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Sema Show Daily 2018

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Electronics Industry Opportunity Begins With Forward-Collision Warning, continued from page 13<br />

penetration beginning around 2011.<br />

We should again emphasize that,<br />

unlike active FCW/AEB systems,<br />

passive systems merely alert drivers<br />

to impending danger. In active<br />

systems, multiple types of AEB technologies<br />

are combined with FCW,<br />

such as dynamic brake support and<br />

crash-imminent braking.<br />

Dynamic brake support activates<br />

when a driver has not applied the<br />

brakes hard enough to avoid a collision,<br />

automatically increasing braking<br />

to assist in lessening an accident’s<br />

severity. Crash-imminent braking<br />

systems activate when a driver is not<br />

able to apply the brakes at all, automatically<br />

braking in an effort to avoid<br />

or reduce speed at impact. Available<br />

since the mid-’00s, these active systems<br />

have been tremendous advances<br />

in consumer safety.<br />

Adoption, Drivers<br />

and Barriers<br />

Forward-collision avoidance systems<br />

are playing an ever-greater role<br />

in OEM vehicle offerings. In fact,<br />

research credits them with a historic<br />

10%–15% reduction in rearend-type<br />

accidents—and an injury-reduction<br />

rate of 15%–20%. Research has also<br />

shown that pairing AEB systems with<br />

FCW can cut rearend accidents by as<br />

much as 50%.<br />

Even when accidents can’t be<br />

avoided, these systems nevertheless<br />

can reduce the severity of collisions<br />

and bodily-injury claims by<br />

approximately 30%. Adoption of<br />

these systems has therefore accelerated<br />

recently, with the National Highway<br />

Traffic Safety Administration,<br />

the Insurance Institute for Highway<br />

Safety and major automakers agreeing<br />

to standardize these technologies<br />

on every vehicle by 2020. That said,<br />

there are still as many as 230 million<br />

vehicles on the road that could potentially<br />

use aftermarket solutions.<br />

Increased adoption of FCW systems<br />

at the OEM level is expected<br />

to continue to dramatically decrease<br />

accidents as time goes on. These systems<br />

are most effective when combined<br />

with multiple technologies to<br />

assist drivers who may be distracted<br />

or slow to react to potential collisions<br />

on their own. For the aftermarket, one<br />

of the main challenges in the adoption<br />

of these systems are the false positive<br />

or negative readings they have been<br />

known to give, which can discourage<br />

drivers from using them.<br />

FORWARD-COLLISION AVOIDANCE SYSTEMS: AFTERMARKET PENETRATION<br />

Confidential<br />

© SEMA | Ducker<br />

© Ducker<br />

Worldwide<br />

Worldwide<br />

| Center for Automotive Research<br />

Aftermarket Presence<br />

While a growing number of OEMs<br />

offer FCW systems as standard or<br />

optional equipment on their vehicles,<br />

consumers are expected to fill gaps<br />

on lower-trim or older models with<br />

aftermarket solutions. In such cases,<br />

passive FCW technologies will be the<br />

SEMA Advanced Vehicle Technology<br />

Opportunity Report Study - 2017<br />

Despite an approximate 20% installation rate of forward-collision avoidance systems at the OEM level, these systems<br />

are installed on only 2%–3% of the total vehicles in operation; however, these systems will be standard on all new<br />

vehicles produced by 2022.<br />

140,000<br />

120,000<br />

100,000<br />

80,000<br />

60,000<br />

40,000<br />

20,000<br />

-<br />

Potential Aftermarket Passive FCW Systems Sales<br />

(annual units sold)<br />

57,692<br />

124,553<br />

86,170<br />

2016 2017 <strong>2018</strong> 2019 2020 2021<br />

• Forecasted increase in demand at the aftermarket level is due to lower system costs and a perception of greater need for safety<br />

systems on older vehicles.<br />

– Forward-collision systems cost on average about $800 in aftermarket; market participants have noted increased costs at the<br />

OEM level for these systems, as they are often bundled with AEB systems to meet the 2022 standardization for approximately<br />

$2,500.<br />

• Forward-collision systems often can be installed by the end user, and many systems will have additional functionality bundled, such<br />

as lane departure and other camera-based systems.<br />

Source: Market Feedback, Ducker Analysis<br />

SEMA research indicates that the aftermarket can expect a tremendous rise in passive<br />

