Electric Power Outlook - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

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PPL Electric Utilities Corporation PPL Electric Utilities Corporation (PPL), a subsidiary of PPL Corporation, provides service to 1,401,274 homes and businesses over a 10,000- square-mile area in all or portions of 29 counties in Central Eastern Pennsylvania. In 2010, PPL had energy sales totaling 36,919 GWh—down 1.9 percent from 2009. Residential sales continued to dominate PPL's market with 38.5 percent of the total sales, followed by industrial (32.6 percent) and commercial (28.9 percent). These figures reflect a reclassification of commercial and industrial (C&I) customers; i.e., the commercial class now includes small C&I (non-residential secondary voltage), and the industrial class includes large C&I (primary and transmission voltage). Average annual use per residential customer was 11,666 kWh at an average cost of 10.27 cents per kWh; operating revenues totaled $2.5 billion. The current five-year projection of average growth in energy demand is 0.9 percent. This includes growth rates of 0.2 percent for residential, 1.5 percent for commercial and 1.0 percent for industrial, based on the redefined rate groups. See Figure 21. PPL's summer peak load, occurring on July 7, 2010, was 7,214 MW compared to the previous summer’s peak of 6,845 MW, or a 5.4 percent increase. The 2010-11 winter peak load was 7,365 MW, representing an increase of 8.3 percent from last year's winter peak of 6,800 MW. The actual average annual peak load growth rate over the past 15 years was 0.7 percent. PPL’s five-year winter peak load forecast scenario shows the peak load decreasing from 7,365 MW in 2010 to 7,101 MW in 2011 and then increasing to 7,282 MW in 2015 at an average annual rate of 0.5 percent. The current forecast for 2011 is 126 MW or 1.7 percent lower than the previous forecast. It is noted that PPL is normally winter peaking, but in some years the summer peak has exceeded the previous winter peak; the current forecast represents the annual peak load. See Figure 22. Tables A17-A20 in Appendix A provide PPL’s forecasts of peak load and residential, commercial and industrial energy demand, filed with the Commission in years 2001 through 2011. In 2010, PPL purchased 63 GWh from cogeneration and independent power production facilities, or 0.2 percent of net energy for load. For Calendar Year 2010, 45 EGSs supplied 23.7 GWh to retail customers in PPL’s service territory, representing 64.3 percent of total consumption. PPL has identified several transmission projects, including new construction and rebuilding of existing lines, with in-service dates through 2020. The projects involve 796 circuit miles at a total cost of $1.14 billion. The single largest project is the Susquehanna-Roseland Project, described in Section 1. Electric Power Outlook for Pennsylvania 2010-15 35
PPL’s Energy Efficiency and Conservation Plan 55 includes a range of energy efficiency and demand response programs that include all customer segments, designed to reach cumulative reduction targets of 1,146 GWh and 297 MW at a total cost of $246 million. PPL is a member of PJM and RFC. Figure 21 PPL Electric Utilities Corporation energy demand (GWh) 39,000 Historic Forecasts 38,500 38,000 37,500 2010 2009 2011 37,000 36,500 36,000 35,500 35,000 34,500 34,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 55 Docket No. M-2009-2093216. 36 Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission
Page 1 and 2: ElectricPowerOutlook forPennsylvani
Page 4 and 5: E xecutive Summar y Introduction Se
Page 6 and 7: Contents Section 1 - Introduction P
Page 8 and 9: Section 1 - Introduction Purpose El
Page 10 and 11: NERC defines the bulk electric syst
Page 12 and 13: ReliabilityFirst Corporation The re
Page 14 and 15: PJM manages a sophisticated regiona
Page 16 and 17: Figure 5 Mid-Atlantic Area National
Page 18 and 19: The 2010 RTEP states that TrAIL pro
Page 20 and 21: Three public meetings were held in
Page 22 and 23: eliable service at the least cost t
Page 24 and 25: On June 3, 2010, the Commission app
Page 26 and 27: approval. The EDCs filed their Smar
Page 28 and 29: Section 2 - Historic and Forecast D
Page 30 and 31: Figure 10 Average residential cost
Page 32 and 33: Duquesne has 121.6 miles of transmi
Page 34 and 35: Figure 14 FirstEnergy service terri
Page 36 and 37: Figure 15 Metropolitan Edison Compa
Page 38 and 39: Penelec’s Energy Efficiency and C
Page 40 and 41: its summer peak load increasing fro
Page 44 and 45: Figure 22 PPL Electric Utilities Co
Page 46 and 47: Figure 23 PECO Energy Company energ
Page 48 and 49: West Penn is a member of PJM and RF
Page 50 and 51: Figure 27 UGI Utilities Inc. energy
Page 52 and 53: Figure 29 Citizens' Electric Compan
Page 54 and 55: Wellsboro Electric Company Wellsbor
Page 56 and 57: the past two years, both peak deman
Page 58 and 59: Figure 32 RFC 2010-2019 reserve mar
Page 60 and 61: The MISO net internal peak demand f
Page 62 and 63: Figure 35 PJM service area in Penns
Page 64 and 65: Figure 37 Existing generating capac
Page 66 and 67: Appendix A - Data Tables The follow
Page 68 and 69: Table A05 Metropolitan Edison Compa
Page 70 and 71: Table A13 Pennsylvania Power Compan
Page 72 and 73: Table A21 PECO Energy Company Table
Page 74 and 75: Appendix B - Plant Additions and Up
Page 76 and 77: Status of Pennsylvania's Plant Addi
Page 78 and 79: Location of queued generation inter
Page 80 and 81: Pennsylvania's Existing Electric Ge
Page 82 and 83: Pennsylvania's Existing Electric Ge

Electric Power Outlook - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

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