Electric Power Outlook - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

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Penelec’s Energy Efficiency and Conservation Plan 53 offers a suite of programs for all customer segments designed to reach cumulative reduction targets of 432 GWh and 108 MW at a total cost of $91.9 million. Additionally, Penelec’s WARM low-income weatherization program reduced peak load by 763 kW and saved 2,809 MWh at a cost of $2.9 million. Penelec is a member of PJM and RFC. Figure 17 Pennsylvania Electric Company energy demand (GWh) 15,500 Historic Forecasts 15,000 14,500 2009 2010 2011 14,000 13,500 13,000 12,500 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 53 Docket No. M-2009-2112952. Electric Power Outlook for Pennsylvania 2010-15 31
Figure 18 Pennsylvania Electric Company peak load (MW) 3,000 Historic Forecasts 2,900 2,800 2,700 2,600 2,500 2009 2011 2010 2,400 2,300 2,200 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Pennsylvania Power Company Pennsylvania Power Company (Penn Power), a subsidiary of FirstEnergy, provides service to 160,116 electric utility customers in all or portions of six counties in Western Pennsylvania. In 2010, Penn Power had energy sales totaling 4,502 GWh—an increase of 6.3 percent from the 2009 figure. Residential sales lead Penn Power’s market with 37.7 percent of the total sales, followed by industrial (33.1 percent) and commercial (29.1 percent). These figures reflect a reclassification of commercial and industrial (C&I) customers based on rate schedule; i.e., the commercial class now includes small C&I customers, and the industrial class includes large C&I customers. Average annual use per residential customer was 12,095 kWh at an average cost of 11.23 cents per kWh; operating revenues totaled $255.2 million. The current five-year projection of growth in total energy demand is 0.9 percent. This includes a residential decline rate of -0.1 percent, a commercial decline rate of -0.5 percent and an industrial growth rate of 3.2 percent, based on the recent reclassifications. See Figure 19. Penn Power’s summer peak load, occurring on Aug. 10, 2010, was 903 MW, representing an increase of 0.2 percent over last year’s peak of 901 MW. The 2010-11 winter peak load of 831 MW was 5.4 percent lower than the previous year’s winter peak of 878 MW. The actual average annual peak load growth rate over the past 15 years was 0.5 percent. Penn Power’s forecast shows 32 Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission
Page 1 and 2: ElectricPowerOutlook forPennsylvani
Page 4 and 5: E xecutive Summar y Introduction Se
Page 6 and 7: Contents Section 1 - Introduction P
Page 8 and 9: Section 1 - Introduction Purpose El
Page 10 and 11: NERC defines the bulk electric syst
Page 12 and 13: ReliabilityFirst Corporation The re
Page 14 and 15: PJM manages a sophisticated regiona
Page 16 and 17: Figure 5 Mid-Atlantic Area National
Page 18 and 19: The 2010 RTEP states that TrAIL pro
Page 20 and 21: Three public meetings were held in
Page 22 and 23: eliable service at the least cost t
Page 24 and 25: On June 3, 2010, the Commission app
Page 26 and 27: approval. The EDCs filed their Smar
Page 28 and 29: Section 2 - Historic and Forecast D
Page 30 and 31: Figure 10 Average residential cost
Page 32 and 33: Duquesne has 121.6 miles of transmi
Page 34 and 35: Figure 14 FirstEnergy service terri
Page 36 and 37: Figure 15 Metropolitan Edison Compa
Page 40 and 41: its summer peak load increasing fro
Page 42 and 43: PPL Electric Utilities Corporation
Page 44 and 45: Figure 22 PPL Electric Utilities Co
Page 46 and 47: Figure 23 PECO Energy Company energ
Page 48 and 49: West Penn is a member of PJM and RF
Page 50 and 51: Figure 27 UGI Utilities Inc. energy
Page 52 and 53: Figure 29 Citizens' Electric Compan
Page 54 and 55: Wellsboro Electric Company Wellsbor
Page 56 and 57: the past two years, both peak deman
Page 58 and 59: Figure 32 RFC 2010-2019 reserve mar
Page 60 and 61: The MISO net internal peak demand f
Page 62 and 63: Figure 35 PJM service area in Penns
Page 64 and 65: Figure 37 Existing generating capac
Page 66 and 67: Appendix A - Data Tables The follow
Page 68 and 69: Table A05 Metropolitan Edison Compa
Page 70 and 71: Table A13 Pennsylvania Power Compan
Page 72 and 73: Table A21 PECO Energy Company Table
Page 74 and 75: Appendix B - Plant Additions and Up
Page 76 and 77: Status of Pennsylvania's Plant Addi
Page 78 and 79: Location of queued generation inter
Page 80 and 81: Pennsylvania's Existing Electric Ge
Page 82 and 83: Pennsylvania's Existing Electric Ge

Electric Power Outlook - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

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