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Valeurs seuils pour le rapport coût-efficacité en soins de santé - KCE

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46 ICER Thresholds <strong>KCE</strong> Reports 100<br />

3.5.5 USA ee<br />

The Council specifies that, for this <strong>de</strong>cision making process to function optimally, the<br />

Minister must <strong>de</strong>fine an acceptab<strong>le</strong> limit for some parameters, such as the disease<br />

burd<strong>en</strong> and the cost-effectiv<strong>en</strong>ess value. The Council believes that it is not <strong>en</strong>tit<strong>le</strong>d to<br />

<strong>de</strong>fine such threshold values and that a <strong>de</strong>mocratic discussion has to <strong>de</strong>termine the<br />

limit. In or<strong>de</strong>r to foster the discussion about this topic, the Council suggests an absolute<br />

maximum ICER threshold value of €80 000/QALY gained, provi<strong>de</strong>d that the disease<br />

severity in<strong>de</strong>x exceeds a specific threshold value. 156<br />

The in<strong>de</strong>x ref<strong>le</strong>cting disease severity is obtained following the gui<strong>de</strong>lines from the Dutch<br />

Health Insurance Board. 157 The measure ref<strong>le</strong>cts the health-related quality of life<br />

associated with a specific condition and is based on the number of QALYs lost due to<br />

the disease relative to the number of QALYs expected without the disease.<br />

Therefore, although ICERs are consi<strong>de</strong>red in the <strong>de</strong>cision making process of the<br />

Council, no explicit ICER threshold value has be<strong>en</strong> <strong>de</strong>fined so far in The Netherlands.<br />

Other factors also play an important ro<strong>le</strong> in this process.<br />

In the USA, the figure of US$50 000/QALY gained has frequ<strong>en</strong>tly be<strong>en</strong> quoted for many<br />

years as being the cost-effectiv<strong>en</strong>ess threshold value. 125, 140 Hirth et al. 158 report that this<br />

number was originally based on the supposed annual cost per QALY for the Medicare<br />

program for pati<strong>en</strong>ts with chronic r<strong>en</strong>al failure, but they further argue that this standard<br />

might have be<strong>en</strong> based on a consi<strong>de</strong>rab<strong>le</strong> un<strong>de</strong>restimation of the chronic r<strong>en</strong>al failure<br />

program’s true costs.<br />

Rec<strong>en</strong>tly, Braithwaite et al. 96 investigated whether the advocated $50 000/QALY ru<strong>le</strong> is<br />

consist<strong>en</strong>t with curr<strong>en</strong>t resource allocation <strong>de</strong>cisions in the US. They estimated a lower<br />

bound for the societal WTP per LYG by calculating the increm<strong>en</strong>tal b<strong>en</strong>efits of all<br />

medical advances since 1950 in terms of mortality reduction and the associated<br />

increm<strong>en</strong>tal costs. They simulated the costs and health outcomes in a US birth cohort<br />

without the medical advances and the health outcomes and costs with the medical<br />

advances. Major assumptions about the mortality reduction and costs attributab<strong>le</strong> to<br />

medical advances had to be ma<strong>de</strong>. Based on the simulation, they estimated the ICER for<br />

‘mo<strong>de</strong>rn’ health care. From the empirical observation that most individuals in the US<br />

favour expanding the health care budget, they inferred that society’s WTP for health<br />

care must exceed the ICER of mo<strong>de</strong>rn health care and therefore the ICER threshold<br />

value must be higher than the estimated lower bound.<br />

The estimate of the upper bound for the societal WTP for a LYG was based on<br />

observed peop<strong>le</strong>’s <strong>de</strong>cisions not to buy unsubsidized insurance ev<strong>en</strong> if they are not<br />

insured otherwise. The approach assumes that individual’s unwillingness to get insured<br />

(ev<strong>en</strong> wh<strong>en</strong> income is suffici<strong>en</strong>tly high) implies societal unwillingness to pay. The costs<br />

and b<strong>en</strong>efits associated with and without unsubsidized insurance are simulated and used<br />

to obtain an ICER for insurance. According to Braithwaite et al. the prefer<strong>en</strong>ce not to<br />

get insured may point towards an upper-bound estimate for the societal WTP. The base<br />

case analysis suggests $183 000/LYG and $264 000/LYG as plausib<strong>le</strong> lower and upper<br />

bounds for the ICER threshold value. Wh<strong>en</strong> both quantity and quality of life were<br />

consi<strong>de</strong>red, in their s<strong>en</strong>sitivity analysis, the lower and upper bounds became<br />

$109 000/QALY and $297 000/QALY respectively. Braithwaite et al. 96 conclu<strong>de</strong> that an<br />

ICER threshold value of $50 000/QALY is not consist<strong>en</strong>t with curr<strong>en</strong>t allocation<br />

<strong>de</strong>cisions in the US. As the plausib<strong>le</strong> lower and upper bounds for the ICER are<br />

substantially higher than $50 000/QALY, it is very unlikely that this ICER threshold value<br />

is consist<strong>en</strong>t with societal prefer<strong>en</strong>ces in the United States.<br />

Despite the exist<strong>en</strong>ce of such thresholds published in the US literature, so far, the<br />

C<strong>en</strong>ters for Medicare and Medicaid Services have avoi<strong>de</strong>d the explicit use of costeffectiv<strong>en</strong>ess<br />

criteria in their coverage <strong>de</strong>cisions and it is unc<strong>le</strong>ar to what <strong>de</strong>gree costeffectiv<strong>en</strong>ess<br />

is used to gui<strong>de</strong> coverage <strong>de</strong>cisions in the private sector. 140<br />

ee Website consulted, accessed autumn 2008: the C<strong>en</strong>ters for Medicare & Medicaid Services<br />

(http://www.cms.hhs.gov/), the Aca<strong>de</strong>my of Managed Care Pharmacy (http://www.amcp.org/)

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