong>re is a vibrant global shadow financial system, so too will<br />

transnational crime thrive.<br />

Authorities have not regarded some crimes, including natural resource crimes as well as trafficking<br />

in counterfeit goods, as serious transnational organized crime. There is not an inherent high level of<br />

violence associated with <strong>the</strong>se activities, unlike drugs <strong>and</strong> arms trafficking, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>y have <strong>the</strong>refore<br />

been treated with less urgency <strong>and</strong> fewer resources. What is overlooked is <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> proceeds<br />

from <strong>the</strong>se crimes can provide financing to violent OCGs, terrorists, <strong>and</strong> insurgent groups, as well as<br />

undermine <strong>the</strong> wellbeing of communities.<br />

432<br />

International Consortium of Investigative Journalists, “Giant Leak of Offshore Financial Records Exposes Global Array of <strong>Crime</strong> <strong>and</strong> Corruption,”<br />

The Panama Papers, April 3, 2016, https://panamapapers.icij.org/20160403-panama-papers-global-overview.html.<br />

<strong>Transnational</strong> <strong>Crime</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Developing</strong> <strong>World</strong> 99

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