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The Impact of Technology Insertion on Organisations

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HFIDTC/2/12.2.1/1<br />

Versi<strong>on</strong> 3 / 21 November 2007<br />

8.2.1 Risk Assessment Models<br />

Risk assessment is the process involved in estimating the degree <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> risk associated with a<br />

given project, usually at the feasibility stage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> development [184], [185]. This approach<br />

is designed to reduce risk; however, Lyyntinen and Hirsheim [186] found that a narrow<br />

focus <strong>on</strong> risk techniques can blind participants to the organisati<strong>on</strong>al c<strong>on</strong>text, where many<br />

projects encounter their most serious difficulties.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>re have been a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> risk assessment models developed specifically to analyse<br />

risk in technology projects. Although most outline important characteristics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> risky<br />

technology projects, not all <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> them reflect the importance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> organisati<strong>on</strong>al issues and<br />

the overall envir<strong>on</strong>ment and c<strong>on</strong>text within which the technology needs to functi<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Envir<strong>on</strong>ment and c<strong>on</strong>text are two important c<strong>on</strong>cepts, which need to be thoroughly<br />

analysed and accommodated in design, if a technology is to functi<strong>on</strong> successfully within<br />

an organisati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> under-management <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> risks in IS projects is very surprising c<strong>on</strong>sidering the size <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> IT<br />

expenditure, and when the history <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> disappointed expectati<strong>on</strong>s is c<strong>on</strong>sidered.<br />

8.2.1.1 Willcocks and Margett's Risk Assessment Model<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> basis <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Willcocks and Margett's Risk Assessment Model came from work by<br />

Pettigrew et al. [187], [188] <strong>on</strong> organisati<strong>on</strong>al change. Applying this premise, Willcocks<br />

and Margetts developed six c<strong>on</strong>ceptual, interplaying categories that can be brought into<br />

analysing the development, introducti<strong>on</strong> and use <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> informati<strong>on</strong> systems:<br />

History: Prior organisati<strong>on</strong>al development, e.g. relevant IS experience and organisati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

history and most importantly, previous IS success or failure.<br />

Internal C<strong>on</strong>text: <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> characteristics <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the organisati<strong>on</strong> itself, e.g. strategy, structure,<br />

reward system, management, human resources and industrial relati<strong>on</strong>s arrangements, IS<br />

infrastructure and management.<br />

External C<strong>on</strong>text: <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> ‘givens’ that an organisati<strong>on</strong> and its members need to resp<strong>on</strong>d to<br />

and accommodate, e.g. the ec<strong>on</strong>omy, political and governmental policy, markets,<br />

competiti<strong>on</strong> and, in the public sector, department or local government guidelines,<br />

procedures and funding arrangements.<br />

C<strong>on</strong>tent: <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> changes involved in and substance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a project, e.g. size and complexity <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

project, technical uncertainty, whether radical or incremental in impact.<br />

Processes: How things are d<strong>on</strong>e and the issues perceived, e.g. project management,<br />

project team experience, staffing stability, user commitment.<br />

Risk Outcomes: Planned or unanticipated, desirable or otherwise, e.g. cost, time,<br />

technical performance, operati<strong>on</strong>al efficiency, user acceptance.<br />

How these categories link together is illustrated in Figure 7:<br />

42

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