FCW system sales through 2021.<br />

$140<br />

$120<br />

$100<br />

$80<br />

$60<br />

$40<br />

$20<br />

$0<br />

Potential Aftermarket Passive FCW Systems Sales<br />

(millions of USD)<br />

$46<br />

more common aftermarket systems<br />

due to lower complexity and cost.<br />

In fact, SEMA research foresees limited<br />

aftermarket adoption of FCW/<br />

AEB technologies, since they require<br />

integration with OE brake and powertrain<br />

control systems, making<br />

installation difficult.<br />

$127<br />

2016 2017 <strong>2018</strong> 2019 2020 2021<br />

$88<br />

Source Market Feedback, Ducker Analysis<br />

30<br />

RACING &<br />

PERFORMANCE<br />

Continued from page 5<br />

Current as August 23, <strong>2018</strong><br />

Coverking ..............................20313<br />

CP-Carrillo Inc............................22529<br />

Craftsman ..............................21535<br />

Crane Cams.............................22720<br />

Crawford Performance.....................72005<br />

CSF Cooling-Racing & High<br />

Performance Division . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21525<br />

Cummins Inc. ...........................24229<br />

CUSCO USA Inc...........................24957<br />

Darton Sleeves ..........................21234<br />

DashLogic Inc............................20018<br />

Daystar Products .........................21301<br />

DCI Performance Products..................22621<br />

DDXX Carbon Ceramic Brake................52308<br />

DeatschWerks ...........................20577<br />

Delta Tech Industries ......................23613<br />

Depo Racing Technology Co. Ltd..............20644<br />

Derale Performance.......................22335<br />

Design Engineering .......................20013<br />

DevilsOwn Injection .......................20745<br />

Diamond Racing Products ..................24013<br />

Different Trend Inc. .......................20671<br />

Digipower ..............................51327<br />

Dimsport S.R.L ..........................20637<br />

Disc Brakes Australia-DBA USA ..............24113<br />

DNA Motoring ...........................24857<br />

Dongguan Jiafu Automobile<br />

Accessories Co. Ltd......................32339<br />

Doug Thorley Headers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24637<br />

Drenth Motorsports Gearboxes USA. ..........25021<br />

Driven Racing Oil.........................22713<br />

DSCsport ...............................50307<br />

DSS Racing Pistons .......................22816<br />

DTE Systems ............................53121<br />

Dynapack Dynamometers ..................20071<br />

Dynocom Industries Inc. ...................20167<br />

Dynojet Research.........................20237<br />

DynoMax/Rancho.........................25133<br />

DYNOmite Dynamometer ...................20649<br />

Dynotech Driveshafts......................20044<br />

Eagle Specialty Products Inc.................23127<br />

14 SEMA <strong>Show</strong> <strong>Daily</strong> | #SEMA<strong>2018</strong><br />

Eaton Performance Products ................22543<br />

EBC Brakes .............................24967<br />

EcuTek Technologies Ltd.. ..................22435<br />

Edelbrock LLC ...........................22643<br />

Eibach .................................23531<br />

Element Fire Extinguisher ..................38193<br />

ELP Motorsports .........................70001<br />

E-Motion USA ...........................20731<br />

E-Motor USA Inc. .........................25037<br />

EMPI Inc. ...............................23137<br />

Emtron Australia .........................20014<br />

ENEOS Motor Oil .........................24313<br />

Energy Suspension .......................23267<br />

EnvisionTEC. ............................20753<br />

EPAS Performance. .......................25023<br />

Ercolina-CML USA Inc.. ....................20531<br />

ESAB Welding & Cutting Products ............21615<br />

E3 Spark Plugs ..........................71000<br />

Everlast Welders .........................25017<br />

Exedy Globalparts Corp.. ...................20045<br />

E-Z UP Instant Shelters ....................20269<br />

Factory Five Racing .......................23229<br />

FANDA International Development Co. Ltd.. .....50238<br />

FAST (Fuel, Air, Spark Technology) ............22943<br />

Featherlite Trailers ........................20713<br />

Federal New Power (Qingdao) Co. Ltd.. ........33319<br />

Ferrea Racing Components .................21258<br />

Fidanza Performance ......................24617<br />

FiTech EFI ..............................21729<br />

Flex-A-Lite. .............................22513<br />

Florida Torque Converter ...................21741<br />

Foose Design Inc. ........................61001<br />

Forgeline Motorsports .....................25151<br />

Fragola Performance Systems/FK Rod Ends. ....24021<br />

FTP Motorsport ..........................51105<br />

FUELAB . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20034<br />

Gandrud Parts Center .....................15515<br />

Garrett Turbochargers .....................24665<br />

GC Cooling. .............................75004<br />

GFB Go Fast Bits .........................20641<br />

GForce Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25033<br />

G-Force Racing Gear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20048<br />

