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Chapter 4 - Warnings - 2009 Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission

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<strong>2009</strong> <strong>Victorian</strong> <strong>Bushfires</strong> <strong>Royal</strong> <strong>Commission</strong>—Interim Report<br />

4 WARNINGS<br />

BUSHFIRE WARNINGS: THE WELL-TRODDEN PATH<br />

4.14<br />

4.15<br />

The review and analysis of warnings and their mode of delivery is not new. Successive inquiries, reviews<br />

and reports have considered bushfire warnings. Some have focused on warning content and construction,<br />

others on delivery systems.<br />

Some matters highlighted in these reports have received government support and been implemented.<br />

Others, in particular the national adoption of standard bushfire warnings and the development of a<br />

telephony-based warning system, received insufficient attention in the years after their recommendation.<br />

1984 Report on Ash Wednesday<br />

4.16 The 1984 inquiry into the 1983 Ash Wednesday fires produced a report, On Bushfire Disaster Preparedness<br />

and Response in Victoria. 9 That report noted the difference between warnings that simply raise general<br />

awareness and specific warnings about particular fires:<br />

… fire threat indicators which ushered in the 1982/1983 season served as a serious underscoring of the<br />

extreme risk facing authorities and communities alike. Whilst it is difficult to generalise with accuracy, it<br />

would appear that these indicators did help to enhance levels of awareness and preparedness. Whether<br />

this, in turn, had any significant effect on the disastrous circumstances of 16 February, is another matter. 10<br />

4.17<br />

4.18<br />

4.19<br />

4.20<br />

The Ash Wednesday report went on to address warning and information systems generally. It emphasised<br />

the importance of maximum warning lead time, accurate meteorological information, standardisation and<br />

clarity of warnings. It also explored the methods of providing information, such as special messages or<br />

warnings that alert people to switch to a designated system, such as the ABC. It found that greater use<br />

should be made of local TV and radio stations and that ‘Special fire warning sirens should be located at<br />

police and fire stations; also, church bells should be utilised’. 11<br />

The goal that warnings be standardised and their meaning rendered ‘clear and unambiguous’ was not fully<br />

achieved by 7 February. While sirens and church bells received specific attention in the report, the evidence<br />

before this <strong>Commission</strong> is that use of sirens was contrary to CFA policy on 7 February (further discussion<br />

at paragraph 4.224).<br />

The report emphasised the importance of informing the community about warning systems, and advising<br />

people about how to respond to them. It also recommended that ‘new systems which offer possibilities<br />

of enhancing warning capability should be examined’. 12<br />

These comments appear just as relevant today as when they were published in 1984. While new systems<br />

were indeed examined and kept under review in the years since 1984, the available technology for<br />

a telephony-based warning system was not used or introduced prior to the February <strong>2009</strong> fires.<br />

This represents a missed opportunity, and is addressed in more detail below.<br />

2002 COAG Report<br />

4.21 In 2002, the Council of Australian Governments (COAG) commissioned a review of Australia’s approach<br />

to dealing with natural disasters. The review was carried out by a high level group of officials representing<br />

all levels of government. The product of that review was a report titled, Natural Disasters in Australia —<br />

Reforming Mitigation, Relief and Recovery Arrangements .13<br />

4.22<br />

The report concluded that current arrangements ‘could be improved to ensure that Australia has a<br />

world class national framework for disaster management’. 14 Significantly, the report recommended what<br />

it described as ‘a paradigm shift to disaster mitigation’. It recommended the implementation of a Disaster<br />

Mitigation Australia Package, which would include funding for programs such as disaster warning systems<br />

and community awareness and readiness measures. 15<br />

122

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