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Meeting Europe's renewable energy targets in harmony with - RSPB

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58 MEETING EUROPE’S RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGETS IN HARMONY WITH NATURE<br />

FIGURE 1<br />

EU-27 additional <strong>renewable</strong><br />

<strong>energy</strong> consumption <strong>in</strong> 2020<br />

compared to 2005, by<br />

technology [ktoe] iv<br />

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The “medium risk” technologies (see Chapter<br />

Two) – onshore and offshore w<strong>in</strong>d, solar, biomass<br />

for heat and electricity, and tidal/wave – plus a small<br />

contribution from geothermal <strong>energy</strong>, together<br />

provide for 69% of additional <strong>renewable</strong> <strong>energy</strong><br />

consumed <strong>in</strong> 2020 compared to 2005 (101 Mtoe of<br />

the total 147 Mtoe <strong>in</strong>crease). A further 12% of the<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease is expected to be provided by technologies<br />

<strong>in</strong> our “low risk” category: solar thermal and heat<br />

pumps, plus <strong>renewable</strong> electricity consumed <strong>in</strong><br />

electric vehicles. In our “high risk” category,<br />

additional hydropower provides a little over 1%<br />

(partly accounted for by small scale facilities and<br />

“repower<strong>in</strong>g” exist<strong>in</strong>g facilities, which may present<br />

few risks) and the rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g 18% of the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />

consumption is attributed to liquid biofuels. These<br />

statistics are summarised <strong>in</strong> Table 2.<br />

In order to give an impression of the implications<br />

on the ground <strong>in</strong> terms of land-use changes and<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments, these <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> <strong>energy</strong> consumption<br />

can be related to the output of typical <strong>renewable</strong><br />

<strong>energy</strong> <strong>in</strong>stallations <strong>with</strong> current technologies and<br />

average load factors v . For example, to meet the target<br />

for solar PV us<strong>in</strong>g domestic rooftops the EU would<br />

require an additional 19.4 million 4-kW photovoltaic<br />

home systems. The target for CSP would require 170<br />

50-MW facilities. The wave and tidal <strong>targets</strong> would<br />

require an additional 5,100 1-MW tidal/wave turb<strong>in</strong>es.<br />

TABLE 2<br />

<strong>Meet<strong>in</strong>g</strong> the EU <strong>renewable</strong>s <strong>targets</strong>:<br />

contributions from low, medium and high risk<br />

technology groups<br />

Total <strong>energy</strong> use <strong>in</strong> the EU<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2020<br />

Total <strong>renewable</strong> <strong>energy</strong><br />

use <strong>in</strong> the EU <strong>in</strong> 2020<br />

Additional annual<br />

<strong>renewable</strong> <strong>energy</strong> use<br />

2005–20<br />

Additional “low risk”<br />

<strong>renewable</strong> <strong>energy</strong> use<br />

2005–20 (%)<br />

Additional “medium risk”<br />

<strong>renewable</strong> <strong>energy</strong> use<br />

2005–20 (%)<br />

Additional “high risk”<br />

<strong>renewable</strong> <strong>energy</strong> use<br />

2005–20 (%)<br />

1189 Mtoe<br />

244 Mtoe (20% of total<br />

<strong>energy</strong> use)<br />

147 Mtoe<br />

18 Mtoe (12%)<br />

101 Mtoe (69%)<br />

28 Mtoe (19%)

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