SOLWEIG 1.0 – Modelling spatial variations of 3D radiant fluxes and ...
SOLWEIG 1.0 – Modelling spatial variations of 3D radiant fluxes and ...
SOLWEIG 1.0 – Modelling spatial variations of 3D radiant fluxes and ...
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Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713<br />
DOI 10.1007/s00484-008-0162-7<br />
ORIGINAL PAPER<br />
<strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> <strong>–</strong> <strong>Modelling</strong> <strong>spatial</strong> <strong>variations</strong><br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>3D</strong> <strong>radiant</strong> <strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>and</strong> mean <strong>radiant</strong> temperature<br />
in complex urban settings<br />
Fredrik Lindberg & Björn Holmer & S<strong>of</strong>ia Thorsson<br />
Received: 6 August 2007 /Revised: 18 March 2008 /Accepted: 28 April 2008 / Published online: 4 June 2008<br />
# ISB 2008<br />
Abstract The mean <strong>radiant</strong> temperature, T mrt, which sums<br />
up all shortwave <strong>and</strong> longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> (both direct<br />
<strong>and</strong> reflected) to which the human body is exposed is one<br />
<strong>of</strong> the key meteorological parameters governing human<br />
energy balance <strong>and</strong> the thermal comfort <strong>of</strong> man. In this<br />
paper, a new radiation model (<strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong>), which<br />
simulates <strong>spatial</strong> <strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>3D</strong> radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>and</strong> T mrt<br />
in complex urban settings, is presented. The Tmrt is derived<br />
by modelling shortwave <strong>and</strong> longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> in<br />
six directions (upward, downward <strong>and</strong> from the four<br />
cardinal points) <strong>and</strong> angular factors. The model requires a<br />
limited number <strong>of</strong> inputs, such as direct, diffuse <strong>and</strong> global<br />
shortwave radiation, air temperature, relative humidity,<br />
urban geometry <strong>and</strong> geographical information (latitude,<br />
longitude <strong>and</strong> elevation). The model was evaluated using<br />
7 days <strong>of</strong> integral radiation measurements at two sites with<br />
different building geometries <strong>–</strong> a large square <strong>and</strong> a small<br />
courtyard in Göteborg, Sweden (57°N) <strong>–</strong> across different<br />
seasons <strong>and</strong> in various weather conditions. The evaluation<br />
reveals good agreement between modelled <strong>and</strong> measured<br />
values <strong>of</strong> Tmrt, with an overall good correspondence <strong>of</strong> R 2 =<br />
0.94, (p
698 Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713<br />
sky the upper hemisphere, both with an angle factor <strong>of</strong> 0.5<br />
(e.g. Jendritzky et al. 1990; Pickup<strong>and</strong>deDear1999).<br />
Although easier to use, this method is only reliable for<br />
unobstructed open spaces, <strong>and</strong> obstruction effects should<br />
be added using sky view factors.<br />
Over the years, several different s<strong>of</strong>tware have been<br />
developed to simulate Tmrt in outdoor urban settings.<br />
TOWNSCOPE (Teller <strong>and</strong> Azar 2001) is a CAD-based<br />
s<strong>of</strong>tware which, among other things, simulates <strong>spatial</strong><br />
<strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong> solar access <strong>and</strong> Tmrt in complex urban<br />
environments. Thermal comfort can only be calculated on<br />
a daily, monthly or annual basis <strong>and</strong>, since vector data are<br />
utilised, the <strong>spatial</strong> extension is limited. The RayMan<br />
s<strong>of</strong>tware (Matzarakis 2000; Matzarakis et al. 2000, 2007)<br />
is a tool which, along with Tmrt, simulates different thermal<br />
indices. RayMan is a stationary model <strong>and</strong> can be run on<br />
very few input meteorological parameters. RayMan is very<br />
user-friendly <strong>and</strong> thus a popular tool for researchers, urban<br />
planners <strong>and</strong> practitioners. Although commonly used,<br />
RayMan has some principal shortcomings regarding the<br />
calculation <strong>of</strong> the three-dimensional radiation flux densities<br />
<strong>and</strong> surface temperatures <strong>and</strong>, consequently, the resulting<br />
Tmrt (Thorsson et al. 2007). The three-dimensional ENVImet<br />
model (Bruse 1999, 2006) simulates radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>,<br />
temperature, wind flow, turbulence <strong>and</strong> humidity, as well as<br />
Tmrt with high <strong>spatial</strong> <strong>and</strong> temporal resolution. The model is<br />
grid-based. Because <strong>of</strong> its complexity, the model’s domain<br />
size is restricted to 250×250×25 grids. It can be run on a<br />
regular PC. Like the other models mentioned above, ENVImet<br />
calculates Tmrt according to Fanger (1972); the<br />
surrounding environment is divided into building surfaces,<br />
the free atmosphere (sky) <strong>and</strong> the ground surface for which<br />
the direct, diffuse <strong>and</strong> diffusely reflected shortwave <strong>and</strong> the<br />
total longwave radiation components are taken into account.<br />
At street level, the total longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
are assumed to originate from the upper hemisphere (sky<br />
<strong>and</strong> buildings) <strong>and</strong> from the ground (lower hemisphere).<br />
ENVI-met is still under development. To date, the model<br />
has only been evaluated with respect to Tmrt for an east<strong>–</strong>west<br />
oriented urban canyon (H/W=1) in Freiburg, Germany,<br />
during a hot summer’s day (Ali Toudert 2005). The<br />
evaluation showed good agreement between simulated<br />
shortwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>and</strong> field data. However, the<br />
simulated longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> revealed discrepancies<br />
with the field data by up to 50 Wm −2 , which played the main<br />
role in the differences observed in T mrt, (<strong>–</strong>8°C in daytime)<br />
(Ali Toudert 2005).<br />
In this paper, the development <strong>of</strong> a new radiation model,<br />
<strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> (solar <strong>and</strong> longwave environmental irradiance<br />
geometry-model), which simulates three-dimensional<br />
daytime radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>and</strong> Tmrt in complex urban settings<br />
is presented. The first part <strong>of</strong> the paper presents the features<br />
<strong>of</strong> the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> model <strong>and</strong> is followed by an<br />
evaluation <strong>of</strong> the model using three-dimensional integral<br />
radiation measurements.<br />
Materials <strong>and</strong> methods<br />
Model structure<br />
The framework theory for Tmrt calculations used in this<br />
study is based on the measuring procedure proposed by<br />
Höppe (1992), in which each <strong>of</strong> the six longwave <strong>and</strong><br />
shortwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> (upward, downward <strong>and</strong> from<br />
the four cardinal points) is considered. The meteorological<br />
input parameters are direct, diffuse <strong>and</strong> global shortwave<br />
radiation, air temperature <strong>and</strong> relative humidity. Spatial<br />
<strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong> urban geometry are represented by a highresolution<br />
urban digital elevation model (DEM) covering<br />
the central parts <strong>of</strong> Göteborg (Fig. 1). <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> is a<br />
