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APIP Agricultural Policy Implementation Project

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distinguish it in the market (unlike Morocco which is known for its roses).<br />

Flowers exported by Tunisian growers in the past few years include carnations,<br />

chrysanthemums, gladioli, gypsophila, irises, roses, strelitzia, and statice.<br />

However, relative to other countries the quantities have been very small and<br />

therefore Tunisia is not considered an exporter of flowers.<br />

The important issue for Tunisians is how to enter into large-scale and<br />

profitable production for export. What flowers should growers produce for export<br />

and how can they select among the hundreds of varieties of different flowers?<br />

Many new varieties are introduced each year on the export market. It is<br />

important for growers to monitor trends in demand for certain varieties since<br />

like most commercial products, flower varieties have product life cycles that (in<br />

the case of roses) last approximately ten years. While some of the rose<br />

varieties that are grown in Tunisia are still popular on the French market, many<br />

of the newly popular flowers are not.<br />

Once a grower has determined which varieties are popular in the market, he<br />

or she must ensure that they are suited to the Tunisian environment. Testing is<br />

an important way a grower can help guarantee successful production of a<br />

particular flower in his or her operation. For example, there are many hundreds<br />

of spray carnation varieties purchased by the major flower markets. However,<br />

they tend to be quite sensitive to soil and micro climates which affect their<br />

productivity making it incumbant on the grower to test them on the farm before<br />

going into large-scale production. Growers can then test the market with a<br />

sample of their test production to determine whether or not they are meeting<br />

standards.<br />

One wholesaler at Rungis market in Paris received a test shipment of<br />

strelitzia from Tunisia which he said did not meet the standards of the French<br />

market. He suggested that it would be difficult for Tunisia to sell strelitzia<br />

because of the extremely high quality of production from France and other<br />

countries. Quality is a critical factor in the flower business because the<br />

discounting is heavy on flowers that are slightly less than "extra" or "super"<br />

quality. Practically speaking there is no secondary market for medium or poor<br />

quality flowers because they simply cannot be sold. Therefore, quality is of<br />

ulmost importance and there is no market "niche" for low-cost, low-quality<br />

flowers. How yield, price and cost factors affect the profitability of<br />

operations producing quality flowers is illustrated by the enterprise budgets.<br />

4.1 Enterprise Budqets for Roses, Carnations, and Gladiola<br />

In order to analyze the costs and returns of cut flower export production,<br />

enterprise budgets30 for roses, carnations and gladioli were prepared based on<br />

interviews with growers, cost estimates obtained from unpublished production<br />

guidelines and private sector operators, and price information gathered in the<br />

Rungis market in Paris. A summary of the results of the analysis shown in<br />

Exhibit 4.1 reveals that cut flower production for export can be potentially very<br />

30 A detailed explanation of assumptions used to calculate production/revenue<br />

and costs are given in Annex 2.<br />

29

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