Electric Power Outlook - Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

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its summer peak load increasing from 903 MW in summer 2010 to 1,010 MW by summer 2015. The current forecast for 2011 is 54 MW or 6.1 percent higher than the previous forecast. See Figure 20. Tables A13-A16 in Appendix A provide Penn Power’s forecasts of peak load and residential, commercial and industrial energy demand, filed with the Commission in years 2001 through 2011. The electrical systems of Penn Power and the Ohio FirstEnergy operating companies are interconnected and fully integrated, and for planning purposes are treated as a single electrical system. Effective June 1, 2011, Penn Power and the other FirstEnergy companies became a part of PJM, transferring from MISO. ATSI owns and operates the transmission assets of Penn Power and the Ohio FirstEnergy companies. Beginning in January 2007, Penn Power has regularly conducted competitive procurements of its generation supply upon expiration of its generation rate cap at the end of 2006. For Calendar Year 2010, seven EGSs sold 2,327 GWh to retail customers in Penn Power’s service territory or 51.7 percent of total consumption. Penn Power purchased 31,056 kWh from an independent power producer in 2010. Penn Power’s Energy Efficiency and Conservation Plan 54 offers a suite of programs for all customer segments designed to reach cumulative reduction targets of 143 GWh and 44 MW at a total cost of $26.6 million. Additionally, Penn Power’s WARM low-income weatherization program reduced peak load by 201 kW and saved 976 MWh at a cost of $957,145. Penn Power is a subsidiary of FirstEnergy, which is a member of PJM and RFC. 54 Docket No. M-2009-2112956. Electric Power Outlook for Pennsylvania 2010-15 33
Figure 19 Pennsylvania Power Company energy demand (GWh) 5,200 5,100 Historic Forecasts 2009 5,000 4,900 2010 4,800 4,700 4,600 2011 4,500 4,400 4,300 4,200 4,100 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Figure 20 Pennsylvania Power Company peak load (MW) 1,100 Historic Forecasts 1,050 1,000 2009 2011 950 2010 900 850 800 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 34 Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission
Page 1 and 2: ElectricPowerOutlook forPennsylvani
Page 4 and 5: E xecutive Summar y Introduction Se
Page 6 and 7: Contents Section 1 - Introduction P
Page 8 and 9: Section 1 - Introduction Purpose El
Page 10 and 11: NERC defines the bulk electric syst
Page 12 and 13: ReliabilityFirst Corporation The re
Page 14 and 15: PJM manages a sophisticated regiona
Page 16 and 17: Figure 5 Mid-Atlantic Area National
Page 18 and 19: The 2010 RTEP states that TrAIL pro
Page 20 and 21: Three public meetings were held in
Page 22 and 23: eliable service at the least cost t
Page 24 and 25: On June 3, 2010, the Commission app
Page 26 and 27: approval. The EDCs filed their Smar
Page 28 and 29: Section 2 - Historic and Forecast D
Page 30 and 31: Figure 10 Average residential cost
Page 32 and 33: Duquesne has 121.6 miles of transmi
Page 34 and 35: Figure 14 FirstEnergy service terri
Page 36 and 37: Figure 15 Metropolitan Edison Compa
Page 38 and 39: Penelec’s Energy Efficiency and C
Page 42 and 43: PPL Electric Utilities Corporation
Page 44 and 45: Figure 22 PPL Electric Utilities Co
Page 46 and 47: Figure 23 PECO Energy Company energ
Page 48 and 49: West Penn is a member of PJM and RF
Page 50 and 51: Figure 27 UGI Utilities Inc. energy
Page 52 and 53: Figure 29 Citizens' Electric Compan
Page 54 and 55: Wellsboro Electric Company Wellsbor
Page 56 and 57: the past two years, both peak deman
Page 58 and 59: Figure 32 RFC 2010-2019 reserve mar
Page 60 and 61: The MISO net internal peak demand f
Page 62 and 63: Figure 35 PJM service area in Penns
Page 64 and 65: Figure 37 Existing generating capac
Page 66 and 67: Appendix A - Data Tables The follow
Page 68 and 69: Table A05 Metropolitan Edison Compa
Page 70 and 71: Table A13 Pennsylvania Power Compan
Page 72 and 73: Table A21 PECO Energy Company Table
Page 74 and 75: Appendix B - Plant Additions and Up
Page 76 and 77: Status of Pennsylvania's Plant Addi
Page 78 and 79: Location of queued generation inter
Page 80 and 81: Pennsylvania's Existing Electric Ge
Page 82 and 83: Pennsylvania's Existing Electric Ge

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