BCG Clean Truck Program Analysis - The Port of Los Angeles

Analytical approach
Impact of CTP levers calculated for each year
Model mechanics rely on prior year output as input for following year
Backup
Year 0 market (10/07-10/08)
baseline
Potential CTP effects starting
Year 1 (2008)
Estimated impacts of CTP
used as model inputs
Baseline SPB drayage market:
• Current cargo demand
• Current trucks/labor servicing
demand by segment
• Current drayage pricing by
segment
CTP effects starting in 2008 1
• Environmental Cargo Fee
• Pre-1989 truck ban
• TWIC regulations
• Concessionary requirements
• Grant program
Impacts estimated using
existing studies/analysis:
• Net change of trucks
by segment
• Net change of
incomes and LMC
costs by segment
Year 1 market (10/08-10/09)
model output
Potential CTP impact starting
Year 2 (10/09-10/10)
Model estimates impact
of CTP through Year 5
Year 1 SPB drayage market:
• New weighted avg pricing based
on Year 0 demand
• New trucks/labor servicing
demand by segment
• New drayage pricing by segment
• New cargo diversion to be applied
to Year 2 demand
CTP impacts starting in 2009:
• Continued grant program
• Continued concessionary
requirements
Estimated impacts of
CTP as inputs for all 5
years of program
SPB drayage market as
output for all 5 years of
program
1. Impacts of CTP levers accounted for within the year they are implemented
BCG Report 3-13-08 final.ppt
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