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(jit) principles and systematic layout planning as tools to improve ...

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period against the best-practice technology of another period. This study's<br />

estimates represent the inverse of the technology index defined by Equation<br />

(3), so a number greater than 1.0 represents an <strong>improve</strong>ment in productivity<br />

due <strong>to</strong> technical change (Arnade, 1994). Index numbers are defined so that<br />

the 1983 observation equals 1.0. A Malmquist productivity index are<br />

calculated from a combination of technical efficiency change indices <strong>and</strong><br />

technical change indices. The estimated indices represent the inverse of<br />

Malmquist index described in Equation (1), so production <strong>improve</strong>ments are<br />

greater than 1.0.<br />

The Malmquist index indicates a 2.83 percent annual productivity growth<br />

rate. This suggests that in 1993, chemical <strong>and</strong> related product manufacturing<br />

industries produce about 28.9 percent <strong>as</strong> much output per unit of resource<br />

consumed <strong>as</strong> they were produced 11 years earlier. The decomposition of<br />

Malmquist index helps <strong>to</strong> guide the me<strong>as</strong>ured productivity incre<strong>as</strong>e. The<br />

results indicate that during the overall period under investigation, an<br />

<strong>improve</strong>ment in productivity efficiency occured. Over the period the<br />

technical change incre<strong>as</strong>ed productivity by 2.80 percent per annum.<br />

However, there appears <strong>to</strong> be no trend in the rate of technical efficiency<br />

change. Figure 3 plots the weighted mean Malmquist index over the period<br />

<strong>and</strong> further disaggregate in<strong>to</strong> output weighted technical efficiency change<br />

<strong>and</strong> technical change indices. It is immediately apparent that virtually all of<br />

the observed productivity growth is <strong>as</strong>sociated with the technical change<br />

effect <strong>as</strong> the industry moves out <strong>to</strong> a new frontier. From the illustrative trend<br />

in Figure 3 it appears that the trend rate of productivity growth accelerated<br />

significantly after 1988, that is after recession time.<br />

Table 9 shows the productivity <strong>and</strong> its component indices for the chemical<br />

subsec<strong>to</strong>rs according <strong>to</strong> their MIC codes. The annual average productivity <strong>as</strong><br />

me<strong>as</strong>ured by the Malmquist index for all subsec<strong>to</strong>rs in the chemical<br />

industries recorded an <strong>improve</strong>ment in productivity. This incre<strong>as</strong>e of 1.13 per<br />

cent showed that production processes in the chemical industry had incre<strong>as</strong>ed<br />

by 113 per cent if compared <strong>to</strong> the b<strong>as</strong>e year. Looking at the individual subsec<strong>to</strong>rs,<br />

it can be seen that drugs <strong>and</strong> medicines (35220) showed the highest<br />

productivity by registering an index of 1.39. Next is the pl<strong>as</strong>tics products<br />

(35600) with 1.25, chemical products (35290) with 1.21 <strong>and</strong> crude oil<br />

(35300) with an index of 1.14. All the other sub-sec<strong>to</strong>rs were on average<br />

productive at an index of 1.0 with the exception of industrial g<strong>as</strong>es which<br />

registered 0.88. Thus, industrial g<strong>as</strong>es declined in productivity by <strong>as</strong> much <strong>as</strong><br />

20 per cent if compared <strong>to</strong> the b<strong>as</strong>e year.<br />

76

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