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2012 100 - Networld Media Group

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Retail sales are expected to grow about<br />

10 percent in <strong>2012</strong>, a slightly optimistic<br />

uptick from the 8 percent expected in<br />

2011. One unpredictable factor that<br />

might lower <strong>2012</strong> sales is the sovereign<br />

debt crisis in Europe, which could keep<br />

markets volatile and consumers concerned<br />

about the future. Still, a reliable<br />

disconnect between consumer confidence<br />

and actual spending bodes well<br />

for retailers. Sales began to climb in<br />

October 2011, due in large part to a 3.7<br />

percent jump in electronics sales (the<br />

largest monthly increase in two years)<br />

even as confidence fell to its lowest level<br />

since 2009.<br />

If the euro crisis spins out of control,<br />

fear of a new credit crunch may deter<br />

spending by business owners. Another<br />

factor that could lower next year’s forecast<br />

is slower-than-expected growth<br />

of personal income, which hasn’t been<br />

keeping up with the rise in retail sales.<br />

If lower wages and high unemployment<br />

persist during the second half of<br />

the year, expect retail sales growth to<br />

slow even further.<br />

Retailers have the power to drive<br />

growth, though. Noting that new economic<br />

realities have resulted in a new<br />

order of buyers who are more priceconscious<br />

and careful about the purchases<br />

they make, Deloitte LLP Vice<br />

Chairman Alison Paul believes that<br />

delivering compelling in-store experiences<br />

could drive profitable growth for<br />

retailers in <strong>2012</strong>.<br />

5<br />

MULTICHANNEL INTEGRATION<br />

It no longer matters, really, whether the customer is always right. The customer is in<br />

charge. He decides when, where, and how he will interact with the retail landscape<br />

through whatever channel, device, or touchpoint he wants. Such an environment<br />

has made multichannel, by default, the new standard operating model for retail.<br />

While it can be argued that mobile devices and multichannel commerce have made<br />

it easier than ever for retailers to reach customers, they have also made it easier to<br />

lose them. Retailers will need to use a combination of channels to attract and convert<br />

consumers going forward, says e-commerce and multichannel consultant Kees<br />

De Vos, “rather than focusing on channel-centric approaches. Companies relying<br />

on selling goods and services to their end-customers have to recast their operational<br />

and technical infrastructures to compete or even survive in the years to come.”<br />

Best Buy CEO Brian Dunn, for example, is committed to making the chain’s physical<br />

presence “more reflective of all the possibilities that are available to customers<br />

today.” That means creating a web of experiences around the customer in all the different<br />

channels in which he operates. “Customers don’t think, ‘I’m going to behave<br />

in a multichannel fashion today,’” he notes. “They say, ‘I’m gonna go online and<br />

check it out, I’m gonna call and check it out, I’m gonna stop by and visit the store.’”<br />

Early multichannel adopters are now thoroughly vindicated and firmly in the driver’s<br />

seat. Indeed, multichannel has been so roundly embraced that some, such as<br />

blogger and principal analyst at Forrester Research Brian Walker, argue that multichannel<br />

is already passé. “Customers no longer interact with companies from a<br />

channel perspective,” he says. Customers now interact through touchpoints that include<br />

not only channels such as “stores, branches, call centers and websites, but also<br />

emerging interactions, including apps, social media, mobile sites, SMS messages<br />

and interactive advertising across smartphones, tablets, cars and even appliances.”<br />

“It is time for organizations to leave their channel-oriented ways behind,” he says,<br />

“and enter the era of agile commerce.”<br />

7

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