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Devouring profit - International Coffee Organization

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56<br />

5.3 Economics of<br />

CBB in Guatemala<br />

Several experiments and studies about economic aspects of CBB have been developed<br />

in Guatemala, e.g. Decazy (1989), Ochoa et al. (1989), Zelaya et al. (1989),<br />

demonstrating that this problem has received considerable attention there.<br />

5.3.1 Losses due to CBB<br />

Ochoa et al. (1989) found that losses in weight increased proportionally as infestation<br />

level rose. They estimated losses at two different altitudes, the first at 457 m above<br />

level sea and the second at 762 m. The average function over 3 harvests for the<br />

higher altitude was as follows:<br />

Where:<br />

Y= % of total losses in the harvest (including all parchment coffee qualities, by weight)<br />

X= % of beans perforated by CBB<br />

If we take the case of Santa Isabel, a large Guatemalan coffee estate as an example,<br />

according to Mr. Bartolo Lacan the manager, the average productivity for the last three<br />

years would be around 45 quintals (qq) of parchment coffee / ha.<br />

For this productivity we can simulate potential losses due to different levels of CBB in<br />

coffee fields following Ochoa’s function assuming a price of US$42/qq of parchment<br />

coffee.<br />

Figure 11 shows the losses per manzana (0.7 ha) and the cost of the cultural control,<br />

assuming this is constant at 136 Quetzals/manzana (US$17 at 1999 farm prices). Because<br />

we know losses for different levels of CBB, a loss function can be estimated in<br />

this case, which is as follows.<br />

Where:<br />

Y =<br />

6.46 .<br />

Y= Loss in US$ per manzana<br />

X= % of beans perforated by CBB<br />

So we have now two functions. On the one hand the loss function as estimated and<br />

X

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