2.5-dimensional model in the sense that it applies a 2.5dimensional<br />
DEM (i.e. x <strong>and</strong> y coordinates with height<br />
attributes) in the calculation <strong>of</strong> Tmrt. However, the output<br />
from the current version <strong>of</strong> <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> is represented in two<br />
dimensions (x <strong>and</strong> y). The model was evaluated by using<br />
three-dimensional radiation data from two different locations<br />
within the centre <strong>of</strong> Göteborg, Sweden (57°N), during<br />
different weather conditions <strong>and</strong> at different times <strong>of</strong> the<br />
year. Radiation data obtained from the Swedish Meteorological<br />
<strong>and</strong> Hydrological Institute (SMHI) are used as<br />
parameterisation data in the cloudiness calculations. Sur-<br />
Fig. 1 A DEM covering the central parts <strong>of</strong> Göteborg. The two<br />
locations where integral radiation measurements were conducted are<br />
marked (SITE 1 <strong>and</strong> SITE 2)
Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713 699<br />
face <strong>and</strong> air temperature measurements were made at Site 1<br />
(Fig. 1) on 11 clear days throughout the year in order to<br />
parameterise daytime <strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong> surface temperatures.<br />
Mean <strong>radiant</strong> temperature<br />
In order to determine Tmrt first, it is necessary to consider<br />
the mean <strong>radiant</strong> flux density (S str), which is defined as sum<br />
<strong>of</strong> all fields <strong>of</strong> long <strong>and</strong> shortwave radiation in three<br />
dimensions, together with the angular <strong>and</strong> absorption<br />
factors <strong>of</strong> an individual (VDI 1994):<br />
Sstr ¼ z k<br />
X 6<br />
i¼1<br />
X<br />
KiFiþ"p<br />
6<br />
LiFi<br />
i¼1<br />
ð1Þ<br />
where Ki <strong>and</strong> Li are the short <strong>and</strong> longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
respectively (i=1<strong>–</strong>6) <strong>and</strong> Fi are the angular factors between<br />
a person <strong>and</strong> the surrounding surfaces. For a (rotationally<br />
symmetric) st<strong>and</strong>ing or walking person, Fi is set to 0.22 for<br />
radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> from the four cardinal points (east, west,<br />
north <strong>and</strong> south) <strong>and</strong> 0.06 for radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> from above<br />
<strong>and</strong> below. ζk the absorption coefficient for shortwave<br />
radiation (st<strong>and</strong>ard value 0.7) <strong>and</strong> ɛp is the emissivity <strong>of</strong> the<br />
human body (st<strong>and</strong>ard value 0.97). When Sstr is known,<br />
Tmrt is calculated using the Stefan-Boltzmann law:<br />
Tmrt ¼<br />
qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi<br />
4<br />
þ 273:15 ð2Þ<br />
Sstr= "ps<br />
where σ is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant (5.67×<br />
10 <strong>–</strong>8 Wm −2 K −4 ).<br />
Shortwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
The calculation <strong>of</strong> shortwave radiation is fairly straightforward,<br />
<strong>and</strong> data on direct, diffuse <strong>and</strong> global radiation are<br />
used as inputs in the model. The equation <strong>of</strong> incoming<br />
shortwave radiation at a specific location (K↓ij) in an urban<br />
setting is a modification from Lindberg (2007):<br />
K#ij ¼ Kdir Shij sin h þ Kdiff
700 Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713<br />
All temperatures are given in Kelvin. The first term on the<br />
right-h<strong>and</strong> side is the direct sky longwave radiation, the<br />
second is the wall radiation <strong>and</strong> the third is the reflected sky<br />
radiation. The Prata (1996) formula is used to estimate ɛsky<br />
during clear-sky conditions:<br />
"sky ¼ 1 1 þ 46:5 ea<br />
Ta<br />
exp 1:2 þ 3:0 46:5 ea<br />
Ta<br />
!<br />
0:5<br />
ð8Þ<br />
where ea is the vapour pressure (hPa), derived from Ta <strong>and</strong><br />
RH. The Prata equation has been thoroughly tested at<br />
different geographical sites <strong>and</strong> over a large range <strong>of</strong><br />
temperatures. Jonsson et al. (2006) found that the Prata<br />
formula overestimated the sky emissivity during daytime by<br />
0.04. This is taken into account in the model presented in<br />
this paper. The Prata formula also gives a general overestimation<br />
<strong>of</strong> incoming longwave radiation <strong>of</strong> 25 Wm −2 (e.g.<br />
Jonsson et al. 2006; Duarteetal.2006). Calculated values <strong>of</strong><br />
L↓ are therefore reduced by 25 Wm −2 . Since the presence <strong>of</strong><br />
clouds significantly increases the total effective emissivity<br />
<strong>of</strong> the sky, modifications must be made to the existing clearsky<br />
formulations (Crawford <strong>and</strong> Duchon 1999):<br />
L# ¼ L#cð1cÞþcsT 4 a ð9Þ<br />
where c is the fractional cloud cover (0 ≤ c ≤ 1). In general,<br />
data on cloud cover is sparse. Thus, an objective method for<br />
deriving c is used in this paper. Fractional cloud cover is<br />
calculated as follows:<br />
c ¼ 1<br />
S#<br />
S#c<br />
ð10Þ<br />
where S↓/S↓c is the ratio <strong>of</strong> observed solar radiation to a<br />
modelled clear-sky solar radiation, i.e. Clearness Index (CI).<br />
When modelled values <strong>of</strong> clear-sky solar radiation based on<br />
the work <strong>of</strong> Crawford <strong>and</strong> Duchon (1999) are used, a clear<br />
diurnal variation is observed. Corrections for this will be<br />
considered below (Section Adjustment <strong>of</strong> modelled clearness<br />
index at high sun zenith angles).<br />
For calculation <strong>of</strong> outgoing longwave radiation (L↑), the<br />
Stefan-Boltzmann law is applied. Shadow patterns are<br />
considered, so that sun-exposed surfaces emit a larger<br />
amount <strong>of</strong> longwave radiation due to the expected higher<br />
surface temperatures (Ts):<br />
L"ij ¼ "gs Ta þ ShijðTsTaÞ 4<br />
ð11Þ<br />
where ɛ g is the emissivity <strong>of</strong> the ground surface. The<br />
temperatures on shadowed surfaces are set to equal Ta. The<br />
temperatures on sun-exposed surfaces are estimated based<br />
on a linear relationship between maximum solar elevation<br />
<strong>and</strong> maximum difference between Ta <strong>and</strong> Ts during clear<br />
day conditions (Tdiffmax). This is based on the work <strong>of</strong><br />
Bogren et al. (2000), who found a linear relationship<br />
between the difference <strong>of</strong> sunlit <strong>and</strong> shadowed ground<br />
surface temperatures <strong>and</strong> maximum solar elevation for clear<br />
day conditions. The data used for parameterisation are<br />
taken from Ts <strong>and</strong> Ta measurements which were made at<br />
Site 1 on 11 clear days throughout the year (Fig. 2). Thus,<br />
the parameterisation <strong>of</strong> T diffmax leads to:<br />
Tdiff max ¼ 0:37 h max 3:41 ð12Þ<br />
T diffmax is considered to occur 2 h after the solar<br />
elevation maximum is reached. The Ts wave for a clear<br />
day is then specified as a sinusoidal function, where the<br />
amplitude is taken from the linear relationship in Eq. 12 <strong>and</strong><br />
the period for a certain day <strong>of</strong> the year is established based<br />
on the time between sunrise <strong>of</strong> the day <strong>of</strong> interest <strong>and</strong><br />
1400 hours. The initial morning value <strong>of</strong> T s is set at <strong>–</strong><br />
3.41 K lower than Ta, based on the theoretical difference<br />
between Ts <strong>and</strong> Ta at a sun elevation <strong>of</strong> zero degrees at an<br />
open square (Fig. 2). For non-clear model runs, Tdiffmax is<br />
multiplied by CI. A condition is also set such that if a<br />
