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February 27, 2012 - IMM@BUCT

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BUSINESS<br />

CHEMICAL RESULTS<br />

A slow fourth quarter dragged down earnings at several big chemical firms<br />

FOURTH-QUARTER 2011 FULL-YEAR 2011<br />

SALES EARNINGS a CHANGE FROM 2010 PROFIT MARGIN b SALES EARNINGS a CHANGE FROM 2010 PROFIT MARGIN b<br />

($ MILLIONS) SALES EARNINGS 2011 2010 ($ MILLIONS) SALES EARNINGS 2011 2010<br />

Air Products $2,423 $292 1.3% -1.4% 12.1% 12.4% $10,004 $1,258 8.2% 6.3% 12.6% 12.8%<br />

Albemarle 707 99 16.9 16.5 14.0 14.0 2,869 436 21.4 32.9 15.2 13.9<br />

Ashland 1,930 95 34.7 31.9 4.9 5.0 7,000 -13 -16.9 def nm 3.4<br />

Cabot 762 40 9.8 -37.5 5.2 9.2 3,268 206 13 21.9 6.3 5.8<br />

Celanese 1,614 96 7.1 -6.8 5.9 6.8 6,763 606 14.3 42.3 9.0 7.2<br />

CF Industries 1,718 439 38.8 119.5 25.6 16.2 6,098 1,539 53.8 341.0 25.2 8.8<br />

Cytec Industries 731 40.3 4.4 16.5 5.5 4.9 3,073 179 11.8 20.1 5.8 5.4<br />

Dow Chemical 14,097 289 2.4 -46.3 2.1 3.9 59,985 2,959 11.8 30.8 4.9 4.2<br />

DuPont 8,425 325 13.8 -29.8 3.9 6.3 37,961 3,710 20.5 22.4 9.8 9.6<br />

Eastman Chemical 1,723 100 17.8 -3.8 5.8 7.1 7,178 652 22.9 26.8 9.1 8.8<br />

FMC Corp. 909 112 12.1 40.0 12.3 9.9 3,378 429 8.4 18.8 12.7 11.6<br />

H.B. Fuller 437 26 21.4 18.2 5.9 6.1 1,558 89 14.9 25.4 5.7 5.2<br />

W.R. Grace 826 58 19.2 28.9 7.0 6.5 3,212 269 20.1 30.0 8.4 7.7<br />

Huntsman Corp. 2,632 68 9.1 13.3 2.6 2.5 11,221 408 21.3 104.0 3.6 2.2<br />

Mosaic 3,015 624 12.7 36.5 20.7 17.1 11,174 2,341 32.2 86.1 21.0 14.9<br />

PPG Industries 3,517 216 16.9 5.4 6.1 6.1 14,885 1,095 21.4 -48.9 15.2 36.1<br />

Praxair 2,796 414 6.6 6.7 14.8 14.8 11,252 1,666 11.2 12.9 14.8 14.6<br />

Solutia 526 55 7.6 14.6 10.5 9.8 2,097 267 7.5 193.4 12.7 4.7<br />

Sigma-Aldrich 610 108 4.8 14.9 17.7 16.2 2,505 457 10.3 19.0 18.2 16.9<br />

Stepan 444 15 23.0 35.1 3.5 3.2 1,843 73 28.8 7.4 4.0 4.8<br />

TOTAL c $49,842 $3,512 9.3% 4.2% 7.0% 7.4% $207,324 $18,626 14.8% 36.3% 9.0% 7.6%<br />

a After-tax earnings from continuing operations, excluding significant extraordinary and nonrecurring items. b After-tax earnings as a percentage of sales. c Percentages were calculated<br />

