SACOG Conformity Determination

TABLE 2. FASTEST-GROWING COMMUNITIES, 2005-2027
Communities 2005 2027 Increase % Increase
2005-2027 2005-2027
POPULATION
Cosumnes 6,496 59,474 52,978 816%
Rancho Cordova 117,182 169,093 51,911 44%
Laguna 67,277 116,509 49,232 73%
Vineyard 24,171 69,609 45,438 188%
West Sacramento 39,878 84,362 44,484 112%
HOUSEHOLDS
Rancho Cordova 42,568 67,871 25,303 59%
Laguna 22,378 46,658 24,280 108%
West Sacramento 14,453 35,688 21,234 147%
Cosumnes 2,193 22,684 20,491 934%
Yuba City 24,117 43,994 19,877 82%
EMPLOYMENT
West Sacramento 29,479 84,356 54,876 186%
Rancho Cordova 91,550 146,055 54,505 60%
Roseville 66,290 117,095 50,805 77%
Downtown Sacramento 113,421 159,479 46,058 41%
East Sacramento 58,148 80,767 22,619 39%
Source: Sacramento Area Council of Governments, projections adopted by the Board of Directors 12-16-04.
The distribution of growth is the most important issue for transportation. Travel patternsparticularly
during commute periods - have become more complex because so much of the
expected growth of both jobs and housing is located in suburban locations. Formerly uncongested
roads are becoming clogged, especially major arterials in suburban areas. Many suburban job sites
have little or no transit service, and transit service connecting suburban residential and employment
areas is especially thin. Increasingly, commuters must rely on autos.
WHY SHOULD SACRAMENTO EXPECT THIS MUCH GROWTH?
In preparing the MTP 2025 in 2002, several people told SACOG that the projection of a million
more people in Sacramento in 2025 would not be desirable. SACOG, however, cannot plan for the
population level people may want; SACOG must plan for population growth likely to occur. In
fact, it may be better to plan for growth on the high side than to fall short and have to catch up later.
Past history and population forecasts indicate that 800,000 in population growth by 2027 is
reasonable. SACOG in 1977 estimated that the region's population (then 1.12 million) would grow
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