certain ground surface pixel should change from sunexposed<br />
to shadowed area, the new surface temperature<br />
value would not be equal to Ta the following hour. Instead,<br />
the new assumed value would be 75% <strong>of</strong> the calculated<br />
sun-exposed surface temperature value for that specific<br />
hour. This is done to consider the thermal properties <strong>of</strong> the<br />
ground <strong>and</strong> the fact that a gradual temperature drop is<br />
Fig. 2 Observed relation between sun elevation <strong>and</strong> maximum<br />
difference between ground surface (T s) <strong>and</strong> air temperature (T a)on<br />
clear days at a large open square in Göteborg, Sweden (SITE 1)
Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713 701<br />
evident when a surface location is changing into a<br />
shadowed position. The opposite condition is also included<br />
in <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong>, where a gradual temperature rise is<br />
evident when a certain pixel is changing from shadowed<br />
into a sun-exposed area.<br />
To estimate the longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> from the four<br />
cardinal points, the same formula is used in all directions.<br />
Thus the current model does not take <strong>variations</strong> in building<br />
geometry in different directions into account, but instead<br />
uses y as a non-directional factor <strong>of</strong> building geometry.<br />
The total flux from one cardinal point is the sum <strong>of</strong> the<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong> from five different sections:<br />
wsky<br />
L!SKY ¼ L#<br />
wtotal<br />
0:5 ð13aÞ<br />
L!REFLECTED ¼ L# þ L" ð1 "wÞ<br />
wwall<br />
wtotal<br />
L!WALLshadow ¼ "wsT 4 w<br />
L!WALLsun ¼ "wsT 4 w<br />
wwall<br />
wtotal<br />
wwall<br />
wtotal<br />
0:5 ð13bÞ<br />
fsh 0:5 ð13cÞ<br />
1 fsh cos h sun<br />
0:5 ð13dÞ<br />
L!GROUND ¼ L" 0:5 ð13eÞ<br />
All terms are multiplied by 0.5 due to the fact that only<br />
half <strong>of</strong> the hemisphere is taken into account for each<br />
cardinal point, while w are angular weighting factors <strong>of</strong> the<br />
amount <strong>of</strong> radiation originating from either building walls<br />
or sky. In order to establish these weighting factors, the<br />
different areas <strong>of</strong> the elements (buildings <strong>and</strong> sky) are<br />
calculated using simple spherical geometry. These areas are<br />
then sinus weighted so that radiation on a fictitious, sidefacing<br />
instrument receives more radiation from perpendicular<br />
elements. The average angles based on the heights <strong>of</strong><br />
the buildings (β y) are calculated according to the relation-<br />
Fig. 3 Schematic image for the<br />
calculation <strong>of</strong> the fraction <strong>of</strong><br />
shadowed building walls (dark<br />
gray). The left figure shows the<br />
cylindrical wedge calculated<br />
from sun elevation (η) <strong>and</strong><br />
average building angle heights<br />
(β) in a circular yard <strong>and</strong> the<br />
right figure shows the recalculated<br />
non-directional fraction <strong>of</strong><br />
shadowed building walls<br />
ship y =cos 2 βy, representing the case <strong>of</strong> a basin (Oke<br />
1987). Holmer (1992) argued that the y could be used as a<br />
good approximation <strong>of</strong> the <strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>of</strong> longwave radiation as<br />
compared to an open horizontal surface, assuming the same<br />
temperature <strong>and</strong> emissivity. A statistical relationship between<br />
y <strong>and</strong> summed sinus-weighted sub-areas on a<br />
hemisphere is then established by a fifth-order polynomial<br />
with a determination coefficient <strong>of</strong> 0.999:<br />
wsky ¼ 26:16< 5<br />
53:29< 4<br />
39:33< 3<br />
9:71< 2<br />
þ 1:98< 0:05 ð14Þ<br />
Consequently, only y is needed to derive the different<br />
values <strong>of</strong> w. By inserting y =1, wtotal is set to 4.417 <strong>and</strong><br />
wwall is simply the difference between wtotal <strong>and</strong> wsky.<br />
The fraction <strong>of</strong> shadowed wall surfaces (f sh) (Eqs. 13c<br />
<strong>and</strong> 13d), seen from a specific location (pixel) was<br />
estimated by using information <strong>of</strong> sun zenith angle (90-η)<br />
<strong>and</strong> the average angle based on the heights <strong>of</strong> the buildings,<br />
derived from βy. The calculation <strong>of</strong> fsh was based on a<br />
fictitious circular yard which was surrounded by buildings<br />
with constant ro<strong>of</strong> heights. The geometrical properties <strong>of</strong> a<br />
cylindrical wedge could therefore be applied by using<br />
information about η <strong>and</strong> βy (Fig. 3, left). If wall surfaces<br />
facing the sunbeams are exposed to a higher proportion <strong>of</strong><br />
sunlight then fsh is recalculated so that the parameter is the<br />
same in all four cardinal directions (Fig. 3, right). Possible<br />
values <strong>of</strong> f sh range between 1 (all building walls in the<br />
shade) <strong>and</strong> 0.5 (half <strong>of</strong> the building walls in the shade). The<br />
cosine factor used in Eq. 13d is included in order to obtain<br />
an average angle from the point <strong>of</strong> origin <strong>of</strong> the radiation.<br />
ηsun is derived using simple trigonometry based on<br />
information about βy <strong>and</strong> fsh.<br />
Adjustment <strong>of</strong> modelled clearness index at high sun zenith<br />
angles<br />
The objective method for deriving fractional cloud cover (c)<br />
includes modelled values <strong>of</strong> CI (Crawford <strong>and</strong> Duchon<br />
1999). An analysis <strong>of</strong> the hourly data <strong>of</strong> incoming<br />
shortwave radiation at the SMHI station from days with<br />
only clear weather conditions revealed that CI was under-
702 Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713<br />
estimated. This was especially evident in the mornings <strong>and</strong><br />
evenings throughout the annual cycle <strong>and</strong> was particularly<br />
pronounced during the winter season. The underestimation<br />
was shown to be as much as 50% during the very first <strong>and</strong><br />
very last hour <strong>of</strong> daylight. Thus a relationship was<br />
established between CI during clear days <strong>and</strong> the altitude<br />
<strong>of</strong> the sun. Clear days were objectively selected by fitting a<br />
dome-shaped polynomial <strong>of</strong> the second degree with a<br />
determination coefficient (R 2 ) greater than 0.98. The entire<br />
dataset (1986<strong>–</strong>2005) obtained from the SMHI station was<br />
used. A total <strong>of</strong> 96 days was derived from the dataset. The<br />
logarithmic relationship in Fig. 4 was then used as a<br />
correction factor for the clear-sky solar irradiance:<br />
CIcorr ¼ CI þ ð1ð0:15 ln h þ 0:35ÞÞ<br />
ð15Þ<br />
Model domain <strong>and</strong> data<br />
Göteborg (57°42′N, 11°58′E) is situated on the west coast<br />
<strong>of</strong> Sweden in an aligned joint valley l<strong>and</strong>scape. The city is<br />
the second largest city in the country, with nearly 500,000<br />
inhabitants. The model domain covers an area measuring<br />
1400×1400 m in the central part <strong>of</strong> the city as shown in<br />
Fig. 1. This central area has a classical European design,<br />
consisting <strong>of</strong> three to five-storey buildings, narrow street<br />
canyons <strong>and</strong> canals. The mean building height is 16.5 m,<br />
with a st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation <strong>of</strong> 6.0 m. Two low hills are found<br />
within the model’s domain. The DEM consists <strong>of</strong> both<br />
ground topography within the study area that ranges from 0<br />
