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How many X's do you know'' surveys - Columbia University

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Overview<br />

Social and political polarization<br />

Background: how <strong>many</strong> people <strong>do</strong> <strong>you</strong> know?<br />

Learning from “<strong>How</strong> <strong>many</strong> X’s <strong>do</strong> <strong>you</strong> know” <strong>surveys</strong><br />

Next<br />

3 models<br />

Fitting our model<br />

Results: how <strong>many</strong> people <strong>do</strong> <strong>you</strong> know?<br />

Results: group sizes and overdispersions<br />

Confidence building and model extensions<br />

Our null model<br />

◮ y ik = number of persons in group k known by person i<br />

◮ Our null model: some people are more popular than others<br />

◮ y ik ∼ Poisson(a i b k )<br />

◮ a i = e α i<br />

, “gregariousness” of person i<br />

◮ b k = e β k<br />

, size of group k in the social network<br />

◮ Unrealistic: data are actually overdispersed<br />

(for example, <strong>do</strong> χ 2 test)<br />

Gelman, DiPrete, Salganik, Teitler, Zheng<br />

Studying polarization using <strong>surveys</strong>

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