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Birds in the European Union - BirdLife International

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4<br />

Table 1. Categories and codes for record<strong>in</strong>g population<br />

trend direction and magnitude.<br />

Trend magnitude categories (%)<br />

Trend direction (codes) 0–19 20–29 30–49 50–79 >80<br />

Increas<strong>in</strong>g (+) +1 +2 +3 +4 +5<br />

Decreas<strong>in</strong>g (-) -1 -2 -3 -4 -5<br />

Stable (0) 0 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

Fluctuat<strong>in</strong>g (F) 1 n/a F F F F<br />

New breeder (N) 2 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

Ext<strong>in</strong>ct (X) 3 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

1. Species that underwent <strong>in</strong>terannual changes exceed<strong>in</strong>g 20% dur<strong>in</strong>g 1990–2000, but<br />

whose numbers rema<strong>in</strong>ed broadly stable over <strong>the</strong> decade as a whole.<br />

2. Species that began to breed regularly dur<strong>in</strong>g 1990–2000, ei<strong>the</strong>r for <strong>the</strong> first time or as part<br />

of a recolonisation.<br />

3. Species that went ext<strong>in</strong>ct dur<strong>in</strong>g 1990–2000, or which were recorded dur<strong>in</strong>g 1970–1990<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>Birds</strong> <strong>in</strong> Europe but not s<strong>in</strong>ce.<br />

In addition, national coord<strong>in</strong>ators recorded <strong>the</strong> accuracy<br />

and reliability of each population size and trend estimate us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

data quality codes:<br />

1. Poorly known, with no quantitative data available.<br />

2. Generally well known, but only poor or <strong>in</strong>complete<br />

quantitative data available.<br />

3. Reliable quantitative data available (e.g. atlas, survey or<br />

monitor<strong>in</strong>g data) for <strong>the</strong> whole period and region <strong>in</strong><br />

question.<br />

All data were checked by staff at <strong>the</strong> <strong>BirdLife</strong> Secretariat, and<br />

any queries were referred back to national coord<strong>in</strong>ators for<br />

comment and approval before amendment. Toge<strong>the</strong>r with <strong>the</strong><br />

exist<strong>in</strong>g data from 1970–1990 (from BiE1), <strong>the</strong>se new data<br />

formed <strong>the</strong> basis of <strong>the</strong> status assessment.<br />

DATA ANALYSIS<br />

The start<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t for this review was <strong>the</strong> list of 448 species<br />

that breed or w<strong>in</strong>ter regularly <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> EU25. For each species,<br />

<strong>the</strong> assessment was based on four ma<strong>in</strong> parameters (for more<br />

details, see BiE2):<br />

EU25 population size (<strong>in</strong> or around <strong>the</strong> year 2000): For BiE2,<br />

all national population size estimates were supplied as<br />

ranges, with m<strong>in</strong>imum and maximum values. To calculate<br />

<strong>the</strong> m<strong>in</strong>imum, maximum and geometric mean EU25<br />

population sizes for <strong>the</strong> current assessment, national values<br />

were summed.<br />

EU25 breed<strong>in</strong>g range size: Calculated by summ<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

number of occupied 50 x 50 km squares <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> EBCC Atlas<br />

(Hagemeijer and Blair 1997);<br />

EU25 population trend dur<strong>in</strong>g 1970–1990: Calculated from<br />

<strong>the</strong> data collected for BiE1, us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> method described<br />

<strong>the</strong>re<strong>in</strong>. Thus, a species that decl<strong>in</strong>ed dur<strong>in</strong>g 1970–1990 by<br />

at least 20% <strong>in</strong> 33–65% of its population, or by at least 50%<br />

<strong>in</strong> 12–24% of its population, and where <strong>the</strong> total size of<br />

decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g populations exceeded <strong>the</strong> total size of <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

populations, was classified as hav<strong>in</strong>g undergone a moderate<br />

historical decl<strong>in</strong>e. Similarly, a species that decl<strong>in</strong>ed dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Table 2. Species trends <strong>in</strong> <strong>Birds</strong> <strong>in</strong> Europe (2004).<br />

<strong>Birds</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>European</strong> <strong>Union</strong>: a status assessment – Methodology<br />

‘Worst case’ trend scenario 1990–2000<br />

1990–2000 trend category Criteria met<br />

>30% decl<strong>in</strong>e Large decl<strong>in</strong>e IUCN Red List Criteria<br />

10–29% decl<strong>in</strong>e Moderate decl<strong>in</strong>e Decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

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