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How many X's do you know'' surveys - Columbia University

How many X's do you know'' surveys - Columbia University

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Overview<br />

Social and political polarization<br />

Background: how <strong>many</strong> people <strong>do</strong> <strong>you</strong> know?<br />

Learning from “<strong>How</strong> <strong>many</strong> X’s <strong>do</strong> <strong>you</strong> know” <strong>surveys</strong><br />

Next<br />

3 models<br />

Fitting our model<br />

Results: how <strong>many</strong> people <strong>do</strong> <strong>you</strong> know?<br />

Results: group sizes and overdispersions<br />

Confidence building and model extensions<br />

Gibbs-Metropolis algorithm: updating hyperparameters<br />

◮ Update µ α ∼ N ( 1∑ n<br />

n i=1 α i, 1 n σ2)<br />

◮ Update σα 2 ∼ Inv-χ 2 ( n−1, 1 ∑ n<br />

n i=1 (α i − µ α ) 2)<br />

◮ Similarly with µ β , σ β<br />

◮ Renormalize to identify the α’s and β’s . . .<br />

Gelman, DiPrete, Salganik, Teitler, Zheng<br />

Studying polarization using <strong>surveys</strong>

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