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Powering the Future Summary Report - Parsons Brinckerhoff

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<strong>Powering</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong> <strong>Summary</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

<strong>Powering</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong> <strong>Summary</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

Figure 8 shows <strong>the</strong> overall CO 2 reduction effects of<br />

<strong>the</strong> options, including changes of emissions in <strong>the</strong><br />

electricity sector, where appropriate, compared to <strong>the</strong><br />

‘business as usual’ case. Electricity sector emissions<br />

are based on indicative levels of 0.4 tCO 2 /MWh in 2020<br />

and 0.1 tCO 2 /MWh in 2050.<br />

Certain measures are excluded from <strong>the</strong> reference<br />

scenario. Biomass CHP, while offering useful CO 2<br />

reductions, is not included as <strong>the</strong>re is insufficient<br />

biomass available for <strong>the</strong> large energy demands of<br />

industry. Electrical efficiency and conversion to gas<br />

have only a small impact which could be considered<br />

part of <strong>the</strong> continuous process of energy efficiency<br />

improvement in industry.<br />

The large process efficiency improvement required to<br />

reduce industry sector emissions by 2050 represents<br />

a major financial challenge to industry. Funding <strong>the</strong><br />

development and application of <strong>the</strong> necessary new<br />

technologies could undermine <strong>the</strong> competitiveness of<br />

UK industry.<br />

While we were preparing <strong>Powering</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong>, major<br />

UK businesses voiced <strong>the</strong>ir concern to us that <strong>the</strong><br />

inadvertent costs of carbon trading and improvement<br />

programmes could force producers offshore. This<br />

would damage <strong>the</strong> UK economy directly by <strong>the</strong> loss of<br />

employment and indirectly by increasing imports. The<br />

latter would increase global CO 2 emissions through<br />

<strong>the</strong> use of less advanced processes and international<br />

transport – <strong>the</strong> exact reverse of <strong>the</strong> intent of such<br />

measures.<br />

Figure 8 Industry measures - net CO 2 reduction on sector emissions<br />

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