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The collapse of Pakistan’s growth <strong>in</strong> 2008, after the high growth <strong>in</strong> the period 2002-<br />

2007, is a testament to the fact that without address<strong>in</strong>g the structural weaknesses of the<br />

economy, GDP growth cannot be susta<strong>in</strong>ed on the back of capital <strong>in</strong>flows <strong>and</strong><br />

consumption spend<strong>in</strong>g alone. With the exception of 2003-04 the decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

manufactur<strong>in</strong>g production <strong>and</strong> exports dur<strong>in</strong>g the period of rapid growth was <strong>in</strong>dicative<br />

of the balance of payments crisis that Pakistan faced <strong>in</strong> 2008. In 2008-09, output <strong>in</strong> the<br />

manufactur<strong>in</strong>g sector shrank by 3.3% <strong>in</strong> face of both the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g energy<br />

constra<strong>in</strong>t <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal security issues [Asian Development Bank (2010)]. The<br />

performance of the three key sectors over the last ten years <strong>and</strong> over longer periods is<br />

depicted <strong>in</strong> Figure 2-4 <strong>and</strong> 2-5 below.<br />

Figure 2‐4: Sectoral growth rates <strong>in</strong> Pakistan, 2001–09 (percent)<br />

Source: Government of Pakistan (2009a)<br />

Figure 2‐5: Annualized Growth Rates of Key Sectors <strong>in</strong> Pakistan for 10 Year Periods, 1970‐2009 (percent)<br />

‐<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1970s 1980s 1990s 2000‐09<br />

Total Agriculture Industry Services<br />

Source: Government of Pakistan (2009a) <strong>and</strong> Bureau of Statistics data on GDP<br />

63

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