World Mineral Production - NERC Open Research Archive - Natural ...
World Mineral Production - NERC Open Research Archive - Natural ...
World Mineral Production - NERC Open Research Archive - Natural ...
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US$/tonne<br />
60000<br />
50000<br />
40000<br />
30000<br />
20000<br />
10000<br />
0<br />
Jan-2002<br />
Apr-2002<br />
Jul-2002<br />
Oct-2002<br />
price immediately plunged by a further five per cent (Mining<br />
Journal, 8 June 2007).<br />
The news that the South Korean giant POSCO had developed<br />
a no-nickel stainless steel and that other companies were<br />
turning to ferronickel substitute put further downward pressure<br />
on nickel prices (Haycock, 2007b). Nickel prices also pushed<br />
steel makers to increase production of steels with higher<br />
chromium or manganese content, and the amount of standard<br />
grade stainless (8% Ni) fell to around 45 per cent world<br />
production from 50–60 percent in previous years (Mining<br />
Journal, 2007c). The price decline continued into July as some<br />
of the world’s biggest nickel producers, including Brazilian<br />
giant CVRD (now Vale) and Russian major, Norilsk Nickel,<br />
declared record half-year profits (Haycock, 2007c). Prices<br />
continued to decline throughout the second half of the year,<br />
falling to US$25 805 per tonne by 31 December, with rising<br />
stockpiles playing a significant role, and following the trend<br />
seen in other base metals.<br />
By the end of 2007, nickel stocks had risen almost six-fold<br />
since the beginning of the year, with falling prices failing to<br />
curb supply. Analysts suggest that prices are unlikely to<br />
increase given the lagging demand resulting from declining<br />
growth in the US housing market, although China's growth<br />
may compensate for reduced US demand (Seatter, 2008).<br />
Industry events in 2007<br />
The high prices stimulated increased output in the mining<br />
sector, with the major mining companies investing<br />
significantly in nickel metal during 2006, continuing through<br />
2007. Exploration has been progressing with significant<br />
discoveries, and new projects have come on line.<br />
Takeover activity has resulted in significant consolidation<br />
within the industry and the biggest news has been the struggle<br />
for supremacy in the market. Seven companies now account<br />
for 60 per cent of world primary production (Mining Journal<br />
2007d). Last year CVRD (now rebranded as Vale) bought<br />
Inco, Xstrata purchased Falconbridge and Norilsk<br />
incorporated OMG’s nickel interests.<br />
Jan-2003<br />
Apr-2003<br />
Nickel Price Trend<br />
Average Official LME Nickel Daily Cash Price. Source: Metal Bulletin, 2008.<br />
Jul-2003<br />
Oct-2003<br />
Jan-2004<br />
Apr-2004<br />
Jul-2004<br />
Oct-2004<br />
Jan-2005<br />
Apr-2005<br />
Jul-2005<br />
Oct-2005<br />
Jan-2006<br />
Apr-2006<br />
Jul-2006<br />
Oct-2006<br />
Norilsk Nickel strengthened its leading position both in the<br />
Russian and the international mining and metals industry<br />
during 2007. On 1 March Norilsk Nickel acquired the<br />
Harjavalta refinery in Finland and the Cawse operation in<br />
Australia from the OM Group. On 1 July Norilsk Nickel went<br />
on to acquire Tati Nickel in Botswana, Nkomati in South<br />
Africa as well as the Waterloo, Lake Johnston and Black Swan<br />
operations in Australia as part of the acquisition of LionOre<br />
Mining International Ltd (Norilsk, 2008).<br />
Australia remains one of the most significant producers and<br />
Queensland will have its first new nickel mine in more than 16<br />
years when Metallica <strong>Mineral</strong>s starts production at its Lucky<br />
Break joint venture project next year (MiningNews.net, 2007).<br />
China continues to have a major influence on the nickel<br />
market despite its increasing reliance on low-grade laterite ore<br />
for nickel pig-iron production (see below). Chinese mining<br />
companies continue to invest overseas. In Zambia, Albidon<br />
recently signed an Offtake Agreement with China’s largest<br />
nickel producer the Jinchuan Group for the purchase of nickel<br />
concentrates from its Munali project, over the life of the<br />
project (Chadwick and Higgins, 2007). Jinchuan also bought<br />
an 11 per cent stake in Fox Resources Ltd, and signed further<br />
life-of-mine offtake agreements covering all nickel and copper<br />
concentrates produced from Fox’s Sholl B2 nickel project and<br />
its Radio Hill operation in the Pilbara region of Western<br />
Australia (Fox Resources Ltd, 2007). Nevertheless, Chinese<br />
nickel exports are set to drop after the Chinese Government<br />
increased export tax on 1 November 2007 from 1 to 15 per<br />
cent (Metal Bulletin, 2007a).<br />
One of the most significant industry developments over the<br />
past two years (since 2005) has been the emergence of lowgrade<br />
ferronickel, or nickeliferous pig-iron. In response to the<br />
high nickel price of refined nickel, Chinese steel makers have<br />
been importing low grade laterite ore, mainly from the<br />
Philippines (limonitic clay c. 1.1% Ni), but also from<br />
Indonesia, and converting it in steel furnaces to a low-grade<br />
ferronickel product (2–3% Ni) that can be used by at least<br />
some domestic stainless steel producers (Garvey, 2007c). In<br />
April 2007, Baosteel, China’s biggest steel maker confirmed<br />
that it was using nickel pig-iron as a raw material (Metal<br />
Bulletin, 2007b). It also confirmed that it has been testing the<br />
Jan-2007<br />
Apr-2007<br />
Jul-2007<br />
Oct-2007<br />
Jan-2008<br />
65