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Conflicts to Watch in The New Millennium

Conflicts to Watch in The New Millennium

Conflicts to Watch in The New Millennium

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Army advance <strong>in</strong> Hama prov<strong>in</strong>ce and Ghouta; Turkish <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong> Afr<strong>in</strong><br />

(January–March 2018)<br />

Douma chemical attack; U.S.-led missile strikes; Southern Syria offensive (April<br />

2018 – August 2018)<br />

Idlib demilitarization; Trump announces US withdrawal; Iraq strikes ISIL targets<br />

(September–December 2018)<br />

ISIL attacks cont<strong>in</strong>ue; US states conditions of withdrawal (January 2019–present)<br />

Belligerents and Foreign Involvement<br />

<strong>The</strong>re are numerous factions, both foreign and domestic, <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> the Syrian Civil<br />

War, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g ISIL, the Turkish-backed Free Syrian Army, pro-government Christian<br />

militias, al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong> Syria, Kurdish YPG militia, or Shia sectarian militias from Iran, Iraq<br />

and Afghanistan, many of whom are aligned aga<strong>in</strong>st each other. Both the Syrian<br />

government and the opposition have received support, militarily and diplomatically, from<br />

foreign countries lead<strong>in</strong>g the conflict <strong>to</strong> often be described as a proxy war.<br />

<strong>The</strong> major parties support<strong>in</strong>g the Syrian Government are Iran, Russia and the<br />

Lebanese Hezbollah. Syrian rebel groups received political, logistic and military support<br />

from the United States, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Brita<strong>in</strong>, France, Israel and<br />

the Netherlands. Under the aegis of operation Timber Sycamore and other clandest<strong>in</strong>e<br />

activities, CIA operatives and U.S. special operations troops have tra<strong>in</strong>ed and armed<br />

nearly 10,000 rebel fighters at a cost of $1 billion a year s<strong>in</strong>ce 2012.<br />

Chemical Weapons<br />

Advanced Weaponry and Tactics<br />

Sar<strong>in</strong>, mustard agent and chlor<strong>in</strong>e gas have been used dur<strong>in</strong>g the conflict. Numerous<br />

casualties led <strong>to</strong> an <strong>in</strong>ternational reaction, especially the 2013 Ghouta attacks. A UN<br />

fact-f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g mission was requested <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestigate alleged chemical weapons attacks. In<br />

four cases UN <strong>in</strong>spec<strong>to</strong>rs confirmed the use of sar<strong>in</strong> gas. In August 2016, a confidential<br />

report by the United Nations and the OPCW explicitly blamed the Syrian military<br />

of Bashar al-Assad for dropp<strong>in</strong>g chemical weapons (chlor<strong>in</strong>e bombs) on the <strong>to</strong>wns of<br />

Talmenes <strong>in</strong> April 2014 and Sarm<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> March 2015 and ISIS for us<strong>in</strong>g sulfur mustard on<br />

the <strong>to</strong>wn of Marea <strong>in</strong> August 2015.<br />

<strong>The</strong> United States and the European Union have accused the Syrian government of<br />

conduct<strong>in</strong>g several chemical attacks. Follow<strong>in</strong>g the 2013 Ghouta attacks and<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational pressure, the destruction of Syria's chemical weapons began. In 2015 the<br />

UN mission disclosed previously undeclared traces of sar<strong>in</strong> compounds <strong>in</strong> a "military<br />

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