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industrial policy, its spatial aspects and cluster development in ...

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Hydel or Hydropower<br />

While the generation of electricity us<strong>in</strong>g hydropower saves fuel, greater <strong>in</strong>vestments are<br />

required <strong>in</strong> hydropower than <strong>in</strong> thermal generation. Hydropower plants are also located<br />

away from areas where dem<strong>and</strong> for energy is high, rais<strong>in</strong>g transmission costs for<br />

hydropower. But keep<strong>in</strong>g these constra<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d, estimates suggest that hydropower<br />

is more attractive as <strong>its</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>tenance costs are lower <strong>and</strong> that it is more efficient when<br />

fuel prices rise <strong>and</strong> discount rates decrease [(M<strong>in</strong>istry of Industries (2005)]. The hydel<br />

projects which are <strong>in</strong> the pipel<strong>in</strong>e should be completed as soon as possible. These are<br />

Neelum-Jhelum (969MW), Tarbela 4th Extension (960MW), Suki K<strong>in</strong>ari (840MW),<br />

Munda Dam (700MW), Khan Dubar (130MW), Allai (126 MW), <strong>and</strong> J<strong>in</strong>nah Hydro<br />

(96MW) [Institute of Public Policy (2009)].<br />

Coal<br />

Coal is an under-utilized resource <strong>and</strong> generates only 5 percent of Pakistan’s energy<br />

needs <strong>and</strong> 1 percent of electricity needs. In comparison, India uses coal to meet 54%<br />

<strong>and</strong> 47% of <strong>its</strong> energy <strong>and</strong> electricity needs respectively [M<strong>in</strong>istry of Industries (2005)].<br />

In addition, coal can also be used for gasification, fuel <strong>and</strong> chemical extraction,<br />

briquett<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> the process<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry. Substitution of coal for gas has taken place <strong>in</strong><br />

the cement <strong>in</strong>dustry, but coal is mostly imported. Thus <strong>in</strong> the long-run there needs to be<br />

a <strong>development</strong> of coal fields (<strong>in</strong> Thar for example), <strong>and</strong> sett<strong>in</strong>g up of power plants. This<br />

sort of exploration <strong>and</strong> <strong>development</strong> is a prov<strong>in</strong>cial matter <strong>and</strong> prov<strong>in</strong>cial governments<br />

will need to be on board if coal is to become an alternative energy source.<br />

Oil <strong>and</strong> Gas<br />

It is estimated that at prices of PKR11000 per ton for oil <strong>and</strong> PKR172 per MCF for gas,<br />

the substitution of gas for oil will reduce the fuel component of electricity generation by<br />

PKR0.52 per kWh to PKR2.37 per kWh. This amounts to a reduction of 18% <strong>in</strong> fuel cost<br />

<strong>and</strong> 13% fall from the average electricity tariff of PKR4.09 <strong>in</strong> 2003 (WAPDA, 2003).<br />

Furthermore the World Bank (2003) estimates annual sav<strong>in</strong>gs of 130,000 tons of fuel as<br />

a 300MW plant is converted from oil to gas. Yet caution is advised, as conversion to gas<br />

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