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Hydro-‐political Baseline of the Upper Jordan River - Ibrahim Abd El Al

Hydro-‐political Baseline of the Upper Jordan River - Ibrahim Abd El Al

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Power, and hydro-­‐hegemony<br />

The analytical approach <strong>of</strong> hydro-­‐hegemony builds on International Relations and<br />

hydropolitical <strong>the</strong>ory to recognise that a position <strong>of</strong> hegemony in a basin may be held by one<br />

riparian actor if <strong>the</strong>re is clear asymmetry in its favour <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> balance <strong>of</strong> three ‘pillars’:<br />

riparian position, exploitation potential, and power (Zeitoun and Warner 2006). The<br />

approach emphasises that expressions <strong>of</strong> power (‘hard’, or more <strong>of</strong>ten ‘s<strong>of</strong>t’, power) and<br />

power asymmetry are key elements in determining outcomes <strong>of</strong> water conflicts, and <strong>the</strong><br />

character <strong>of</strong> interaction between states over <strong>the</strong> flows. Basin ‘hegemons’ are found to<br />

establish and consolidate control over transboundary resources through any <strong>of</strong> a number <strong>of</strong><br />

tactics informing strategies <strong>of</strong> a) resource capture; b) containment <strong>of</strong> challenges from o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

actors; and c) integration <strong>of</strong> interests through <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> incentives.<br />

Bargaining and attempts to ‘sanction’ discourse are seen as forms <strong>of</strong> s<strong>of</strong>t power that<br />

complement more overt expressions <strong>of</strong> hard power, and can be used towards ei<strong>the</strong>r<br />

integrative or distributive ends (Zeitoun, et al. 2011). Both forms <strong>of</strong> power are very actively<br />

in use in <strong>the</strong> <strong>Upper</strong> <strong>Jordan</strong> <strong>River</strong>, where <strong>the</strong> consequences <strong>of</strong> Israeli expressions <strong>of</strong> hard<br />

power complement less directed expressions <strong>of</strong> s<strong>of</strong>t power. Israel’s very well-­‐entrenched<br />

position as basin hegemon is found to be contested verbally, as well as (if much more rarely<br />

and mildly) in practice.<br />

Environmental Diplomacy and Peace-­‐making<br />

Foreign ministries are increasingly recognising <strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> ‘water-­‐diplomacy’ as a key<br />

component <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir foreign missions (Kjellen 2007). Such diplomacy was in full swing in <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Upper</strong> <strong>Jordan</strong> <strong>River</strong> during <strong>the</strong> 1950s ‘Johnston negotiations’, and employed more recently<br />

in relation to <strong>the</strong> Wazzani Springs tributary to <strong>the</strong> Hasbani <strong>River</strong>. ‘Environmental peace-­‐<br />

making’ efforts are prone to taking <strong>the</strong> environment as <strong>the</strong> starting point towards political<br />

resolution, or to resolve environmental conflicts without addressing <strong>the</strong> political situation.<br />

Significant efforts in this regard have been made on <strong>the</strong> Lower <strong>Jordan</strong> <strong>River</strong> by Friends <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

Earth Middle East (FOEME 2010), and on <strong>the</strong> entire basin by <strong>the</strong> Strategic Foresight Group<br />

(SFG 2010). Tentative environmental diplomacy efforts have been made with <strong>the</strong> four ‘Arab’<br />

states by <strong>the</strong> Issam Fares Institute (AUB) through <strong>the</strong> Arab <strong>Jordan</strong> <strong>River</strong> Initiative.<br />

Discourse, narratives, and sanctioned discourse<br />

‘Discourse’ is a term used to describe <strong>the</strong> ensemble <strong>of</strong> messages and ideas passed through<br />

media, stories, academia and <strong>of</strong>ficial propaganda. Discourses may be constructed by actors<br />

in attempts to influence <strong>the</strong> social order, according to some International Relations <strong>the</strong>ory.<br />

Environmental discourses are referred to by Maarten Hajer (1997) as ‘storylines’ or<br />

‘narratives’ – what Dryzek (1997) understands as “shared ways <strong>of</strong> apprehending <strong>the</strong> world”.<br />

Accepting that discourses are formed and sanctioned in this manner is important to<br />

understanding <strong>the</strong> Hasbani water conflict for a number <strong>of</strong> reasons. As we will see in Section<br />

16

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