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Powering the Future Summary Report - Parsons Brinckerhoff

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<strong>Powering</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong> <strong>Summary</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

<strong>Powering</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong> <strong>Summary</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

UK energy consumption by sector<br />

1. Transport<br />

The transport sector consumes about 26% (59 MTOE)<br />

of <strong>the</strong> fossil fuel supply to <strong>the</strong> UK economy. Road<br />

transport dominates UK transport energy consumption<br />

and any transfer of traffic from road to rail will strongly<br />

affect energy consumption in <strong>the</strong> rail sector. Since<br />

rail represents a small proportion of passenger and<br />

freight movements, it would be radically affected by<br />

any significant transfers from road transport. Because<br />

of <strong>the</strong> modest scale of rail energy consumption and<br />

its sensitivity to road transport strategy, detailed<br />

consideration of this part of <strong>the</strong> transport sector is not<br />

attempted pending clearer definition of overall transport<br />

strategy.<br />

In order to reduce CO 2 emissions from road transport,<br />

<strong>the</strong> energy currently delivered from fossil petroleum<br />

fuels will have to be substantially replaced by<br />

alternatives.<br />

Table 1 illustrates <strong>the</strong> main options considered for <strong>the</strong><br />

transport sector and shows which ones are included in<br />

<strong>the</strong> reference scenario, <strong>the</strong> base case for evaluation of<br />

alternative options.<br />

We assessed measures to improve <strong>the</strong> performance<br />

of internal combustion engines. While <strong>the</strong>se would be<br />

useful transition measures, none can deliver <strong>the</strong> radical<br />

reductions in fuel consumption needed to meet <strong>the</strong><br />

2050 commitment.<br />

Figure 6 shows <strong>the</strong> overall CO 2 reduction effects of<br />

<strong>the</strong> options, including changes of emissions in <strong>the</strong><br />

electricity sector, where appropriate, compared to <strong>the</strong><br />

‘business as usual’ case. Electricity sector emissions<br />

are based on indicative levels of 0.4 tCO 2 /MWh in 2020<br />

and 0.1 tCO 2 /MWh in 2050.<br />

Table 1 Selected measures for transport sector response to CO 2 emissions<br />

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