Globaltech Auto Parts Co. Ltd. ...............20765<br />

Gold Eagle Co.. ..........................20527<br />

Goodridge USA ..........................24515<br />

Granatelli Motor Sports Inc. .................23329<br />

Grassroots Motorsports ....................24633<br />

Greatwall Automotive Parts Co. Ltd.. ..........52446<br />

GReddy Performance Products Inc. ...........24867<br />

Green Car Factory ........................52135<br />

Green Filter USA .........................22327<br />

H&R Special Springs LP. ...................21401<br />

Hangzhou Magic Power Racing Parts Ltd. ......21721<br />

Hard Media Inc./ DSPORT Magazine ..........20571<br />

Hardrace USA/Velocityshop .................50331<br />

Harrop .................................38243<br />

Hawk Performance .......................23729<br />

Hayden Blue Streak .......................23723<br />

Heatshield Products Inc. ...................22721<br />

Hedman Performance Group ................22343<br />

High Performance Gear/RBT Transmissions .....24613<br />

Hillco Fastener Warehouse Inc. ..............71003<br />

Hi-Lustre Car Care Products ................20032<br />

HKI Air Suspension .......................21743<br />

HKS USA Inc. ............................21761<br />

Holley/MSD .............................22563<br />

Holley/Powerteq Group ....................22555<br />

Hondata Inc. ............................20166<br />

Hotchkis Sport Suspension .................21261<br />

Hot Rodders of Tomorrow ..................60007<br />

Hot Shoppe Designs Inc. ...................20646<br />

Hot Wheels Legends Tour. ..................61045<br />

House of Kolor ...........................23513<br />

Howards Cams ..........................20761<br />

HPS Performance Products .................31259<br />

HP Tuners LLC ...........................23629<br />

Hyperco-MW Industries ....................32255<br />

Hyperfuel Systems Inc. ....................24963<br />

Hypertech Inc ...........................20613<br />

IDEAL Co. Ltd. ...........................73001<br />

Inglese. ................................22943<br />

Injen Technology Co. ......................20343<br />

Innovate Motorsports. .....................22829<br />

Intercomp ..............................21206<br />

Intro-Tech Automotive Inc. ..................24775<br />

ISKY Racing Cams ........................22819<br />

ISSPRO Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22717<br />

JDM Sport ..............................24017<br />

JE Pistons ........................22657, 23017<br />

Jet-Hot ................................20143<br />

JET Performance Products. .................23713<br />

Jilcat Proline ............................51445<br />

JMD Perfortubeshop ......................50038<br />

JMS Chip USA ...........................20576<br />

JRP Inc./Sprint Booster ....................24835<br />

Junesun Industry.........................74005<br />

Justice Brothers Inc. ......................22924<br />

Kaeser Compressors Inc....................20037<br />

K&N Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22755<br />

K&P Engineering .........................20046<br />

KC HiLiTES Inc. ..........................23835<br />

KEMA Enterprise Co. Ltd....................20076<br />

Keystone Automotive Operations Inc...........21249<br />

King Engine Bearings......................73009<br />

KONI Shock Absorbers.....................24035<br />

Kooks Headers & Exhaust ..................24849<br />

KTS Turbobillet X .........................25120<br />

KUHL Racing ............................52327<br />

KW Automotive North America Inc.............23351<br />

L.A.SLEEVE .............................20176<br />

Ldrship Designs..........................34251<br />

Liang Fei Industry Co. Ltd. ..................21210<br />

Lincoln Electric ..........................24643<br />

Lingenfelter Performance Engineering .........25075<br />

Link Engine Management ..................51007<br />

LIQUI MOLY .............................51017<br />

Lithium Pros ............................22827<br />

Livernois Motorsports & Engineering . . . . . . . . . .23716<br />

LPC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33309<br />

LubeLocker .............................50032<br />

Mackin Industries Inc. ...............22813, 22913<br />

Magnaflow..............................23543<br />

Magnuson Superchargers ..................24659<br />

MAHLE Motorsports.......................20245<br />

Manley Performance Products ...............23237<br />

Mantic Clutch USA........................71001<br />

Manton Pushrods.........................73012<br />

Maradyne/SuperTrapp/PMAS ................23035<br />

Mars Auto Parts & Engine Swaps.............53026<br />

Mastershift .............................23623<br />

Maxon Auto Corp. ........................52451<br />

McGaughy’s Suspension ...................21415<br />

McLeod Racing ..........................22835<br />

Meguiar’s...............................23643<br />

Melling ................................71004<br />

Mentor Performance Parts ..................20648<br />

Meziere Enterprises.......................22628<br />

Miller Electric Manufacturing LLC ............23113<br />

Milltek Sport ............................30271<br />

Milodon Inc .............................22735<br />

Mishimoto . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20024<br />

Continued on page 57

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