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WEF_GrowAfrica_AnnualReport2014

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Forward Look<br />

Forward Look<br />

FORWARD LOOK<br />

PRIORITIES FOR PROGRESS<br />

All hands on deck to develop sugarcane,<br />

rice and maize value chains<br />

The BRN lab dedicated to agriculture defined the<br />

strategic priorities to be achieved by 2015. It is<br />

envisaged that these will be delivered largely through<br />

PPP arrangements that prioritise value chains with<br />

nucleus and out-grower farm models.<br />

These models are expected to sustainably create<br />

greater smallholder engagement, with out-growers<br />

benefitting from training and inputs, while building<br />

equity, higher productivity and motivation. In turn,<br />

the nucleus farms will improve their efficiency and<br />

effectiveness through the increased capacity of<br />

smallholders, while benefiting from the good working<br />

rapport developed in the process.<br />

The PPP efforts are expected to develop 330,000 ha<br />

of enhanced smallholder farmlands (out-growers) and<br />

350,000 ha of new commercial farmland (not including<br />

areas occupied by out-growers). This is anticipated to<br />

result in 4 key outcomes:<br />

•¡<br />

sugarcane crop planting increased by 150,000<br />

tonnes;<br />

•¡<br />

new rice production increased by 290,000 tonnes;<br />

•¡<br />

new maize output increased by 100,000 tonnes; and<br />

•¡<br />

the involvement of 400,000 smallholders in<br />

commercial and out-grower schemes.<br />

These outcomes are to be achieved by boosting<br />

commercial farming and smallholder aggregation. To<br />

that end, the partnership will be required to deliver:<br />

•¡<br />

25 commercial farming deals for rice paddy and<br />

sugarcane;<br />

•¡<br />

78 professionally-managed collective rice irrigation<br />

and marketing schemes; and<br />

•¡<br />

275 collective warehouse-based marketing schemes.<br />

Progress against these strategic targets will be<br />

monitored on a weekly basis by a Task Team reporting<br />

to the Permanent Secretary for Agriculture, who<br />

will in turn report to the Minister, the latter being<br />

ultimately accountable for delivery on these priority<br />

Investment and Partnering Opportunities<br />

The following investment opportunities have been<br />

identified by the Government of Tanzania:<br />

Innovative input needed to unlock growth<br />

potential of rice production<br />

Tanzania’s rice yields are generally low, with the crop<br />

being predominantly grown by smallholders. Growing<br />

local demand for the commodity is being driven by<br />

one of the fastest growing urban populations in the<br />

East African Community (EAC), rising at 4.7% a year,<br />

and a burgeoning middle class that prefers rice over<br />

other staples. Producers in Tanzania also have dutyfree<br />

access to regional markets in the rest of the EAC,<br />

Southern African Development Community (SADC)<br />

and Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa<br />

(COMESA), where demand and imports are also rising.<br />

With imports being fuelled by consistently higher than<br />

global rice prices in Tanzania, and by local production<br />

failing to keep pace with demand, an opportunity is<br />

created for investors ready to introduce the latest<br />

techniques and inputs into the value chain.<br />

Tanzania offers ideal conditions for rice cultivation, with<br />

tropical temperatures, rich and fertile soil, abundant<br />

sunshine and rainfall, and a number of large river<br />

systems ideal for irrigated rice projects. Key cost<br />

factors (labour, land and power) are very competitive<br />

and generally lower than in alternate locations. Several<br />

specific sites have been earmarked for large-scale<br />

irrigated rice schemes, and one major rice venture<br />

(based on the nucleus/out-grower model) is already<br />

cultivating more than 10,000 ha, with some outgrowers<br />

achieving yields of 8 tonnes/ha, proving the<br />

success of the model.<br />

Scope for developing modern<br />

sugar operations<br />

The GoT has put a high priority on attracting investors<br />

to develop new greenfield sugar projects. Attesting<br />

to the attractiveness of the sector in Tanzania, global<br />

sugar industry players already present in Tanzania are<br />

eager to explore these new opportunities.<br />

With a rapidly growing population and rising incomes,<br />

Tanzania’s sugar market growth is estimated at 6% p.a.<br />

The current sugar supply gap is approximately 300,000<br />

tonnes, expected to increase sharply as current estates<br />

are limited in their expansion. An additional 400,000<br />

tonnes sugar supply gap is observed in the EAC<br />

region, growing at over 10% p.a., hence presenting<br />

a significant import substitution opportunity within a<br />

common market protected by a 30% external tariff.<br />

The booming global ethanol market favouring African<br />

producers and the local power market also offers<br />

strong market opportunities for other sugarcane<br />

products and by-products.<br />

With ideal soils and climate for sugarcane production,<br />

Tanzania boasts among the highest average cane<br />

yields in the world, at 120 tonnes/ha. With ample<br />

rainfall and generous rivers fed by high hinterland<br />

plateaus, Tanzania has among the best irrigation<br />

potential in the sub-region. Soils and topography in<br />

target sugar zones lend themselves readily to industrial<br />

sugarcane cultivation, and the government is preparing<br />

further new sites for the development of greenfield<br />

sugar estates.<br />

Multiple prospects available in the<br />

livestock value chain<br />

Tanzania’s livestock population is estimated at 21.3<br />

million (the largest in Southern Africa) and has been<br />

increasing by 5% p.a. However, 97% of all animals are<br />

kept by smallholders, who are often faced with poor<br />

productivity and yields.<br />

Increased population sizes, urbanisation and income<br />

levels across Africa are boosting demand for meat.<br />

Starting from a per-capita consumption of 12 kg p.a.,<br />

Tanzania’s local demand for meat is expected to triple<br />

by 2030. As current increases in livestock supply<br />

will not be able to meet future demand, large-scale<br />

investments are needed to provide technical skills<br />

and capital to run ranches, feedlots, abattoirs, meat<br />

processors and tanneries. Opportunities also exist<br />

to service overseas demand, with Tanzania already<br />

exporting meat to markets demonstrating significant<br />

growth potential in the Middle East and neighbouring<br />

countries.<br />

Tanzania’s climatic conditions are ideal for livestock<br />

operations, with high rainfalls providing mostly flat<br />

grasslands with the necessary water to keep livestock<br />

at a stocking rate of 1 animal per 3 hectares or better.<br />

Of especial interest to investors are the 100,000 ha<br />

of prime ranch land made available by the National<br />

Ranching Company (NARCO), which would support<br />

investments in feedlots, abattoirs, meat processors,<br />

rendering plants and tanneries.<br />

Point of contact for investments<br />

Potential investors wishing to express their interest or<br />

find out more should get in touch with:<br />

Jennifer Baarn<br />

Deputy CEO, SAGCOT Centre Ltd |<br />

+255 786 83 96 65 | jennifer.baarn@sagcot.com<br />

170<br />

Tanzania<br />

Tanzania<br />

171

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