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(70) Therefore, the risk of sulphuric acid dew point attack ... - DTI Home

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knowledge, expertise and experience necessary for managing technological<br />

change. Joint ventures in particular have one important feature which can help<br />

collaborative relationships in China to be successful: a relationship that gives<br />

both sides a stake in <strong>the</strong> future success <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> product or service concerned,<br />

and allows <strong>the</strong> build up <strong>of</strong> trust.<br />

6.7 Conclusions<br />

• Whilst <strong>the</strong> utility scale HRSG market has been healthy in recent years,<br />

<strong>the</strong>re is a predicted sharp downturn in <strong>the</strong> HRSG market in <strong>the</strong> shortmedium<br />

term due to plant over capacity. The situation is not expected to<br />

pick up again until around 2007-2011. Key future HRSG markets are seen<br />

as <strong>the</strong> USA and China (via IGCC). Non technical barriers in <strong>the</strong>se two<br />

markets include <strong>the</strong> price/availability <strong>of</strong> gas in <strong>the</strong> USA and<br />

administrative/financial issues in China.<br />

• For industrial scale HRSGs, <strong>the</strong> European market is depressed due to<br />

falling electricity prices and rising gas prices. However potential markets<br />

include Russia, Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries, Turkey<br />

and <strong>the</strong> Middle East. In <strong>the</strong> USA, despite problems on <strong>the</strong> utility scale,<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are still opportunities for development <strong>of</strong> CHP schemes on industrial<br />

sites, largely driven by security <strong>of</strong> price and supply issues in <strong>the</strong> volatile<br />

deregulated electricity market.<br />

• The current surplus <strong>of</strong> generating capacity in <strong>the</strong> UK and fluctuations in<br />

<strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> natural gas have led to a low requirement to build large scale<br />

power generation plant within <strong>the</strong> UK. The only plus side is that with <strong>the</strong><br />

effects <strong>of</strong> flexible operation becoming more apparent, plant performance<br />

upgrade opportunities are present.<br />

• The combination <strong>of</strong> NETA and a high natural gas price has dramatically<br />

reduced <strong>the</strong> UK market for CHP and <strong>the</strong> climate change levy is not seen as<br />

being an adequate incentive to invest in new HRSGs / CHP schemes.<br />

Enhanced government support for CHP is required if <strong>the</strong> target <strong>of</strong> 10 GWe<br />

by 2010 is to be met.<br />

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