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ABACA Activities in the Philippines - Unido

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Ref. No. CFC/FIGHF/09 CFC/UNIDO/FIDA 43<br />

significant contribut<strong>in</strong>g 69.82% and 89.86% <strong>in</strong> Albay and Davao, respectively. High correlation of 83.56 %<br />

and 94.79% between <strong>the</strong> three factors and disease <strong>in</strong>cidence <strong>in</strong> both locations were also observed (Table 6).<br />

Table 6. Regression statistics for <strong>the</strong> factors <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> development of<br />

bunchy-top disease <strong>in</strong> selected abaca varieties <strong>in</strong> Albay and Davao<br />

Parameter estimates Albay Davao<br />

Multiple R 0.8356 0.9479<br />

R square 0.6982 0.8986<br />

Intercept -20.1893 5.8687<br />

Incubation period 0.0800 -0.0704<br />

Infection rate 247.7716 85.8492<br />

AUDPC 0.0441 0.0505<br />

Observations 31 24<br />

To assess <strong>the</strong> direct and <strong>in</strong>direct contributions of multiple, often correlated factors such as <strong>in</strong>fection<br />

rate, AUDPC and <strong>in</strong>cubation time on disease <strong>in</strong>cidence, correlation analysis was done which <strong>in</strong>dicated<br />

col<strong>in</strong>earity among predictors which is expressed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> equation Yƒ = a + bx 1 + b x 2 + bx 3 where Yƒ<br />

represents disease <strong>in</strong>cidence of <strong>the</strong> variety, a is regression coefficient; bx 1 is mean <strong>in</strong>cubation time after after<br />

emergence; bx 2 is mean <strong>in</strong>fection rate after 30 months after plant<strong>in</strong>g; and bx 3 is mean AUDPC after 30<br />

months after plant<strong>in</strong>g. The results were used to rank <strong>the</strong> varieties for <strong>the</strong>ir degree of resistance. In Albay,<br />

Magu<strong>in</strong>danao, Inosa and Abuab ranked 1 st , 2 nd and 3 rd respectively, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir degree of resistance to <strong>the</strong><br />

bunchy-top <strong>in</strong>fection while Magu<strong>in</strong>danao, Laguis and L<strong>in</strong>awaan ranked 1 st , 2 nd and 3 rd <strong>in</strong> Davao (Table 7 &<br />

8).<br />

Table 7. Selection of varieties for degree of resistance to bunchy-top disease <strong>in</strong> Albay<br />

Variety Intercep<br />

t<br />

X 1 Mean<br />

Incubation<br />

X 2 Mean<br />

Infectio<br />

n rate<br />

X 3 Mean<br />

AUDPC<br />

Lausigon 0.08 40 247.77 0.1716 0.0441 494.805<br />

- 3.2 42.517<br />

20.1893<br />

4<br />

Abuab 0.08 25 247.77 0.1259 0.0441 343.71<br />

-<br />

31.194<br />

20.1893<br />

2<br />

MT51 0.08 17 247.77 0.1091 0.0441 533.74<br />

-<br />

20.1893<br />

Inosa 0.08 27 247.77 0.0933 0.0441 433.32<br />

-<br />

23.116<br />

20.1893<br />

9<br />

Laguis 0.08 19 247.77 0.1618 0.0441 487.69<br />

-<br />

40.089<br />

20.1893<br />

2<br />

L<strong>in</strong>awaan 0.08 23 247.77 0.1198 0.0441 422.63<br />

-<br />

29.682<br />

20.1893<br />

8<br />

Tangongon 0.08 36.75 247.77 0.1082 0.0441 707.98<br />

-<br />

26.808<br />

20.1893<br />

7<br />

21.8209 47.3489 8<br />

15.1576 28.1625 3<br />

27.031 23.5379 31.7403 5<br />

19.1094 24.1970 2<br />

21.5071 42.9270 7<br />

18.637 29.9715 4<br />

31.2219 40.7813 6<br />

Magu<strong>in</strong>danao 0.08 33.5 247.77 0.0897 0.0441 342.87<br />

-<br />

20.1893<br />

22.237<br />

3<br />

15.1205 19.8486 1<br />

Y<br />

Ran<br />

k

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