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contamination are also part <strong>of</strong> storm surge damage. With the present technology <strong>and</strong><br />

information, the occurrence <strong>of</strong> cyclones can be predicted but it would be still difficult to<br />

pinpoint the exact nature <strong>and</strong> magnitude <strong>of</strong> the hazard that would occur in the coastal area.<br />

Sometimes the magnitude <strong>of</strong> the cyclone is so large that it brings about devastation not only<br />

in the coastal districts but also well interior into the hinterl<strong>and</strong>s. Even the most developed<br />

countries with sophisticated early warning systems suffer huge loss <strong>of</strong> property <strong>and</strong> lives in<br />

the coastal areas due to flooding caused by hurricanes, typhoons, tidal waves, tsunamis <strong>and</strong><br />

storm surges.<br />

Flooding due to river discharge in inl<strong>and</strong> tidal water bodies (still water flooding):<br />

Banks <strong>of</strong> water bodies get flooded due to rise <strong>of</strong> water level as a result <strong>of</strong> precipitation <strong>and</strong><br />

river discharge. This rise in the water level without the influence <strong>of</strong> wind leads to water<br />

logging in the adjacent areas. Data is available in historical records with the Central Water<br />

Commission/ irrigation departments <strong>and</strong> these flood lines are also depicted in the topo sheets<br />

for certain areas. This flood line if demarcated shall also include the unforeseen rise <strong>of</strong> water<br />

due to man’s intervention.<br />

2.8.4 Sea level rise due to Greenhouse effect<br />

Sea level rise is one <strong>of</strong> the major factors influencing coastal erosion. As the sea level<br />

rises low lying areas will be inundated, the reach <strong>of</strong> active marine forces like the waves will<br />

be raised relative to the l<strong>and</strong> surface, which will lead to coastal erosion <strong>and</strong> drowning <strong>of</strong><br />

estuaries. Recent estimates <strong>of</strong> global sea level rise vary from a high scenario <strong>of</strong> one metre to a<br />

low scenario <strong>of</strong> 15 cm during the next century.<br />

2.8.5 Salt Water Intrusion<br />

Many coastal communities rely on potable ground water for requirements <strong>of</strong> water.<br />

Often it is the only reliable source, seawater not being potable without expensive<br />

desalination. Both fresh <strong>and</strong> salt water seep into the coastal terrain; the fresh water, being<br />

less dense, overrides the salt water <strong>of</strong>ten forming a shallow lens between the recharge <strong>and</strong> the<br />

discharge zones. In these shallow, unconfined aquifers, permeability is <strong>of</strong>ten very high, due<br />

to porous or even cavernous sediments, <strong>and</strong> consequently the through flow (transmissibility)<br />

is rapid. Thus natural fluctuations in the in the freshwater head, <strong>of</strong>ten due to seasonal<br />

factors., can have a marked effect on the position <strong>of</strong> the saltwater -freshw ater interface.<br />

Several processes disturb this relationship. Perhaps the most common is the abstraction <strong>of</strong><br />

ground water by pumping. Lowering <strong>of</strong> the freshwater head encourages the incursion <strong>of</strong> salt<br />

water, which can rapidly render the supply undrinkable. Removal or lowering <strong>of</strong> coastal<br />

dunes has similar effect. Dunes act both as recharge zones <strong>and</strong> as support for an elevated<br />

water table. Draining <strong>of</strong> coastal wetl<strong>and</strong>s, <strong>and</strong> cutting or dredging <strong>of</strong> coastal navigation<br />

channels may breach the brackish interfacia l zone <strong>of</strong>ten leading to increase in salinity. The<br />

projected rises <strong>of</strong> world sea level in the next century may also lead to severe salt intrusion<br />

problems. The shallow coastal aquifer is liable to pollution. Coastal ground water extraction<br />

may lead to subsidence. Siting wells <strong>and</strong> boreholes further inl<strong>and</strong> is not a long-term solution<br />

<strong>and</strong> alternative supplies may have to be provided.<br />

2.8.6 Tsunami<br />

The devastating earthquake <strong>of</strong> magnitude 9 occurred <strong>of</strong>f the west coast <strong>of</strong> northern<br />

Sumatra which lies in the Andaman-Nicobar Isl<strong>and</strong> arc on December 26, 2004 at 06:28:50<br />

69

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