to 35 m a.s.l. <strong>and</strong> building structures that range from 1 to<br />
100 m a.s.l. The DEM is derived from local governmental<br />
digital data according to a method presented by Lindberg<br />
Fig. 4 Clearness index versus sun elevation on 96 clear days between<br />
1986 <strong>and</strong> 2005 in Göteborg, Sweden<br />
(2005) <strong>and</strong> the <strong>spatial</strong> resolution is 1 m. Trees <strong>and</strong> bushes<br />
are not included in the current DEM (Fig. 1).<br />
The input data used in the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> model were<br />
collected hourly <strong>and</strong> consisted <strong>of</strong> direct, diffuse <strong>and</strong> global<br />
shortwave radiation obtained from a nearby weather station<br />
(1 km west <strong>of</strong> the study area). The station is run by the<br />
SMHI. The air temperature <strong>and</strong> relative humidity were<br />
taken from the same weather station. The available data<br />
were collected between 1986 <strong>and</strong> 2005. The same dataset<br />
was used as parameterisation data for cloudiness calculations.<br />
The T s data used to parameterise daytime <strong>variations</strong><br />
<strong>of</strong> surface temperatures during clear daytime weather<br />
conditions were acquired at Site 1 on 13 occasions using<br />
a h<strong>and</strong>held IR instrument (AMiR 7811<strong>–</strong>20). The surface<br />
material at Site 1 is very homogenous consisting <strong>of</strong> large<br />
cobblestones.<br />
For model validation, data from integral radiation<br />
measurements within the model domain was used. In total,<br />
measurements taken over seven days from sunrise to sunset<br />
were compared with the results obtained from the model.<br />
Three net radiometers (Kipp & Zonen, CNR 1) were<br />
mounted on a steel st<strong>and</strong> in order to measure the threedimensional<br />
radiation fields. Shortwave <strong>and</strong> longwave<br />
radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> from the four cardinal points, as well as<br />
those from the upper <strong>and</strong> lower hemisphere were measured.<br />
The instruments had an <strong>of</strong>fset <strong>of</strong> approximately 20° from<br />
the north <strong>and</strong> were instead positioned perpendicular to the<br />
surrounding building walls (Thorsson et al 2006, 2007).<br />
Two locations were used, one large open square (Site 1)<br />
with a y <strong>of</strong> 0.95 <strong>and</strong> a smaller courtyard (Site 2), y =0.65,<br />
as shown in Fig. 5. Both sites have cobblestone surfaces<br />
<strong>and</strong> almost no vegetation present.<br />
Results<br />
In this section, 4 days <strong>of</strong> measurements covering different<br />
weather conditions, locations <strong>and</strong> the time <strong>of</strong> year are<br />
compared with the results from model results in detail. One<br />
clear autumn day, one clear summer day <strong>and</strong> one semicloudy<br />
day at Site 1 are presented, together with one clear<br />
autumn day at Site 2. Corrections for clear-sky calculations<br />
at high sun zenith angles are also presented. Finally, the<br />
overall model performance <strong>and</strong> <strong>spatial</strong> <strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />
modelled Tmrt are shown.<br />
Radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> on clear days<br />
Clear summer day at a large square (SITE 1)<br />
Figure 6a<strong>–</strong>c show modelled <strong>and</strong> measured radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> T mrt at Site 1 on 26 July 2006 between sunrise <strong>and</strong><br />
sunset. This was a clear summer day with large <strong>variations</strong>
Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713 703<br />
Fig. 5 The two locations where<br />
integral radiation measurements<br />
were conducted are marked.<br />
A Square (Site 1) <strong>and</strong> B courtyard<br />
(Site 2)<br />
<strong>of</strong> both short <strong>and</strong> longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> at different<br />
times <strong>of</strong> the day. In general, the modelled values <strong>of</strong> both<br />
shortwave <strong>and</strong> longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> were at the same levels as<br />
measured values, except for a few special occasions<br />
(Fig. 6a,b). Kwest is underestimated at 1900 hours LST by<br />
250 Wm −2 <strong>and</strong> all longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> are underestimated<br />
during the morning <strong>and</strong> evening hours by up to 50 Wm −2 .<br />
Ldown during the morning hours (0500<strong>–</strong>0700 hours LST) is<br />
underestimated due to fog. The underestimation <strong>of</strong> shortwave<br />
radiation at 1900 hours LST is due to the hourly time<br />
resolution <strong>and</strong> is further discussed in “Discussion: The<br />
temporal resolution”. On average, the difference between<br />
modelled <strong>and</strong> measured values <strong>of</strong> Tmrt on a clear summer<br />
day at Site 1 is 2.3 K. The Tmrt values are underestimated<br />
during the first 2 h after sunrise (approximately 5 K) as well<br />
as during the last 2 h before sunset (approximately 7 K)<br />
(Fig. 6c).<br />
Clear autumn day at a large square (Site 1)<br />
Figure 7a<strong>–</strong>c shows modelled <strong>and</strong> measured radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> Tmrt at Site 1 on 11 October 2005 between sunrise <strong>and</strong><br />
sunset. This was also a clear day, but during the autumn<br />
season, with higher sun zenith angles <strong>and</strong> a shorter daytime<br />
period. In general, the model simulates all six shortwave<br />
radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> well (Fig. 7a). Modelled values <strong>of</strong> K south<br />
show a slight underestimation by up to 30 Wm −2 , especially<br />
during midday. The largest overestimation <strong>of</strong> any <strong>of</strong> the<br />
shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong> is found for the K west component<br />
(142 Wm −2 ) at 1600 hours LST (Fig. 7a), due to the time<br />
resolution. The differences in the six longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> are<br />
relatively small (Fig. 7b). The modelled longwave <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
from the four cardinal points give underestimated values<br />
during morning <strong>and</strong> evening hours by up to 10 Wm −2 , <strong>and</strong><br />
the upward component is overestimated during lunch hours<br />
by 10 Wm −2 . The model performance <strong>of</strong> Tmrt on a clear<br />
autumn day at Site 1 shows that the difference between<br />
modelled <strong>and</strong> measured values is 1.7 K (Fig. 7c), on<br />
average. The largest differences between modelled <strong>and</strong><br />
measured values (3.5 K) are found during the first 2 h <strong>of</strong><br />
the day.<br />
Clear autumn day at a small courtyard (Site 2)<br />
Figure 8a<strong>–</strong>c shows modelled <strong>and</strong> measured radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> Tmrt at Site 2 on 7 October 2005 between sunrise <strong>and</strong><br />
sunset. The measurement point (instrumentation) was in<br />
shade all day, except for 2 h in the afternoon (1500 <strong>and</strong><br />
1600 hours LST). When the measurement point was<br />
shaded, the shortwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> were in agreement<br />
with modelled values. However, during the 2 h with direct<br />
shortwave radiation evident, the model overestimates all the<br />
components which are exposed to direct shortwave radiation<br />
(Kwest, Ksouth <strong>and</strong> K↓) by as much as 200 Wm −2<br />
(Fig. 8a). The longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> are more complex in an<br />
environment with higher y. Since the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong>-model<br />
