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Insurance and Interconnectedness in the Financial Services Industry

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As with o<strong>the</strong>r studies, we observe that most f<strong>in</strong>ancial service companies are affected by a<br />

market or <strong>in</strong>dustry factor, which is generally <strong>the</strong> largest pr<strong>in</strong>cipal component when analyz<strong>in</strong>g returns to<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial service firms. As with o<strong>the</strong>r studies, we also f<strong>in</strong>d that <strong>the</strong>re is a second factor, <strong>and</strong> we propose<br />

an explanation for this factor; we posit that this factor represents <strong>the</strong> diversification potential of <strong>the</strong><br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial service <strong>in</strong>dustry, as proxied by <strong>the</strong> variance of <strong>the</strong> correlations among <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial service<br />

portfolios. We also f<strong>in</strong>d that <strong>in</strong>surance companies are related to third <strong>and</strong> fourth pr<strong>in</strong>cipal components,<br />

which is consistent with o<strong>the</strong>r studies.<br />

We also exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> possibility of feedback, ei<strong>the</strong>r unidirectional or bidirectional, among <strong>the</strong><br />

types of f<strong>in</strong>ancial services companies. We use tests of Granger causality to exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> relation among<br />

<strong>the</strong> current, lagged, <strong>and</strong> lead monthly returns. We f<strong>in</strong>d that <strong>the</strong> causality attributed to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>surance<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry by o<strong>the</strong>r studies is most likely driven primarily by f<strong>in</strong>ancial guarantee <strong>and</strong> life <strong>in</strong>surers.<br />

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