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SECTION 5–4 Logarithmic Models 369

SOLUTION We can use the rocket equation (3) with c 2.38 and W tW b 18.7:

v c ln W t

W b

2.38 ln 18.7

6.97 kilometers per second

The velocity of the launch vehicle is far short of the 9.0 kilometers per second required to

achieve orbit. This is why multiple-stage launchers are used—the deadweight from a preceding

stage can be jettisoned into the ocean when the next stage takes over.

MATCHED PROBLEM 4

A launch vehicle using liquid fuel, such as a mixture of liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen,

can produce an exhaust velocity of c 4.7 kilometers per second. However, the weight ratio

W tW b must be low—around 5.5 for some vehicles—because of the increased structural

weight to accommodate the liquid fuel. How much more or less than the 9.0 kilometers per

second required to reach orbit will be achieved by this vehicle?

Z Data Analysis and Regression

Based on the logarithmic graphs we studied in the last section, when a quantity increases

relatively rapidly at first, but then levels off and increases very slowly, it might be a good

candidate to be modeled by a logarithmic function. Most graphing calculators with regression

commands can fit functions of the form y a b ln x to a set of data points using

the same techniques we used earlier for other types of regression.

EXAMPLE 5 Home Ownership Rates

Table 3 Home Ownership

Rates

Home Ownership

Year Rate (%)

1940 43.6

1950 55.0

1960 61.9

1970 62.9

1980 64.4

1990 64.2

2000 67.4

SOLUTIONS

The U.S. Census Bureau published the data in Table 3 on home ownership rates.

A logarithmic model for the data is given by

R 36.7 23.0 ln t

where R is the home ownership rate and t is time in years with t 0 representing 1900.

(A) Use the model to predict the home ownership rate in 2015.

(B) Compare the actual home ownership rate in 1950 to the rate given by the model.

(A) The year 2015 is represented by t 115. Evaluating

R 36.7 23.0 ln t

at t 115 predicts a home ownership rate of 72.4% in 2015.

(B) The year 1950 is represented by t 50. Evaluating

R 36.7 23.0 ln t

at t 50 gives a home ownership rate of 53.3% in 1950. The actual home ownership

rate in 1950 was 55%, approximately 1.7% greater than the number given by

the model.

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