utilises non-directional calculations <strong>of</strong> the longwave <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
from the four cardinal points, it is not able to capture the<br />
high measured values <strong>of</strong> L north (Fig. 8b). The modelled<br />
values <strong>of</strong> Lup are overestimated by 10<strong>–</strong>15 Wm −2 when the<br />
validation pixel is in shadow <strong>and</strong> by 25 Wm −2 when the<br />
validation point is exposed to direct sunlight. T mrt at Site 2<br />
is overestimated by an average <strong>of</strong> 6.5 K throughout the day.<br />
During the two sun-exposed hours at 1500 <strong>and</strong> 1600 hours<br />
LST, T mrt is overestimated by as much as 17 K (Fig. 8c).<br />
Radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> on a semi-cloudy day<br />
Figure 9a<strong>–</strong>c shows modelled <strong>and</strong> measured radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> Tmrt at Site 1 on 1 August 2006 between sunrise <strong>and</strong><br />
sunset. This was the measurement day with the highest<br />
variability due to cloudiness <strong>of</strong> all the days included in the<br />
validation data. It was characterised by occasional cloudiness<br />
up to 1600 hours LST, when a fully cloud-covered sky<br />
became evident. A light drizzle <strong>of</strong> rain occurred between<br />
1700 <strong>and</strong> 1800 hours LST, which explains the missing data<br />
at 1700 hours LST in Fig. 9c. The <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> model<br />
appears to estimate both shortwave <strong>and</strong> longwave radiation<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong> reasonably well, except for a few hours (0700, 0800,<br />
1200<strong>–</strong>1400 hours LST) at which the shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong> were<br />
incorrectly calculated (Fig. 9a) due to <strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />
cloudiness between Site 1 <strong>and</strong> the weather station located<br />
1 km west <strong>of</strong> Site 1. However, the overall model
704 Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713<br />
Fig. 6 A<strong>–</strong>C Comparison between<br />
measured <strong>and</strong> modelled<br />
(m) three dimensional radiation<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>and</strong> T mrt at the large open<br />
square in Göteborg (Site 1),<br />
Sweden, on a clear day (26 July<br />
2006). A Shortwave radiation<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong>, B longwave radiation<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong>, C T mrt for a st<strong>and</strong>ing<br />
man<br />
performance <strong>of</strong> Tmrt on a semi-cloudy day is satisfactory,<br />
with an average difference <strong>of</strong> 3.1 K between the modelled<br />
<strong>and</strong> measured values <strong>of</strong> Tmrt. The largest discrepancies<br />
between modelled <strong>and</strong> measured values <strong>of</strong> Tmrt are found<br />
during 1300<strong>–</strong>1500 hours LST (3.0 K), when the shortwave<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong> are insufficiently modelled.<br />
Overall model performance<br />
Figure 10 shows modelled versus measured upward,<br />
downward, sideward <strong>and</strong> total shortwave <strong>and</strong> longwave<br />
hourly radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> from both sites for all seven days <strong>of</strong><br />
measurements. As shown, <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> works very well,
Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713 705<br />
Fig. 7 A<strong>–</strong>C Comparison between<br />
measured <strong>and</strong> modelled<br />
(m) three dimensional radiation<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong>, T mrt at the large open<br />
square in Göteborg (Site 1),<br />
Sweden, on a clear day (11<br />
October 2005). A Shortwave<br />
radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>, B longwave<br />
radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>, C) T mrt for a<br />
st<strong>and</strong>ing man<br />
with a good overall correspondence between the modelled<br />
<strong>and</strong> measured <strong>fluxes</strong>, explaining 96% <strong>of</strong> the variance in total<br />
shortwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> (RMSE=152.2 Wm −2 ) <strong>and</strong> 93%<br />
<strong>of</strong> the variance in total longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> (RMSE=<br />
70.6 Wm −2 ). The model is found to simulate the downward<br />
<strong>and</strong> upward shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong> well (K ↓:R 2 =0.97, RMSE=<br />
42.1 Wm −2 ; K↓ R 2 =0.97, RMSE=7.0 Wm −2 ). However,<br />
simulated sideward shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong> are slightly underestimated<br />
(R 2 =0.93, RMSE=126.0 Wm −2 ). The large<br />
scattering, which is particularly evident for the downward<br />
<strong>and</strong> sideward shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong>, is mainly due to the hourly<br />
time resolution. <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> is found to simulate longwave<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong> fairly well (Ldown: R 2 =0.73, RMSE=17.5 Wm −2 ;Lup:<br />
R 2 =0.94, RMSE=15.6 Wm −2 ; Lside: R 2 =0.92, RMSE=<br />
48.9 Wm −2 ), however it slightly overestimates the downward<br />
<strong>and</strong> sideward <strong>fluxes</strong>.<br />
A comparison <strong>of</strong> modelled versus measured downward,<br />
sideward <strong>and</strong> total shortwave <strong>and</strong> longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>
706 Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713<br />
Fig. 8 A<strong>–</strong>C Comparison between<br />
measured <strong>and</strong> modelled<br />
(m) three dimensional radiation<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>and</strong> T mrt at the courtyard<br />
in Göteborg (Site 2), Sweden,<br />
on a clear day (7 October 2005).<br />
A Shortwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>,<br />
B) longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>,<br />
C) T mrt for a st<strong>and</strong>ing man<br />
absorbed by a st<strong>and</strong>ing man was conducted, in other words,<br />
the angular factors <strong>and</strong> absorption coefficients <strong>of</strong> shortwave<br />
<strong>and</strong> longwave radiation were included (see “Materials <strong>and</strong><br />
methods: Mean <strong>radiant</strong> temperature”). The plot <strong>of</strong> the<br />
modelled versus measured total absorbed shortwave <strong>and</strong><br />
longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> (not shown) shows a similar pattern to that<br />
<strong>of</strong> Fig. 10, but with RMSEs <strong>of</strong> 20.3 Wm −2 <strong>and</strong> 11.8 Wm −2<br />
for shortwave <strong>and</strong> longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>, respectively.<br />
The longwave absorbed radiation flux becomes increasingly<br />
important since ɛ p is 0.97, whereas ζ k is 0.7.<br />
Figure 11 shows modelled <strong>and</strong> measured hourly values<br />
<strong>of</strong> Tmrt using all data obtained from both sites for all 7 days<br />
<strong>of</strong> measurements (n=95). The determination coefficient <strong>of</strong><br />
the linear regression is 0.94 (p
Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713 707<br />
Fig. 9 A<strong>–</strong>C Comparison between<br />
measured <strong>and</strong> modelled<br />
(m) three dimensional radiation<br />
<strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>and</strong> T mrt at the large open<br />
square in Göteborg (Site 1),<br />
Sweden, on a semi-cloudy day<br />
(8 August 2006). A Shortwave<br />
radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>, B longwave<br />
radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>, C) T mrt for a<br />
