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skills acTion Plan for The food and Beverage secTor - Department of ...

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Examples <strong>of</strong> Sub-sector Outlook <strong>for</strong> Dairy <strong>and</strong> Wine<br />

<strong>The</strong> comparisons include outlook results (2005-10) <strong>of</strong><br />

overall employment in the dairy <strong>and</strong> wine sub-sectors under<br />

the “default” scenario in relation to recent developments<br />

(2001-05) in these sub-sectors. This is followed by<br />

observations on the occupations <strong>and</strong> qualifications share<br />

<strong>of</strong> employment in each <strong>of</strong> the value chain 3 activities <strong>for</strong><br />

dairy <strong>and</strong> wine sub-sectors based on the 2001 Census.<br />

<strong>The</strong> overall employment results, are also provided, taking<br />

into account replacement dem<strong>and</strong> (under the default<br />

<strong>and</strong> an alternate lower turnover scenario), the impact <strong>of</strong><br />

higher output (ie. milk solids <strong>and</strong> wine grapes) <strong>and</strong> lower<br />

productivity scenarios on dairy <strong>and</strong> wine sub-sector<br />

employment.<br />

Employment: Sub-Sector Totals <strong>and</strong> by Value-Chain<br />

• Total employment in the dairy sub-sector rose by fewer<br />

than 5,000 FTEs (or by 9%) between 2001 <strong>and</strong> 2005 <strong>and</strong><br />

this is <strong>for</strong>ecast to grow by about 3,750 FTEs (or by 7%)<br />

over the 2005 to 2010 period. Wine sub-sector total<br />

employment grew by about 3,500 FTEs (or 28%) over<br />

the recent period (2001-05) but is <strong>for</strong>ecast to grow<br />

only by about 2,100 (or by 14%) over the <strong>for</strong>ecast period<br />

(2005-10).<br />

• During (2001-05), the greatest increase in dairy<br />

sub-sector employment was in the processing/<br />

manufacturing (22%) <strong>and</strong> the retail service (15%) value<br />

chain activities. Over the <strong>for</strong>ecast period (2005-10),<br />

the increase in processing/manufacturing employment<br />

is expected to rise by only 9% while retail <strong>and</strong> retail<br />

service employment is expected to rise by about 15%.<br />

• During (2001-05), the greatest increase in wine subsector<br />

employment was in production (about 50%),<br />

followed by wine making (18%) <strong>and</strong> wholesaling (24%)<br />

value chain activities. Over the <strong>for</strong>ecast period (2005-<br />

10), the increase in employment in production activities<br />

was considerably less (under 10%) <strong>and</strong> the rise in<br />

employment in all other value chain activities was in<br />

the range <strong>of</strong> 12-18%.<br />

• In the dairy sub-sector, activities at the paddock or<br />

farm level account <strong>for</strong> over 60% <strong>of</strong> the employment<br />

followed by processing (18%) <strong>and</strong> retail <strong>and</strong> retail<br />

services (7-8%). In the wine sub-sector, activities at<br />

the vineyard level account <strong>for</strong> only about 30% <strong>of</strong> the<br />

employment closely followed by retail (29%), retail<br />

services (24%) <strong>and</strong> processing (15%).<br />

3. BERL have used the following components <strong>of</strong> the value chain; paddock, process, wholesale,<br />

retail <strong>and</strong> retail service.<br />

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