Review of Austrian Economics - The Ludwig von Mises Institute
Review of Austrian Economics - The Ludwig von Mises Institute
Review of Austrian Economics - The Ludwig von Mises Institute
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New Classical and Old <strong>Austrian</strong><br />
<strong>Economics</strong>: Equilibrium Business<br />
Cycle <strong>The</strong>ory in Perspective<br />
Roger W. Garrison*<br />
<strong>The</strong> recent flourishing <strong>of</strong> New Classical economics, and especially<br />
its Equilibrium Business Cycle <strong>The</strong>ory (EBCT), has<br />
given a fresh hearing to the Old—but still developing—<strong>Austrian</strong><br />
Business Cycle <strong>The</strong>ory (ABCT). While the New and the Old<br />
differ radically in both substance and methods, they exhibit a certain<br />
formal congruency that has captured the attention <strong>of</strong> both schools.<br />
<strong>The</strong> formal similarities between EBCT and ABCT invites a point-bypoint<br />
comparison, but the comparison itself dramatizes differences<br />
between the two views in a way that adds to the integrity and<br />
plausibility <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Austrian</strong> theory.<br />
In modern macroeconomic literature, the label EBCT is applied<br />
sometimes so broadly as to include New Keynesian as well as New<br />
Classical constructions and sometimes so narrowly as to preclude the<br />
very developments within the New Classical school that are most<br />
closely related to ABCT. So-called Real Business Cycle <strong>The</strong>ory, in<br />
which cyclical movements <strong>of</strong> macroeconomic variables are characterized<br />
by both market clearing and Pareto optimality, is sometimes<br />
designated as the only true equilibrium construction. <strong>The</strong> comparison<br />
<strong>of</strong> New Classical and Old <strong>Austrian</strong> theories is best facilitated by<br />
letting EBCT refer to those theories in which (a) individuals make<br />
the best use <strong>of</strong> the information available to them and (b) an informational<br />
deficiency temporarily masks the interventions <strong>of</strong> the monetary<br />
authority. As exposited by Robert Lucas (1981), Robert Barro<br />
(1981) and others, EBCT so conceived accounts for business cycles in<br />
terms <strong>of</strong> the actions <strong>of</strong> market participants confronted with what has<br />
come to be known as a signal-extraction problem. Difficulties in<br />
*Roger W. Garrison is an associate pr<strong>of</strong>essor <strong>of</strong> economics at Auburn University.<br />
Helpful comments on an earlier draft <strong>of</strong> this paper from Parth Shah, Sven<br />
Thommesen, and an anonymous referee are gratefully acknowledged.<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>Review</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Austrian</strong> <strong>Economics</strong>, Vol. 5, No. 1 (1991): 91-103<br />
ISSN 0889-3047<br />
91