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Cost reduction in the European Banking sector - Roland Berger

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Announced plans reflect a turnaround from cost conta<strong>in</strong>ment<br />

to active cost <strong>reduction</strong><br />

Evolution of <strong>European</strong> Banks <strong>Cost</strong>: Income Ratio<br />

70<br />

69%<br />

65<br />

60<br />

Actual CIR<br />

55<br />

-0.5 pt/year<br />

Expected CIR<br />

61%<br />

-1.5 pt/year<br />

55%<br />

0<br />

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016<br />

In a different top l<strong>in</strong>e growth context !<br />

NBI growth/year 3 to 5% +/-1%<br />

Base case :<br />

-10% COSTS<br />

OVER 2012-2016<br />

-40 Bn EUR<br />

Stress case: -17% (-68 Bn EUR)<br />

<strong>Cost</strong> growth/year<br />

2 to 4% -0.5 to.-2.5%<br />

Source: Bloomberg, Broker reports, Annual reports, <strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants analysis<br />

Bank<strong>in</strong>g_cost_<strong>reduction</strong>_FINAL_270712.pptx<br />

9

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