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Bombardier Business Aircraft | Market Forecast 2011-2030 - Learjet ...

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the forecast<br />

Industry Deliveries by Category<br />

Units, <strong>Forecast</strong> <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2030</strong><br />

1,500<br />

1,250<br />

1,000<br />

750<br />

500<br />

250<br />

0<br />

11<br />

12<br />

13<br />

Source: <strong>Bombardier</strong> forecast.<br />

14<br />

15<br />

16<br />

Medium Category<br />

The Medium category features aircraft with<br />

B&CA magazine <strong>2011</strong> Purchase Planning<br />

Handbook equipped prices between $18M<br />

and $42M, offering 3,100 NM to 5,000 NM<br />

of range and 700 ft 3 (19.8 m 3 ) to 1,500 ft 3<br />

(42.5 m 3 ) of cabin volume. The Medium category<br />

value proposition relies on enhanced<br />

17<br />

18<br />

19<br />

20<br />

21<br />

22<br />

23<br />

24<br />

25<br />

26<br />

27<br />

28<br />

29<br />

30<br />

Units Value<br />

Total 20 Yrs<br />

24,000 $626B<br />

5,250<br />

7,750<br />

11,000<br />

$260B<br />

$236B<br />

$130B<br />

cabin comfort and superior range relative to<br />

the Light category, and is often the preferred<br />

business jet category of large corporations.<br />

<strong>Bombardier</strong> successfully developed the<br />

Medium category with the Challenger 600 jet<br />

series. Today, <strong>Bombardier</strong> has three strong<br />

products in this category: the Challenger 300,<br />

Challenger 605 and Challenger 850 jets.<br />

<strong>Bombardier</strong> <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Aircraft</strong> | <strong>Market</strong> <strong>Forecast</strong> <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2030</strong> 45<br />

Industry Revenues by Category<br />

$US billion, Constant 2010, <strong>Forecast</strong> <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2030</strong><br />

11<br />

12<br />

13<br />

14<br />

15<br />

16<br />

17<br />

18<br />

19<br />

20<br />

21<br />

22<br />

Large<br />

23<br />

24<br />

Our <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>2030</strong> market forecast accounts<br />

for significant growth in the Medium aircraft<br />

category. By the first quarter of <strong>2011</strong>,<br />

pre-owned inventory in this category had<br />

fallen to 13.2%, 2.9 percentage points lower<br />

than a year ago. For the 20-year period from<br />

<strong>2011</strong> to <strong>2030</strong>, we expect the Medium category<br />

to generate a total of 7,750 deliveries<br />

representing $236 billion in revenue.<br />

25<br />

26<br />

27<br />

28<br />

29<br />

30<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

Medium Light<br />

5<br />

0

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