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Bombardier Business Aircraft | Market Forecast 2011-2030 - Learjet ...

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current market drivers<br />

Stock markets have rebounded nicely since<br />

March 2009. The MSCI World Index grew<br />

by 60% from March 2009 to June 2010.<br />

Growth has been consistent during that<br />

15-month period, with the exception of spring<br />

2010, which was characterized by high<br />

market uncertainty due to sovereign debt<br />

problems in Europe. The MSCI World Index<br />

ended 2010 at levels last seen during the<br />

third quarter of 2008. Although the MSCI<br />

World Index has increased for more than<br />

two years, full recovery of business jet<br />

order intake has been lagging.<br />

A March <strong>2011</strong> report from Forbes estimated<br />

the number of world billionaires at 1,210,<br />

surpassing the prior peak of 1,123 reached<br />

in 2008. The March <strong>2011</strong> count of billionaires<br />

represents a 20% increase versus one year<br />

ago and 53% versus 2009. The most<br />

significant growth in the number of billionaires<br />

occurred in China with a very impressive<br />

increase of 66% year-over-year followed by<br />

Russia & CIS (61%) and Latin America (47%).<br />

Number of Billionaires<br />

Unit & % Change 2010-<strong>2011</strong><br />

Number of<br />

Billionaires<br />

% Change<br />

<strong>2011</strong> vs 2010<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

427 428<br />

North<br />

America<br />

Sources: Forbes.com March 2010 and March <strong>2011</strong>.<br />

182<br />

192<br />

Europe<br />

107<br />

178<br />

China<br />

<strong>Bombardier</strong> <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Aircraft</strong> | <strong>Market</strong> <strong>Forecast</strong> <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2030</strong> 13<br />

World 2010: 1,011<br />

World <strong>2011</strong>: 1,210<br />

116<br />

72 72<br />

95<br />

62<br />

86<br />

Russia<br />

& CIS<br />

Asia<br />

ex. China<br />

Middle<br />

East<br />

56<br />

49<br />

53<br />

36<br />

India Latin<br />

America<br />

Africa<br />

0% 5% 66% 61% 32% 39% 14% 47% 50%<br />

The number of billionaires increased 20% versus last year.<br />

2010<br />

<strong>2011</strong><br />

4<br />

6

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