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SECTION 2 | METRO FORECAST SUMMARIES<br />
Metro: Cincinnati<br />
Benchmark: Red 49<br />
Payroll Job Summary<br />
Total Payrolls (4Q<strong>17</strong>) 1,109,233<br />
4Q<strong>17</strong> Year-on-Year Change 14,900 / 1.36%<br />
RCR 2018 Forecast 16,600 / 1.5%<br />
RCR 2019 Forecast 13,500 / 1.2%<br />
RCR 2020 Forecast 11,400 / 10%<br />
RCR 2021 Forecast 12,900 / 1.12%<br />
Payroll Job Summary<br />
Total Payrolls (4Q<strong>17</strong>) 75,856,600<br />
4Q<strong>17</strong> Year-on-Year Change 1,287,000 / 1.73%<br />
RCR 2018 Forecast 1,587,500 / 2.09%<br />
RCR 2019 Forecast 1,128,900 / 1.46%<br />
RCR 2020 Forecast 916,200 / 1.<strong>17</strong>%<br />
RCR 2021 Forecast 999,000 / 1.29%<br />
Occupancy Rate Summary<br />
4Q<strong>17</strong> Occupancy Rate (Reis) 95.31%<br />
Occupancy Rate Summary<br />
Occupancy Rate (Reis) 95.44%<br />
RED 49 Rank 28<br />
Annual Chg. (Reis) -0.6%<br />
RCR YE18 Forecast 94.6%<br />
RCR YE19 Forecast 94.5%<br />
RCR YE20 Forecast 93.7%<br />
RCR YE21 Forecast 93.2%<br />
Annual Chg. (Reis) -0.4%<br />
RCR YE18 Forecast 95.0%<br />
RCR YE19 Forecast 95.2%<br />
RCR YE20 Forecast 95.2%<br />
RCR YE21 Forecast 95.2%<br />
Effective Rent Summary<br />
Mean Rent (Reis) $836<br />
Annual Change 2.5%<br />
Effective Rent Summary<br />
Mean Rent (Reis) $1,342<br />
Annual Change 3.9%<br />
RED 49 Rent Change Rank 34<br />
RCR YE18 Forecast 3.1%<br />
RCR YE19 Forecast 2.6%<br />
RCR YE20 Forecast 2.7%<br />
RCR YE21 Forecast 93.2%<br />
RCR YE18 Forecast 3.8%<br />
RCR YE19 Forecast 3.4%<br />
RCR YE20 Forecast 3.1%<br />
RCR YE21 Forecast 3.2%<br />
Total Return Summary<br />
Expected Total Return 7.20%<br />
Total Return Summary<br />
Avg. Expected Total Return 6.97%<br />
ETR RED 49 RANK 21<br />
Risk-adjusted Index (RAI) 4.70<br />
Risk-adjusted Index (RAI) 4.16<br />
RAI RED 49 RANK 14<br />
Generic Purchase Cap Rate 6.40%<br />
Derived Terminal Cap Rate 7.19%<br />
Average Purchase Cap Rate 5.21%<br />
Average Terminal Cap Rate 5.79%<br />
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