st<strong>and</strong>ing man<br />
overestimated by approximately 1.5 K at the higher<br />
temperature span (T mrt>50°C). On average, modelled<br />
values in a dense urban environment (e.g. Site 2) are 7 K<br />
higher than measured values <strong>of</strong> Tmrt <strong>and</strong> modelled values at<br />
Site 1 are about the same as measured values across the<br />
temperature range. A cluster <strong>of</strong> higher scattering is found in<br />
Tmrt at around 25<strong>–</strong>40°C. Furthermore, one significantly<br />
underestimated value is found at the lower part <strong>of</strong> the<br />
temperature range <strong>of</strong> Tmrt (Fig. 11). These features are dealt<br />
with in the “Discussion”.<br />
Spatial <strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong> Tmrt<br />
The <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> model is a non-stationary model that is able<br />
to calculate the <strong>spatial</strong> variation <strong>of</strong> Tmrt on different<br />
temporal scales. Figure 12 shows an example <strong>of</strong> this <strong>spatial</strong>
708 Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713
Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713 709<br />
Fig. 10 Modelled versus measured hourly data <strong>of</strong> all the shortwave<br />
(n=92) <strong>and</strong> longwave (n=96) <strong>fluxes</strong> at two sites, one large square <strong>and</strong><br />
one small courtyard, in Göteborg Sweden<br />
variation <strong>of</strong> T mrt at ground level for a part <strong>of</strong> the model<br />
domain. The example is taken from an afternoon occasion<br />
during a clear autumn day (1500 hours LST, 11 October<br />
2005). The air temperature for the modelled hour was 19.5°C<br />
<strong>and</strong> the global radiation was 274 Wm −2 at the weather<br />
station located 1 km west <strong>of</strong> Site 1. The first obvious features<br />
are the shadow patterns, which are essential for the <strong>spatial</strong><br />
estimation <strong>of</strong> Tmrt: sunlit areas, show considerably higher<br />
values <strong>of</strong> Tmrt. The red areas are exposed to direct sunlight,<br />
while the blue areas are in shade. Another clear feature is<br />
that Tmrt is relatively high close to a building wall (e.g.<br />
Fig. 12a) <strong>and</strong> decreases as the distance from the buildings<br />
increases (e.g. Fig. 12b). This is evident in both shadowed<br />
<strong>and</strong> sunlit areas.<br />
One can also observe that the areas that shift from being<br />
exposed to sunlight to becoming shadowed or vice versa<br />
experience a slower rise/drop in temperature, Tmrt, than<br />
areas that have been exposed to sunlight or in shade for<br />
more than 1 h. This is illustrated by the letters c, d, e <strong>and</strong> f<br />
in Fig. 12. The area around c, which just became exposed<br />
to the sun, reflects lower values <strong>of</strong> Tmrt in comparison to<br />
that around d, which has been in direct sunlight for more<br />
than 1 h. The area around e, which consequently just<br />
became shadowed, shows higher values <strong>of</strong> T mrt in comparison<br />
to f, which has been in the shade for more than 1 h.<br />
Due to the fact that <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> model simulates all<br />
longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> from the four cardinal points similarly,<br />
façades facing north have the same surface temperature as<br />
those facing south, which is not the case in a practical<br />
situation. This may be illustrated at letter g in Fig. 11,<br />
which signifies a small, shadowed yard surrounded by<br />
buildings. The Tmrt value at g is relative constant within the<br />
yard. In reality, T mrt is probably higher near the walls facing<br />
north <strong>and</strong> east. Direct sunlight reaching parts <strong>of</strong> these two<br />
walls will increase the surface temperature <strong>and</strong> consequently,<br />
the longwave irradiance originating from these two walls.<br />
Discussion<br />
In this section, the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> model is compared with<br />
other models that could be used to estimate radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> Tmrt. Model performance <strong>and</strong> sensitivity <strong>of</strong> <strong>SOLWEIG</strong><br />
<strong>1.0</strong> is also discussed.<br />
Model intercomparison<br />
Compared to other available models, the technique <strong>of</strong><br />
estimating the three-dimensional radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> used in<br />
the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> model appears to improve the accuracy <strong>of</strong><br />
T mrt. This is especially evident for high sun zenith angles,<br />
since the radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> are not only considered for<br />
horizontal surfaces, but also from the four cardinal points.<br />
Thorsson et al. (2007) validated the RayMan 1.2 model <strong>and</strong><br />
found that it underestimates Tmrt significantly at high sun<br />
zenith angles. The average differences between measured<br />
<strong>and</strong> modelled T mrt at Site 1 using RayMan 1.2 for 11<br />
October 2005 <strong>and</strong> 26 July 2006 were 10.1 K <strong>and</strong> 6.8 K,<br />
respectively. The corresponding values for the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong><br />
<strong>1.0</strong> model at the same location <strong>and</strong> dates were 1.7 K <strong>and</strong><br />
2.3 K. So far, the ENVI-met model has not been tested in<br />
the city <strong>of</strong> Göteborg. However, Ali-Toudert (2005) compared<br />
the T mrt modelled by ENVI-met to measured values<br />
<strong>of</strong> Tmrt throughout the diurnal cycle for a street canyon (H/<br />
W=1) in Freiburg (Germany). She found that ENIV-met<br />
was well able to represent the trends <strong>of</strong> Tmrt with its two<br />
contrasting periods (day <strong>and</strong> night). However, the values<br />
that were returned by the ENVI-met model were significantly<br />
overestimated during the morning hours by up to<br />
15 K <strong>and</strong> underestimated from noon <strong>and</strong> throughout the<br />
night by up to 7 K (Ali-Toudert 2005, p. 154).<br />
Model performance<br />
The current <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> model estimates <strong>spatial</strong> <strong>variations</strong><br />
<strong>of</strong> Tmrt relatively well for most <strong>of</strong> the different urban<br />
geometries <strong>and</strong> weather conditions used in the current<br />
validation dataset. Below, the performance <strong>and</strong> some<br />
limitations <strong>of</strong> the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> model are discussed.<br />
Fig. 11 Modelled versus measured hourly data <strong>of</strong> T mrt (n=95). The<br />
regression line is valid for data from Site 1 <strong>and</strong> Site 2 combined
710 Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713<br />
Fig. 12 Spatial <strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />
T mrt (°C) in the city centre <strong>of</strong><br />
Göteborg, Sweden at 1500 hours<br />
LST on 11 October 2005. The<br />
<strong>spatial</strong> resolution is 1 m. The<br />
letters a through f are points <strong>of</strong><br />
interest referred to in the text<br />
Shortwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
The shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong> are relatively easy to estimate, since<br />
actual values <strong>of</strong> shortwave radiation are used as input in<br />
<strong>SOLWEIG</strong>. However, some features <strong>of</strong> the shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
should be discussed. Firstly, the reflection term in Eq. 3 is a<br />
simplification <strong>and</strong> some differences between modelled <strong>and</strong><br />
