OPEN: EU Scenario Storylines Report: - One Planet Economy Network

Contents
Acknowledgements .................................................................................................... 2
Contents ..................................................................................................................... 3
Abbreviations ............................................................................................................. 4
Executive Summary .................................................................................................... 5
1. Introduction ....................................................................................................... 10
2. Scenario Development ........................................................................................ 11
3. One Planet Economy scenario storylines ............................................................ 16
Scenario 1 – Clever & Caring ............................................................................................ 16
Drivers: ..................................................................................................................... 16
Assumptions: ............................................................................................................. 16
Life in Europe in 2050 .................................................................................................. 16
Europe‘s policy mix to a One Planet Economy by 2050 ..................................................... 19
Scenario 2 – Fast Forward ................................................................................................ 24
Drivers: ..................................................................................................................... 24
Assumptions: ............................................................................................................. 24
Life in Europe in 2050 .................................................................................................. 24
Europe‘s policy mix to a One Planet Economy by 2050 ..................................................... 26
Scenario 3 – Breaking Point .............................................................................................. 30
Drivers: ..................................................................................................................... 30
Assumptions: ............................................................................................................. 30
Life in Europe in 2050 .................................................................................................. 30
Europe‘s policy mix to a One Planet Economy by 2050 ..................................................... 33
Scenario 4 – Slow Motion ................................................................................................. 39
Drivers: ..................................................................................................................... 39
Assumptions: ............................................................................................................. 39
Life in Europe in 2050 .................................................................................................. 39
Europe‘s policy mix to a One Planet Economy by 2050 ..................................................... 41
4. Link to current policy initiatives and other scenarios ......................................... 46
5. Conclusions ........................................................................................................ 54
6. References ......................................................................................................... 56
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