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The Star: March 26, 2020

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<strong>The</strong> <strong>Star</strong> Thursday <strong>March</strong> <strong>26</strong> <strong>2020</strong><br />

​<br />

4<br />

NEWS<br />

<strong>The</strong> real estate industry<br />

is confident the property<br />

market will weather the<br />

Covid-19 storm, after it has<br />

ravaged markets overseas.<br />

Louis Day reports<br />

BEFORE COVID-19 ran<br />

rampant across Italy, the Wall<br />

Street Journal published an<br />

article titled “Why Is Milan’s<br />

Real-Estate Market So in Fashion<br />

Right Now?”<br />

At this point, only one case of<br />

Covid-19 had been confirmed<br />

in Italy. Since then, more than<br />

69,000 cases have been confirmed<br />

and Italian real estate research<br />

institute Scenari Immobiliari has<br />

reported a 12 per cent decrease<br />

in house sales<br />

for the first two<br />

months of this<br />

year.<br />

Already in<br />

Canterbury,<br />

more than 800<br />

house sales have<br />

Justin Haley<br />

been derailed<br />

by the Covid-19<br />

lockdown. In most deals, the<br />

seller of one house is the buyer<br />

of another, and that vendor is<br />

looking to buy another, so a lastminute<br />

failure of just one sale can<br />

trigger a chain reaction which<br />

affects large numbers of people.<br />

South Korea, which now has<br />

more than 9000 confirmed cases<br />

of the virus, has seen its property<br />

market ravished.<br />

Local business outlet Chosun-<br />

Biz reported the country’s apartment<br />

market saw an average of<br />

just 458 sales per day nationwide<br />

in the first nine days of <strong>March</strong>,<br />

compared to 2272 per day in<br />

December. That is an 80 per cent<br />

decline in sales.<br />

<strong>The</strong> decline has been even<br />

starker in the densely populated<br />

Latest Canterbury news at starnews.co.nz<br />

capital of Seoul, where daily sales<br />

volumes fell by 90 per cent from<br />

309 sales per day to just 31.<br />

“Business is frozen as more<br />

people are postponing moving<br />

plans because of the coronavirus,<br />

or are hesitant to show their<br />

homes to strangers out of fear of<br />

contagion,” a real estate broker in<br />

Seoul told ChosunBiz.<br />

In spite of the doom and gloom<br />

overseas, Bayleys residential<br />

and projects divisional manager<br />

Justin Haley remained optimistic<br />

the property landscape would<br />

return to normality after the<br />

lockdown.<br />

“Through adversity, there is<br />

always opportunity,” he said.<br />

“In times of uncertainty you<br />

definitely find people gravitate<br />

towards tangible assets, we have<br />

seen that not only through the<br />

GFC but also after the earthquakes<br />

sequence.”<br />

Mike Pero real estate agent<br />

Hayden Jones shared Mr Haley’s<br />

optimism.<br />

“I guess the lockdown is a real<br />

chance for people to have a bit of<br />

reflection and hopefully they will<br />

come out of it ready to purchase,”<br />

he said.<br />

CoreLogic senior research<br />

analyst Kelvin Davidson said<br />

New Zealand’s property market<br />

has historically been resilient to<br />

most “shocks.”<br />

“<strong>The</strong>re’s only been three<br />

material falls in property values<br />

in the past 30-35 years. <strong>The</strong>se<br />

occurred in the early 1990s with<br />

a five per cent fall, late 1990s<br />

with a three per cent fall, and late<br />

2000s with a ten per cent fall,” he<br />

said.<br />

“From the troughs in the first<br />

two episodes, it took around one<br />

year for the previous falls to be<br />

fully reversed, but the rebound<br />

from the global financial crisisrelated<br />

downturn took more than<br />

three years.<br />

“<strong>The</strong> market also shrugged off<br />

the SARS epidemic, for example,<br />

without any falls in prices.”<br />

Statistics from the Real Estate<br />

Institute of New Zealand show<br />

the national median house<br />

price increased by 14.3 per cent<br />

last month, a new record of<br />

$640,000, up from $560,000 in<br />

February 2019.<br />

Thursday 16th of April<br />

Friday 17th of April<br />

Saturday 18th of April<br />

Wednesday 22nd of April<br />

Thursday 23rd of April<br />

Friday 24th of April<br />

Saturday 25th of April<br />

GOOD GRIEF!<br />

APRIL SHOW POSTPONED<br />

SEE YOU IN JULY<br />

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