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Winter 2016

Texas LAND

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TEXAS LAND / Market<br />

WRITTEN BY CHARLES E. GILLILAND, PH.D.<br />

RESEARCH ECONOMIST | REAL ESTATE CENTER | TEXAS A&M UNIVERSITY<br />

THIRD<br />

QUARTER<br />

PRICES<br />

By the end of the third quarter, Texas land markets had shaken off the drag<br />

inspired by low oil prices and challenging returns to agriculture to post a 4.6<br />

percent increase over 2015 prices. At $2,554 per acre, <strong>2016</strong> markets saw<br />

prices reach historically high levels statewide. That third quarter increase<br />

indicated market trends moved up from levels recorded in the first two<br />

quarters. The statewide typical size expanded to 1,441, nearly 280 acres larger<br />

than the 2015 third quarter size. The inflation adjusted price rose to $445 per<br />

acre (in 1966 dollars) continuing the market’s record breaking performance .<br />

Pounded by the retreat from the Eagle Ford shale play, South Texas and the<br />

Gulf Coast – Brazos Bottom regions saw land prices slip below 2015 levels.<br />

Price increases in the West Texas, Northeast Texas, and Austin— Waco—Hill<br />

Country regions offset weakness with strong first three-quarter increasing<br />

price trends.<br />

As the elections draw to a close, observers see signs an end to oil price<br />

turmoil. These developments inspire market participants to anticipate<br />

improving conditions while general economic growth hints at continuing<br />

demand for Texas rural land.<br />

TEXAS RURAL LAND PRICES—PRELIMINARY <strong>2016</strong> FIRST THREE QUARTERS<br />

Dollars per Acre<br />

CHANGES IN TEXAS RURAL LAND PRICES—PRELIMINARY <strong>2016</strong> FIRST THREE QUARTERS<br />

Dollars per Acre<br />

168

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