measured shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong> could therefore arise. This is most<br />
obvious for the southerly component <strong>of</strong> shortwave radiation<br />
(asseeninFigs.7a <strong>and</strong>10). Since the instruments were<br />
situated at a measuring height <strong>of</strong> 1.1 m <strong>–</strong> the centre <strong>of</strong> gravity<br />
for a st<strong>and</strong>ing person <strong>–</strong> <strong>and</strong> therefore reflection from ground<br />
surfaces was present, the shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong> for all the sidefacing<br />
instruments were influenced. In particular, modelled<br />
values <strong>of</strong> K south turned out to be lower than measured values.<br />
Secondly, all three components <strong>of</strong> shortwave radiation<br />
(diffuse, direct <strong>and</strong> global) are required as input in the model.<br />
It could sometimes be difficult to obtain such data from a<br />
nearby weather station. However, there are many existing<br />
methods for the calculation <strong>of</strong> shortwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
which could be used instead <strong>of</strong> actual measured values (e.g.<br />
Olseth <strong>and</strong> Skartveit 1993; Roderick 1999; Gueymard 2000).<br />
Longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
The process <strong>of</strong> estimating longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> is much more<br />
complicated than is the case for shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong>. None <strong>of</strong><br />
the longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> is measured directly <strong>and</strong> used as input<br />
data in the model. Instead they are estimated based on other<br />
meteorological parameters <strong>and</strong> empirical constants. The<br />
model developed by Jonsson et al. (2006) estimates the<br />
downward <strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>of</strong> longwave radiation reasonably well,<br />
after the modelled values have been reduced by 25 Wm −2 .<br />
The reason for the general overestimation <strong>of</strong> L↓ when using<br />
the empirical relationship set up by Prata (1996) is<br />
unknown. However, this aspect is shown by both Jonsson<br />
et al. (2006) <strong>and</strong> Duarte et al. (2006). L↑ is calculated based<br />
on the value <strong>of</strong> Ta <strong>and</strong> the relationship is derived from the<br />
linear relationship between the solar elevation <strong>and</strong> the<br />
maximum difference between the ground surface <strong>and</strong> air<br />
temperatures on clear days (Fig. 2). The daily temperature<br />
wave follows a sinusoidal path, where the amplitude is<br />
taken from Fig. 2 <strong>and</strong> the period is twice the length <strong>of</strong> time<br />
between sunrise <strong>and</strong> 1400 hours LST, which is the peak <strong>of</strong><br />
the surface temperature wave. There are a few uncertain<br />
variables in the calculation <strong>of</strong> Ts. The initial value <strong>of</strong> Ts at<br />
sunrise is unknown <strong>and</strong> set at −3.4 K lower than Ta. This is<br />
based on the difference between T s <strong>and</strong> T a at a sun elevation<br />
<strong>of</strong> zero degrees (Eq. 12). This initial value appears to be<br />
underestimated, especially during clear weather conditions<br />
with intensive radiative cooling during the night (e.g.<br />
Figs. 6b <strong>and</strong> 7b). The relationship in Fig. 2 is established<br />
from data measured at Site 1. In reality, however, this figure<br />
should vary depending on the material, slope <strong>and</strong> aspect <strong>of</strong>
Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713 711<br />
the surface <strong>of</strong> interest. The same relationship is also giving<br />
a small underestimation <strong>of</strong> L ↑ during a clear day in July at<br />
Site 1 (Fig. 6b) <strong>and</strong> a small overestimation <strong>of</strong> L↑ during a<br />
clear day in October at Site 1 (Fig. 7b). More parameterised<br />
data should be included in Fig. 2 in order to obtain a better<br />
estimation <strong>of</strong> L↑. Further, in the current version Ts is set<br />
equal to Ta in shaded areas. This will underestimate Ts.<br />
However, the effect will be reduced since shaded areas are<br />
<strong>of</strong>ten in dense urban environments where nocturnal cooling<br />
is reduced due to low values <strong>of</strong> y .<br />
According to Ali-Toudert (2005), a st<strong>and</strong>ing body<br />
absorbs more than 70% <strong>of</strong> the energy in the form <strong>of</strong><br />
longwave irradiance in the daytime, which demonstrates the<br />
importance <strong>of</strong> accurate longwave radiation simulations/<br />
measurements for the estimations <strong>of</strong> Tmrt. This is especially<br />
important in complex urban settings where emitted longwave<br />
radiation from the surrounding walls represents a<br />
large part <strong>of</strong> the human energy balance. When no direct<br />
shortwave radiation is evident, the longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> become<br />
even more important for a correct estimation <strong>of</strong> Tmrt. The<br />
general overestimation <strong>of</strong> Tmrt at SITE 2 could be explained<br />
by an overestimation <strong>of</strong> the longwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> from<br />
south, east, west <strong>and</strong> up at the more dense urban location<br />
(Fig. 8b). The main reason why <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> overestimates<br />
longwave radiation at SITE 2 is because <strong>of</strong> the<br />
properties depicted in Eq. 13e. Although the distance from<br />
a specific pixel <strong>and</strong> the average distance to the building<br />
walls diminishes, L →GROUND remains the same. In reality,<br />
as a building wall is approached, the ground surface area<br />
decreases in the direction <strong>of</strong> the approached wall. At<br />
present, this is the main setback in <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
should be improved in subsequent versions <strong>of</strong> the model<br />
(see “Conclusions <strong>and</strong> future prospects”). Another reason<br />
why large discrepancies are found at Site 2 could be that the<br />
modelled value <strong>of</strong> y is too high. High trees rise above the<br />
ro<strong>of</strong>s <strong>of</strong> buildings to the west <strong>and</strong> block parts <strong>of</strong> the visible<br />
sky. If vegetation were included as an additional set <strong>of</strong><br />
information then y would probably be lower at Site 2. The<br />
absence <strong>of</strong> vegetation is therefore another drawback <strong>of</strong> the<br />
current model, which will affect T mrt when present. Apart<br />
from the trees mentioned above, almost no vegetation is<br />
found at the two validation sites used in this study. In<br />
addition, the air mass between the pixel <strong>of</strong> interest <strong>and</strong> the<br />
building’s walls are not considered, which could influence<br />
the longwave <strong>fluxes</strong> from the four cardinal points.<br />
Nevertheless, this effect is considered to be minimal.<br />
The temporal resolution<br />
In general, the performance <strong>of</strong> the model at SITE 1 (SVF=<br />
0.95) is very good, with some exceptions (Figs. 6, 7 <strong>and</strong> 9).<br />
The largest discrepancies <strong>of</strong> T mrt are found at late<br />
afternoons <strong>and</strong> early evenings <strong>and</strong> are mainly due to large<br />
differences between the modelled <strong>and</strong> measured values <strong>of</strong><br />
shortwave radiation <strong>fluxes</strong>. This is mainly because <strong>of</strong> the<br />
temporal resolution <strong>of</strong> the meteorological input data. Since<br />