from combined sales and earnings. def = deficit. nm = not meaningful.<br />

ing in the company’s acetyl intermediates<br />

segment, as well as a modest impact to volumes<br />

in the advanced engineered materials<br />

segment,” the company told investors.<br />

Volume declines were also evident at<br />

Huntsman Corp., but higher prices for<br />

polyurethanes, performance products,<br />

and pigments more than offset the impact,<br />

raising revenues by 9.1% and earnings<br />

by 13.3% compared with the 2010 fourth<br />

quarter. CEO Peter R. Huntsman described<br />

customer destocking as “aggressive,” but<br />

he assured investors that Huntsman’s businesses<br />

would revive with the improving<br />

global economy.<br />

Meanwhile, the coatings market was a<br />

mixed bag for paint-oriented companies<br />

such as PPG Industries, which reported<br />

flat volumes year-over-year. Sales in<br />

Europe dropped by 1%, but the firm saw<br />

strengthening global demand in markets<br />

including aerospace, automotive manufacturing,<br />

and general industry. Construction<br />

activity in developed regions was still anemic,<br />

PPG told investors. In total, quarterly<br />

revenues increased 16.9%, and earnings<br />

grew by 5.4%.<br />

PPG isn’t likely to see a rebound in U.S.<br />

construction activity for some time. In early<br />

<strong>February</strong>, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S.<br />

Bernanke included a startling statistic in testimony<br />

to Congress. “Since 2009, the pace<br />

of single-family housing starts has averaged<br />

less than 500,000 units per year. During the<br />

15 years before the financial crisis, the pace<br />

of single-family starts had never fallen below<br />

1 million units per year.”<br />

Bernanke added that declines in home<br />

values may be causing a $200 billion to<br />

$375 billion reduction in annual consumer<br />

spending. On the other hand, in 2011, the<br />

U.S. economy added 160,000 jobs per<br />

month, and the unemployment rate fell by<br />

about 1%. That small advance likely contributed<br />

to higher personal spending in the<br />

fourth quarter. According to the Bureau of<br />

Economic Analysis , consumer spending<br />

increased 2.0% in the fourth quarter, after a<br />

third-quarter increase of 1.7%. Spending on<br />

durable goods increased 14.8%, compared<br />

with an increase of 5.7% in the third quarter.<br />

Overall, the gross domestic product<br />

(GDP) increased by an estimated annual<br />

rate of 2.8% in the fourth quarter.<br />

AS THE U.S. ECONOMY crawled out of the<br />

recession, chemical firms depended on developing<br />

countries such as China and Brazil<br />

to offer strong, consistent growth. But as<br />

2011 drew to a close, that approach began to<br />

look less reliable. In the fourth quarter, Du-<br />

Pont’s Kullman told analysts, “Auto builds<br />

were essentially flat, with gains in the U.S.<br />

and Japan offset by declines in every other<br />

region.” In fact, auto manufacturing in the<br />

U.S. increased 10% in 2011 compared with<br />

2010, according to J.D. Power & Associates ,<br />

a marketing information company. J.D.<br />

Power anticipates 6% growth in <strong>2012</strong>.<br />

While growth in the U.S. economy is<br />

accelerating—albeit from a low base—<br />

China’s staggering rate of growth is abating.<br />

China’s National Bureau of Statistics<br />

reported that the country’s fourth-quarter<br />

GDP growth slowed to 8.9% from 9.1% in<br />

the third quarter.<br />

Overall, chemical executives say they<br />

expect that the flat volumes that dogged<br />

the industry in the fourth quarter will continue<br />

into the spring and possibly even the<br />

summer of <strong>2012</strong>. Anemic sales in Europe<br />

may continue even longer than that. End<br />

markets are expected to stabilize or accelerate<br />

in the second half of <strong>2012</strong>.<br />

PPG CEO Charles E. Bunch told investors<br />

that he expects moderate strengthening<br />

in the U.S. but forecasts that global<br />

growth will remain uneven across regions<br />

and industries. “In the aggregate,<br />

emerging-region growth rates are expected<br />

to remain high compared to developed<br />

regions,” he said, “but more moderate and<br />

erratic than they have been in the past.” ◾<br />

WWW.CEN-ONLINE.ORG 26 FEBRUARY <strong>27</strong>, <strong>2012</strong>

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