just one image <strong>of</strong> shadow patterns represents a 60-min<br />
period in <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong>, a pixel is either in the shade or<br />
exposed to the sun for a full hour, which might not be<br />
the case in reality. The shadow pattern is generated in the<br />
middle <strong>of</strong> each hour. In reality, a location could be in the<br />
shade during the first 40 min <strong>of</strong> an hour <strong>and</strong> then exposed<br />
to sunlight during the remaining 20 min. The <strong>SOLWEIG</strong><br />
model calculates this location as if it were in the shade for<br />
the entire hour, even if that is not the case. This may result<br />
in underestimations or overestimations <strong>of</strong> the shortwave<br />
radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>and</strong> consequently <strong>of</strong> T mrt if a location is<br />
moving either out <strong>of</strong>, or into, the shade (e.g. Fig. 6a at<br />
1900 hours LST <strong>and</strong> Fig. 8a at 1500 <strong>and</strong> 1600 hours LST).<br />
For very complex urban structures, this issue could result in<br />
large discrepancies throughout the daily cycle if a location<br />
<strong>of</strong> interest is constantly moving in <strong>and</strong> out <strong>of</strong> the shade.<br />
There is a quite simple solution to this problem, which is<br />
not included in the current version <strong>of</strong> the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> model.<br />
Generating several images <strong>of</strong> shadow patterns for each hour<br />
(e.g. each 15 min) would include information about the<br />
amount <strong>of</strong> time a pixel is in the shade during a specific<br />
hour; this information could then be used to arrive at better<br />
estimations <strong>of</strong> the radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> for each specific hour.<br />
This, however, will complicate the modelling <strong>and</strong> increase<br />
the computation time for each model run, since more<br />
images <strong>of</strong> shadow patterns must be generated.<br />
Model sensitivity<br />
A number <strong>of</strong> parameterisation parameters in the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong><br />
<strong>1.0</strong> model are only established from published material <strong>and</strong><br />
it is necessary to underst<strong>and</strong> the model’s sensitivity if these<br />
parameters are altered. Examples <strong>of</strong> these input parameters<br />
are the surface albedo, emissivity <strong>of</strong> walls <strong>and</strong> ground,<br />
accuracy <strong>and</strong> precision <strong>of</strong> the DEM used <strong>and</strong> the calculation<br />
<strong>of</strong> the position <strong>of</strong> the sun. The albedo was originally set<br />
to 0.15 <strong>and</strong> ground <strong>and</strong> wall emissivity to 0.95 <strong>and</strong> 0.90,<br />
respectively, according to Oke (1987). A small sensitivity<br />
test was carried out on Site 1 on 11 October 2005, during<br />
which some <strong>of</strong> these parameters were altered. When the<br />
albedo was increased from 0.15 to 0.20, Tmrt increased by<br />
0.2°C <strong>and</strong> the total shortwave radiation flux increased by<br />
20.4 Wm −2 during midday. When ground emissivity was<br />
increased from 0.95 to 0.98, Tmrt increased by 0.9°C <strong>and</strong><br />
the total shortwave radiation flux increased by 51.4 Wm −2 .<br />
Consequently, these parameters have a limited effect on the<br />
estimation <strong>of</strong> Tmrt in the <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> model. The overall<br />
performance <strong>of</strong> the <strong>fluxes</strong> shown in Fig. 10 is relatively<br />
good. The higher RMSE values found in the lateral<br />
shortwave <strong>fluxes</strong> due to the effect <strong>of</strong> the temporal
712 Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713<br />
resolution discussed above, will not affect the final outcome<br />
<strong>of</strong> T mrt to any significant extent. Since the longwave <strong>fluxes</strong><br />
account for the bulk <strong>of</strong> the absorbed radiation, the<br />
<strong>SOLWEIG</strong> model’s overall performance <strong>of</strong> Tmrt estimations<br />
is good (Fig. 11).<br />
Adjustment <strong>of</strong> clearness index<br />
<strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> could also be used during non-clear weather<br />
conditions. The model provides an objective method <strong>of</strong><br />
measuring cloudiness, where the ratio <strong>of</strong> observed solar<br />
radiation to modelled clear-sky solar radiation is applied.<br />
The clear-sky formulations presented by Crawford <strong>and</strong><br />
Duchon (1999) have some setbacks. Clear-sky solar<br />
radiation is underestimated at very low sun elevations<br />
during morning <strong>and</strong> evening, as well as during the winter<br />
season, especially at high latitudes. This is accounted for in<br />
<strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> by the established relationship illustrated in<br />
Fig. 4 (Eq. 15). The data scattering in Fig. 4 could be<br />
explained by the transmission coefficients for gases <strong>and</strong><br />
aerosols in the atmosphere that are used to assess clear-sky<br />
solar irradiance. The actual amounts <strong>of</strong> gases <strong>and</strong> aerosols<br />
are not taken into account in the formulations. However, the<br />
formulas are advantageous, since they constitute an<br />
objective method <strong>of</strong> determining cloudiness, as opposed<br />
to using subjective cloudiness data which are usually<br />
sparse. The more complex <strong>and</strong> variable radiation conditions<br />
in semi-cloudy weather conditions result in higher scattering<br />
in the data <strong>and</strong> the distance between the model domain<br />
<strong>and</strong> the weather station used becomes more significant. In<br />
this study, the distance between the two is only 1 km, but<br />
large <strong>variations</strong> in shortwave radiation are still evident (e.g.<br />
Fig. 9a at 1300hours LST).<br />
Conclusions <strong>and</strong> future prospects<br />
In this paper, the new computer model <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> <strong>1.0</strong> is<br />
described. The model simulates <strong>spatial</strong> <strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>3D</strong><br />
radiation <strong>fluxes</strong> <strong>and</strong> mean <strong>radiant</strong> temperature based on<br />
simple meteorological parameters <strong>and</strong> urban geometry<br />
represented by building structures <strong>and</strong> ground topography.<br />
In general, the correspondence between modelled <strong>and</strong><br />
measured values <strong>of</strong> T mrt are high (R 2 =0.94, p
Int J Biometeorol (2008) 52:697<strong>–</strong>713 713<br />
5. The model will be evaluated <strong>and</strong> certified in different<br />
urban settings <strong>and</strong> under different weather conditions<br />
through measurements <strong>and</strong> model comparisons, in<br />
order to arrive at a greater underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>of</strong> the <strong>spatial</strong><br />
<strong>variations</strong> <strong>of</strong> T mrt within the urban environment.<br />
6. The <strong>SOLWEIG</strong> model will be transformed into a userfriendly<br />
interface.<br />
Acknowledgements Financial support for this project was provided<br />
by FORMAS, the Swedish Research Council for Environment,<br />
Agricultural Sciences <strong>and</strong> Spatial Planning in their key action area<br />
Urban Public Places. Thanks to Ingegärd Eliasson <strong>and</strong> Sven Lindqvist<br />
who supervised the project, <strong>and</strong> to Alex<strong>and</strong>er Walther for programming<br />
support.<br />
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